Language:English
Indiana Fever v New York Liberty
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Indiana Fever (Local)
Prediction 57.15%1.75fair odd
EV -2.28%
Edge -1.33%
Kelly -3.20%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.15%57.37%56.96%60.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.661.671.7164.10%60.16%59.88%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Liberty (Visit)
Prediction 42.85%2.33fair odd
EV +1.99%
Edge +0.834%
Kelly +1.44%
Growth +0.029%
assuming max odds 2.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.59%42.63%43.04%43.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.232.212.3847.62%44.77%45.35%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Indiana Fever (Local): 57.15%; New York Liberty (Visit): 42.85%. For New York Liberty (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.33. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.38, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.99%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -10.85%E -6.95%K -19.37%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV +1.99%E +0.834%K +1.44%G +0.029% | 6.1% | 2026-08-11 23:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -10.85%E -6.95%K -19.37%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV +1.99%E +0.834%K +1.44%G +0.029% | 6.1% | 2026-08-11 23:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -5.70%E -3.46%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV +0.700%E +0.298%K +0.519%G +0.004% | 3.2% | 2026-08-11 23:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -5.70%E -3.46%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV +0.700%E +0.298%K +0.519%G +0.004% | 3.2% | 2026-08-11 22:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.44%E -0.627%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-11 23:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.44%E -0.627%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-11 23:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.44%E -0.627%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-11 22:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.70%E -3.46%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.44%E -0.627%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-11 23:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.70%E -3.46%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.44%E -0.627%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-11 22:23 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -9.13%E -5.74%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -1.44%E -0.627%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-11 23:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.85%E -1.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.59%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-11 23:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.85%E -1.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.59%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-11 23:23 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.42%E -2.02%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.59%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-11 20:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.42%E -2.02%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.59%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-11 23:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.59%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-11 20:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.70%E -3.46%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.59%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 22:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.70%E -3.46%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.59%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 22:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.42%E -4.58%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.59%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-11 23:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -5.13%E -3.09%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.01%E -1.79%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-11 23:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.42%E -2.02%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.87%E -2.19%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-11 23:28 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.13%E -3.09%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.87%E -2.19%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 23:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -3.99%E -2.37%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -5.30%E -2.40%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 23:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -3.99%E -2.37%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -5.30%E -2.40%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 23:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.28%E -1.33%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-11 23:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.85%E -1.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-11 23:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.99%E -2.37%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.99%E -2.37%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.99%E -2.37%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 22:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.99%E -2.37%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 22:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.99%E -2.37%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 22:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.99%E -2.37%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 22:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.99%E -2.37%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 22:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.99%E -2.37%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.99%E -2.37%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.99%E -2.37%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 22:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 18:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 18:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 18:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 23:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.70%E -3.46%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-11 23:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.70%E -3.46%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-11 23:28 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.70%E -3.46%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-11 22:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.42%E -4.58%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 20:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -2.28%E -1.33%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -6.16%E -2.81%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-11 23:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.42%E -4.58%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -10.01%E -4.77%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-11 23:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -7.99%E -4.96%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -10.01%E -4.77%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-08-11 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-08-11 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-08-11 23:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-08-11 23:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 42.12% | 1.0% | 2026-08-11 23:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-08-11 20:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 1.2% | 2026-08-11 23:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04% | 2.1% | 2026-08-11 23:30 |