A Escola das Odds

Indiana Fever v Golden State Valkyries

Início: 2026-05-22 23:30 UTC

Final: Indiana Fever 90–82 Golden State Valkyries

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Indiana Fever (Local)

Previsão 65.28%1.53odd justa
EV -2.09%
Vantagem -1.39%
Kelly -4.17%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
64.16%65.33%65.17%67.13%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.331.451.451.5075.19%69.08%68.97%66.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Golden State Valkyries (Visitante)

Previsão 34.72%2.88odd justa
EV +0.700%
Vantagem +0.241%
Kelly +0.368%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.87%34.67%34.83%35.84%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.622.772.752.9038.17%36.04%36.36%34.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Unibet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.31%E -5.15%K -17.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.700%E +0.241%K +0.368%G +0.003%4.9%2026-05-22 20:39
Unibet (NL)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.31%E -5.15%K -17.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.700%E +0.241%K +0.368%G +0.003%4.9%2026-05-22 20:39
LeoVegas1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.31%E -5.15%K -17.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.700%E +0.241%K +0.368%G +0.003%4.9%2026-05-22 20:39
Unibet (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.31%E -5.15%K -17.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.700%E +0.241%K +0.368%G +0.003%4.9%2026-05-22 20:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.31%E -5.15%K -17.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.700%E +0.241%K +0.368%G +0.003%4.9%2026-05-22 20:39
TABtouch1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.31%E -5.15%K -17.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.700%E +0.241%K +0.368%G +0.003%4.9%2026-05-22 20:39
ATG (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.31%E -5.15%K -17.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.700%E +0.241%K +0.368%G +0.003%4.9%2026-05-22 20:39
Svenska Spel1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.31%E -5.15%K -17.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.700%E +0.241%K +0.368%G +0.003%4.9%2026-05-22 20:39
betPARX1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.31%E -5.15%K -17.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.700%E +0.241%K +0.368%G +0.003%4.9%2026-05-22 20:39
Bally Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.31%E -5.15%K -17.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.700%E +0.241%K +0.368%G +0.003%4.9%2026-05-22 20:39
Bet Victor1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -4.04%E -2.75%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -1.04%E -0.364%K -0.560%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-22 23:19
BetRivers1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -7.31%E -5.15%K -17.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -1.04%E -0.364%K -0.560%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-22 22:49
LowVig.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -4.04%E -2.75%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -1.73%E -0.612%K -0.946%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-22 22:49
BetOnline.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -4.04%E -2.75%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -1.73%E -0.612%K -0.946%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-22 22:49
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.77%E -0.990%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-22 17:59
BetUS1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -4.04%E -2.75%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -3.47%E -1.25%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-22 22:59
Pinnacle1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -3.39%E -2.29%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -4.16%E -1.51%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-22 22:59
ReBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -4.70%E -3.22%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -4.16%E -1.51%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-22 21:39
MyBookie.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -4.16%E -1.51%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-22 22:19
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.39%E -2.29%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-22 21:39
GTbets1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.39%E -2.29%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-22 21:40
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.39%E -2.29%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-22 21:40
Fanatics1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.04%E -2.75%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-22 22:19
BetAnything1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.04%E -2.75%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-22 22:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.70%E -3.22%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 17:50
Neds1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.70%E -3.22%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 17:50
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 21:39
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 23:19
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-22 22:09
Hard Rock Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-22 21:39
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-22 22:09
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-22 22:09
FanDuel1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -4.04%E -2.75%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -5.55%E -2.04%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-22 23:19
SportsBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.14%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.86%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 23:20
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.09%E -1.39%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -6.25%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-22 21:57
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.74%E -1.84%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -6.25%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-22 23:09
Caesars1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.74%E -1.84%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -6.25%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-22 23:05
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.25%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-22 21:19
TAB1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.25%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-22 19:20
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.25%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-22 21:39
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.25%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-22 21:39
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.39%E -2.29%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 22:59
Fliff1.41I 70.92%NM 65.27%EV -7.96%E -5.65%K -19.42%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.73%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-22 20:09
PMU (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 66.58%EV -13.18%E -9.91%K -39.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.42%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.84%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-22 22:49
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.02%E -3.44%K -5.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-22 23:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93%0.2%2026-05-22 23:20
ProphetX1.51I 66.23%NM 65.29%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.71%1.4%2026-05-22 23:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 65.44%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.56%1.9%2026-05-22 23:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 65.44%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.56%1.9%2026-05-22 23:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 65.44%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.56%1.9%2026-05-22 23:20
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%2.1%2026-05-22 21:49
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%2.1%2026-05-22 23:09