L’École des cotesFrançais
Indiana Fever v Phoenix Mercury
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Indiana Fever (Local)
Prévision 72.50%1.38cote équitable
EV -2.85%
Avantage -2.13%
Kelly -8.39%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.34
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.11%72.59%72.63%74.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.271.311.321.3478.74%76.10%75.76%74.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Phoenix Mercury (Visiteur)
Prévision 27.50%3.64cote équitable
EV +4.51%
Avantage +1.19%
Kelly +1.61%
Croissance +0.073%
avec la cote maximale 3.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.49%27.41%27.37%28.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.453.453.8031.25%28.99%28.99%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -5.75%E -4.43%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV +4.51%E +1.19%K +1.61%G +0.073% | 3.2% | 2026-06-22 23:58 |
| theScore Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -6.48%E -5.02%K -22.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +1.76%E +0.475%K +0.651%G +0.011% | 4.5% | 2026-06-23 00:00 |
| BetUS | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -5.03%E -3.84%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV +0.382%E +0.105%K +0.144%G +0.001% | 3.7% | 2026-06-22 21:59 |
| Bovada | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -5.75%E -4.43%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV +0.382%E +0.105%K +0.144%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-06-22 23:59 |
| Fliff | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -7.93%E -6.24%K -29.36%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV +0.382%E +0.105%K +0.144%G +0.001% | 6.1% | 2026-06-22 23:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -5.03%E -3.84%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -0.168%E -0.046%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-22 22:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -5.03%E -3.84%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -0.168%E -0.046%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-22 22:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.03%E -3.84%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.993%E -0.276%K -0.382%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-22 23:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.01%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.99%EV -1.82%E -0.509%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-22 23:10 |
| GTbets | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -2.37%E -0.667%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-22 23:39 |
| Caesars | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.03%E -3.84%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-22 21:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.03%E -3.84%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-22 22:29 |
| Betway | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.48%E -5.02%K -22.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-23 00:00 |
| Neds | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-23 00:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-22 23:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-22 23:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-22 23:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-22 23:19 |
| LeoVegas | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-22 23:20 |
| Unibet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-22 23:20 |
| betPARX | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-22 23:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-22 23:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-22 23:19 |
| Bally Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-22 23:20 |
| Bet Right | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.03%E -3.84%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-22 23:29 |
| Coolbet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.75%E -4.43%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-22 23:29 |
| ReBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -5.94%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-22 23:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.58%E -2.69%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-22 23:29 |
| BetAnything | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.58%E -2.69%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-22 22:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-22 22:09 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-22 23:19 |
| NordicBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.75%E -4.43%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-22 22:09 |
| Betsson | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.75%E -4.43%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-22 22:09 |
| DraftKings | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -2.85%E -2.13%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-22 23:39 |
| FanDuel | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.58%E -2.69%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-22 22:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-22 23:09 |
| BetRivers | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-22 23:19 |
| TABtouch | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-22 23:19 |
| 888sport | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.58%E -2.69%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-22 23:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.58%E -2.69%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-22 23:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.58%E -2.69%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-22 23:10 |
| SportsBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-22 23:49 |
| TAB | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.30%E -3.26%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-22 20:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.75%E -4.43%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-22 14:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.59%EV -7.93%E -6.24%K -29.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-22 23:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-06-22 19:49 |
| Matchbook | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-06-22 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.00% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00% | 1.5% | 2026-06-22 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.00% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00% | 1.5% | 2026-06-22 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.00% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00% | 1.5% | 2026-06-22 23:50 |
| Novig | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.7% | 2026-06-23 00:00 |
| Polymarket | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29% | 2.8% | 2026-06-23 00:00 |
| ProphetX | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42% | 3.5% | 2026-06-23 00:00 |