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Indiana Fever v Golden State Valkyries
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Indiana Fever (Local)
Prediction 65.28%1.53fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -1.39%
Kelly -4.17%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.16%65.33%65.17%67.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.451.451.5075.19%69.08%68.97%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Golden State Valkyries (Visit)
Prediction 34.72%2.88fair odd
EV +0.700%
Edge +0.241%
Kelly +0.368%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.87%34.67%34.83%35.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.772.752.9038.17%36.04%36.36%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Indiana Fever (Local): 65.28%; Golden State Valkyries (Visit): 34.72%. For Golden State Valkyries (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.88. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.700%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.31%E -5.15%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.700%E +0.241%K +0.368%G +0.003% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 20:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.31%E -5.15%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.700%E +0.241%K +0.368%G +0.003% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 20:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.31%E -5.15%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.700%E +0.241%K +0.368%G +0.003% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 20:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.31%E -5.15%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.700%E +0.241%K +0.368%G +0.003% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 20:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.31%E -5.15%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.700%E +0.241%K +0.368%G +0.003% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 20:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.31%E -5.15%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.700%E +0.241%K +0.368%G +0.003% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 20:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.31%E -5.15%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.700%E +0.241%K +0.368%G +0.003% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 20:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.31%E -5.15%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.700%E +0.241%K +0.368%G +0.003% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 20:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.31%E -5.15%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.700%E +0.241%K +0.368%G +0.003% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 20:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.31%E -5.15%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.700%E +0.241%K +0.368%G +0.003% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 20:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -4.04%E -2.75%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -1.04%E -0.364%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-22 23:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -7.31%E -5.15%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -1.04%E -0.364%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-22 22:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -4.04%E -2.75%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -1.73%E -0.612%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-22 22:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -4.04%E -2.75%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -1.73%E -0.612%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-22 22:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.77%E -0.990%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-22 17:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -4.04%E -2.75%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -3.47%E -1.25%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-22 22:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -3.39%E -2.29%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -4.16%E -1.51%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-22 22:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -4.70%E -3.22%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -4.16%E -1.51%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-22 21:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -4.16%E -1.51%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-22 22:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.39%E -2.29%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-22 21:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.39%E -2.29%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-22 21:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.39%E -2.29%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-22 21:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.04%E -2.75%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-22 22:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.04%E -2.75%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-22 22:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.70%E -3.22%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.70%E -3.22%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-22 21:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-22 23:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-22 22:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-22 21:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-22 22:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-22 22:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -4.04%E -2.75%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -5.55%E -2.04%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-22 23:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.14%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.86%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-22 23:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.09%E -1.39%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -6.25%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-22 21:57 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.74%E -1.84%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -6.25%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-22 23:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.74%E -1.84%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -6.25%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-22 23:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.25%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-22 21:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.25%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-22 19:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.25%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-22 21:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.25%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-22 21:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.39%E -2.29%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-22 22:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.27%EV -7.96%E -5.65%K -19.42%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.73%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-22 20:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.58%EV -13.18%E -9.91%K -39.95%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.42%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-22 22:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.02%E -3.44%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-22 23:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93% | 0.2% | 2026-05-22 23:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.29% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.71% | 1.4% | 2026-05-22 23:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.44% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.56% | 1.9% | 2026-05-22 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.44% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.56% | 1.9% | 2026-05-22 23:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.44% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.56% | 1.9% | 2026-05-22 23:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25% | 2.1% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25% | 2.1% | 2026-05-22 23:09 |