默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Indiana Fever v New York Liberty

开赛时间: 2026-08-11 23:34 UTC

最终结果: Indiana Fever 106–92 New York Liberty

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

46 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Indiana Fever (主队)

预测 57.15%1.75公平赔率
EV -2.28%
优势 -1.33%
Kelly -3.20%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.71

博彩公司预测分布
56.15%57.37%56.96%60.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.561.661.671.7164.10%60.16%59.88%58.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

New York Liberty (客队)

预测 42.85%2.33公平赔率
EV +1.99%
优势 +0.834%
Kelly +1.44%
增长率 +0.029%

假设最高赔率为 2.38

博彩公司预测分布
39.59%42.63%43.04%43.85%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.102.232.212.3847.62%44.77%45.35%42.02%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Indiana Fever (主队):57.15%;New York Liberty (客队):42.85%。 对于“New York Liberty (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.33。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.38,对应+1.99%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (46 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
NordicBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -10.85%E -6.95%K -19.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV +1.99%E +0.834%K +1.44%G +0.029%6.1%2026-08-11 23:20
Betsson🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -10.85%E -6.95%K -19.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV +1.99%E +0.834%K +1.44%G +0.029%6.1%2026-08-11 23:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -5.70%E -3.46%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV +0.700%E +0.298%K +0.519%G +0.004%3.2%2026-08-11 23:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -5.70%E -3.46%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV +0.700%E +0.298%K +0.519%G +0.004%3.2%2026-08-11 22:59
GTbets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.44%E -0.627%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-11 23:00
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.44%E -0.627%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-11 23:00
BetAnything🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.44%E -0.627%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-11 22:59
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.70%E -3.46%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.44%E -0.627%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 23:30
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.70%E -3.46%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.44%E -0.627%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 22:23
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -9.13%E -5.74%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -1.44%E -0.627%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-11 23:15
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.85%E -1.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.59%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-11 23:24
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.85%E -1.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.59%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-11 23:23
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.42%E -2.02%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.59%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-11 20:39
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.42%E -2.02%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.59%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-11 23:29
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.59%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 20:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.70%E -3.46%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.59%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 22:25
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.70%E -3.46%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.59%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 22:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.42%E -4.58%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.59%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-11 23:29
FanDuel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -5.13%E -3.09%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.01%E -1.79%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-11 23:30
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.42%E -2.02%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.87%E -2.19%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-11 23:28
Bet Right🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.13%E -3.09%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.87%E -2.19%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 23:30
ReBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -3.99%E -2.37%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -5.30%E -2.40%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 23:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -3.99%E -2.37%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -5.30%E -2.40%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 23:24
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.28%E -1.33%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-11 23:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.85%E -1.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 23:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.99%E -2.37%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 22:40
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.99%E -2.37%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 22:44
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.99%E -2.37%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 22:45
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.99%E -2.37%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 22:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.99%E -2.37%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 22:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.99%E -2.37%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 22:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.99%E -2.37%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 22:45
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.99%E -2.37%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 22:40
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.99%E -2.37%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 22:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.99%E -2.37%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 22:45
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 18:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 18:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 18:25
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 23:30
SportsBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.70%E -3.46%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-11 23:30
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.70%E -3.46%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-11 23:28
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.70%E -3.46%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-11 22:49
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.42%E -4.58%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.73%E -2.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-11 20:30
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -2.28%E -1.33%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -6.16%E -2.81%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 23:25
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.42%E -4.58%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -10.01%E -4.77%K -9.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-11 23:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -7.99%E -4.96%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -10.01%E -4.77%K -9.10%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-11 22:44
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (8)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-08-11 23:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-08-11 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-08-11 23:30
Matchbook◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-08-11 23:30
Novig◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88%2.35I 42.55%NM 42.12%1.0%2026-08-11 23:30
Polymarket◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-08-11 20:25
ProphetX◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.2%2026-08-11 23:30
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-08-11 23:30