La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Indiana Fever v Phoenix Mercury
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Indiana Fever (Local)
Predicción 72.50%1.38momio equitativo
EV -2.85%
Ventaja -2.13%
Kelly -8.39%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.34
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.11%72.59%72.63%74.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.271.311.321.3478.74%76.10%75.76%74.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Phoenix Mercury (Visitante)
Predicción 27.50%3.64momio equitativo
EV +4.51%
Ventaja +1.19%
Kelly +1.61%
Crecimiento +0.073%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.49%27.41%27.37%28.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.453.453.8031.25%28.99%28.99%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -5.75%E -4.43%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV +4.51%E +1.19%K +1.61%G +0.073% | 3.2% | 2026-06-22 23:58 |
| theScore Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -6.48%E -5.02%K -22.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +1.76%E +0.475%K +0.651%G +0.011% | 4.5% | 2026-06-23 00:00 |
| BetUS | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -5.03%E -3.84%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV +0.382%E +0.105%K +0.144%G +0.001% | 3.7% | 2026-06-22 21:59 |
| Bovada | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -5.75%E -4.43%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV +0.382%E +0.105%K +0.144%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-06-22 23:59 |
| Fliff | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -7.93%E -6.24%K -29.36%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV +0.382%E +0.105%K +0.144%G +0.001% | 6.1% | 2026-06-22 23:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -5.03%E -3.84%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -0.168%E -0.046%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-22 22:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -5.03%E -3.84%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -0.168%E -0.046%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-22 22:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.03%E -3.84%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.993%E -0.276%K -0.382%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-22 23:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.01%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.99%EV -1.82%E -0.509%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-22 23:10 |
| GTbets | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -2.37%E -0.667%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-22 23:39 |
| Caesars | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.03%E -3.84%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-22 21:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.03%E -3.84%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-22 22:29 |
| Betway | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.48%E -5.02%K -22.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-23 00:00 |
| Neds | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-23 00:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-22 23:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-22 23:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-22 23:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-22 23:19 |
| LeoVegas | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-22 23:20 |
| Unibet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-22 23:20 |
| betPARX | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-22 23:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-22 23:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-22 23:19 |
| Bally Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-22 23:20 |
| Bet Right | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.03%E -3.84%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-22 23:29 |
| Coolbet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.75%E -4.43%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-22 23:29 |
| ReBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -5.94%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-22 23:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.58%E -2.69%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-22 23:29 |
| BetAnything | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.58%E -2.69%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-22 22:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-22 22:09 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-22 23:19 |
| NordicBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.75%E -4.43%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-22 22:09 |
| Betsson | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.75%E -4.43%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-22 22:09 |
| DraftKings | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -2.85%E -2.13%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-22 23:39 |
| FanDuel | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.58%E -2.69%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-22 22:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-22 23:09 |
| BetRivers | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-22 23:19 |
| TABtouch | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-22 23:19 |
| 888sport | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.58%E -2.69%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-22 23:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.58%E -2.69%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-22 23:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.58%E -2.69%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-22 23:10 |
| SportsBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-22 23:49 |
| TAB | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-22 20:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.75%E -4.43%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-22 14:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.59%EV -7.93%E -6.24%K -29.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-22 23:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-06-22 19:49 |
| Matchbook | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-06-22 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.00% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00% | 1.5% | 2026-06-22 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.00% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00% | 1.5% | 2026-06-22 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.00% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00% | 1.5% | 2026-06-22 23:50 |
| Novig | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.7% | 2026-06-23 00:00 |
| Polymarket | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29% | 2.8% | 2026-06-23 00:00 |
| ProphetX | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42% | 3.5% | 2026-06-23 00:00 |