Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.23
assuming max odds 5.10
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Indiana Fever (Local): 78.61%; Chicago Sky (Visit): 21.39%. For Chicago Sky (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.67. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.10%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.22%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +9.10%E +1.78%K +2.22%G +0.202% | 5.1% | 2026-06-11 23:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.22%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +9.10%E +1.78%K +2.22%G +0.202% | 5.1% | 2026-06-11 23:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.22%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +9.10%E +1.78%K +2.22%G +0.202% | 5.1% | 2026-06-11 22:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.22%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +9.10%E +1.78%K +2.22%G +0.202% | 5.1% | 2026-06-11 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.22%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +9.10%E +1.78%K +2.22%G +0.202% | 5.1% | 2026-06-11 23:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.22%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +9.10%E +1.78%K +2.22%G +0.202% | 5.1% | 2026-06-11 22:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.22%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +9.10%E +1.78%K +2.22%G +0.202% | 5.1% | 2026-06-11 22:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.22%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +9.10%E +1.78%K +2.22%G +0.202% | 5.1% | 2026-06-11 23:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.22%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +9.10%E +1.78%K +2.22%G +0.202% | 5.1% | 2026-06-11 22:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.22%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +9.10%E +1.78%K +2.22%G +0.202% | 5.1% | 2026-06-11 23:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.22%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +9.10%E +1.78%K +2.22%G +0.202% | 5.1% | 2026-06-11 23:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +1.61%E +0.339%K +0.429%G +0.007% | 3.0% | 2026-06-11 22:56 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.67%E -4.72%K -28.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.60%E -0.347%K -0.444%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-11 23:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -6.46%E -5.43%K -33.98%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -2.67%E -0.586%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-11 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.74%E -0.831%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-11 23:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.74%E -0.831%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-11 23:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.74%E -0.831%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-11 23:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.88%E -4.04%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.74%E -0.831%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-11 23:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.67%E -4.72%K -28.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.74%E -0.831%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-11 23:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.42%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 4.47I 22.37%NM 21.58%EV -4.38%E -0.980%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-11 22:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -4.81%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-11 22:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -4.81%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-11 22:53 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -5.88%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-11 23:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.88%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-11 23:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.88%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-11 23:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.88%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-11 22:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.67%E -4.72%K -28.35%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.88%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-11 23:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.67%E -4.72%K -28.35%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.88%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-11 23:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 79.85%EV -12.74%E -11.48%K -115.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.15%EV -5.88%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-06-11 23:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -6.95%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-11 22:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.95%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-11 23:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -8.02%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-11 22:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.67%E -4.72%K -28.35%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.02%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-11 22:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.67%E -4.72%K -28.35%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.02%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-11 22:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.09%E -2.14%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-11 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.09%E -2.14%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-11 23:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.09%E -2.14%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-11 22:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.16%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-11 22:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.16%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-11 23:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.16%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-11 22:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.16%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-11 22:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.67%E -4.72%K -28.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -14.43%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-11 23:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 0.6% | 2026-06-11 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 0.6% | 2026-06-11 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 0.6% | 2026-06-11 23:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83% | 1.0% | 2026-06-11 23:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.1% | 2026-06-11 23:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.93% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.07% | 1.7% | 2026-06-11 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.47% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.53% | 2.3% | 2026-06-11 23:00 |