La escuela de los momios

Indiana Fever v Golden State Valkyries

Inicio: 2026-05-22 23:30 UTC

Final: Indiana Fever 90–82 Golden State Valkyries

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

45 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Indiana Fever (Local)

Predicción 65.28%1.53momio equitativo
EV -2.09%
Ventaja -1.39%
Kelly -4.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.16%65.33%65.17%67.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.331.451.451.5075.19%69.08%68.97%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Golden State Valkyries (Visitante)

Predicción 34.72%2.88momio equitativo
EV +0.700%
Ventaja +0.241%
Kelly +0.368%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.87%34.67%34.83%35.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.622.772.752.9038.17%36.04%36.36%34.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Unibet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.31%E -5.15%K -17.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.700%E +0.241%K +0.368%G +0.003%4.9%2026-05-22 20:39
Unibet (NL)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.31%E -5.15%K -17.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.700%E +0.241%K +0.368%G +0.003%4.9%2026-05-22 20:39
LeoVegas1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.31%E -5.15%K -17.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.700%E +0.241%K +0.368%G +0.003%4.9%2026-05-22 20:39
Unibet (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.31%E -5.15%K -17.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.700%E +0.241%K +0.368%G +0.003%4.9%2026-05-22 20:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.31%E -5.15%K -17.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.700%E +0.241%K +0.368%G +0.003%4.9%2026-05-22 20:39
TABtouch1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.31%E -5.15%K -17.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.700%E +0.241%K +0.368%G +0.003%4.9%2026-05-22 20:39
ATG (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.31%E -5.15%K -17.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.700%E +0.241%K +0.368%G +0.003%4.9%2026-05-22 20:39
Svenska Spel1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.31%E -5.15%K -17.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.700%E +0.241%K +0.368%G +0.003%4.9%2026-05-22 20:39
betPARX1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.31%E -5.15%K -17.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.700%E +0.241%K +0.368%G +0.003%4.9%2026-05-22 20:39
Bally Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.31%E -5.15%K -17.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.700%E +0.241%K +0.368%G +0.003%4.9%2026-05-22 20:39
Bet Victor1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -4.04%E -2.75%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -1.04%E -0.364%K -0.560%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-22 23:19
BetRivers1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -7.31%E -5.15%K -17.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -1.04%E -0.364%K -0.560%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-22 22:49
LowVig.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -4.04%E -2.75%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -1.73%E -0.612%K -0.946%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-22 22:49
BetOnline.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -4.04%E -2.75%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -1.73%E -0.612%K -0.946%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-22 22:49
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.77%E -0.990%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-22 17:59
BetUS1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -4.04%E -2.75%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -3.47%E -1.25%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-22 22:59
Pinnacle1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -3.39%E -2.29%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -4.16%E -1.51%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-22 22:59
ReBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -4.70%E -3.22%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -4.16%E -1.51%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-22 21:39
MyBookie.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -4.16%E -1.51%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-22 22:19
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.39%E -2.29%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-22 21:39
GTbets1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.39%E -2.29%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-22 21:40
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.39%E -2.29%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-22 21:40
Fanatics1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.04%E -2.75%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-22 22:19
BetAnything1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.04%E -2.75%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-22 22:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.70%E -3.22%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 17:50
Neds1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.70%E -3.22%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 17:50
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 21:39
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 23:19
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-22 22:09
Hard Rock Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-22 21:39
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-22 22:09
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.51%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-22 22:09
FanDuel1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -4.04%E -2.75%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -5.55%E -2.04%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-22 23:19
SportsBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.14%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.86%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 23:20
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.09%E -1.39%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -6.25%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-22 21:57
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.74%E -1.84%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -6.25%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-22 23:09
Caesars1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.74%E -1.84%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -6.25%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-22 23:05
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.25%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-22 21:19
TAB1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.25%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-22 19:20
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.25%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-22 21:39
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.25%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-22 21:39
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.39%E -2.29%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 22:59
Fliff1.41I 70.92%NM 65.27%EV -7.96%E -5.65%K -19.42%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.73%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-22 20:09
PMU (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 66.58%EV -13.18%E -9.91%K -39.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.42%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.84%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-22 22:49
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.00%E -4.17%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.02%E -3.44%K -5.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-22 23:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93%0.2%2026-05-22 23:20
ProphetX1.51I 66.23%NM 65.29%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.71%1.4%2026-05-22 23:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 65.44%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.56%1.9%2026-05-22 23:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 65.44%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.56%1.9%2026-05-22 23:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 65.44%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.56%1.9%2026-05-22 23:20
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%2.1%2026-05-22 21:49
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%2.1%2026-05-22 23:09