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Indiana Fever v New York Liberty
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Indiana Fever (Local)
Predicción 57.15%1.75momio equitativo
EV -2.28%
Ventaja -1.33%
Kelly -3.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.15%57.37%56.96%60.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.561.661.671.7164.10%60.16%59.88%58.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
New York Liberty (Visitante)
Predicción 42.85%2.33momio equitativo
EV +1.99%
Ventaja +0.834%
Kelly +1.44%
Crecimiento +0.029%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.59%42.63%43.04%43.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.232.212.3847.62%44.77%45.35%42.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Indiana Fever (Local): 57.15%; New York Liberty (Visitante): 42.85%. Para New York Liberty (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.33. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.38, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.99%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -10.85%E -6.95%K -19.37%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV +1.99%E +0.834%K +1.44%G +0.029% | 6.1% | 2026-08-11 23:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -10.85%E -6.95%K -19.37%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV +1.99%E +0.834%K +1.44%G +0.029% | 6.1% | 2026-08-11 23:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -5.70%E -3.46%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV +0.700%E +0.298%K +0.519%G +0.004% | 3.2% | 2026-08-11 23:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -5.70%E -3.46%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV +0.700%E +0.298%K +0.519%G +0.004% | 3.2% | 2026-08-11 22:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.44%E -0.627%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-11 23:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.44%E -0.627%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-11 23:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.44%E -0.627%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-11 22:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.70%E -3.46%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.44%E -0.627%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-11 23:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.70%E -3.46%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.44%E -0.627%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-11 22:23 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -9.13%E -5.74%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -1.44%E -0.627%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-11 23:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.85%E -1.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.59%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-11 23:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.85%E -1.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.59%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-11 23:23 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.42%E -2.02%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.59%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-11 20:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.42%E -2.02%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.59%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-11 23:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.59%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-11 20:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.70%E -3.46%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.59%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 22:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.70%E -3.46%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.59%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 22:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.42%E -4.58%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.59%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-11 23:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -5.13%E -3.09%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.01%E -1.79%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-11 23:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.42%E -2.02%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.87%E -2.19%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-11 23:28 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.13%E -3.09%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.87%E -2.19%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 23:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -3.99%E -2.37%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -5.30%E -2.40%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 23:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -3.99%E -2.37%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -5.30%E -2.40%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 23:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.28%E -1.33%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-11 23:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.85%E -1.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-11 23:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.99%E -2.37%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.99%E -2.37%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.99%E -2.37%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 22:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.99%E -2.37%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 22:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.99%E -2.37%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 22:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.99%E -2.37%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 22:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.99%E -2.37%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 22:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.99%E -2.37%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.99%E -2.37%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.99%E -2.37%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 22:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 18:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 18:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 18:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 23:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.70%E -3.46%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-11 23:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.70%E -3.46%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-11 23:28 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.70%E -3.46%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-11 22:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.42%E -4.58%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 20:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -2.28%E -1.33%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -6.16%E -2.81%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-11 23:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.42%E -4.58%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -10.01%E -4.77%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-11 23:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -7.99%E -4.96%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -10.01%E -4.77%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-08-11 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-08-11 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-08-11 23:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-08-11 23:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 42.12% | 1.0% | 2026-08-11 23:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-08-11 20:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 1.2% | 2026-08-11 23:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04% | 2.1% | 2026-08-11 23:30 |