L’École des cotes

Indiana Fever v Chicago Sky

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-11 23:03 UTC

Score final : Indiana Fever 114–106 Chicago Sky

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

42 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Indiana Fever (Local)

Prévision 78.61%1.27cote équitable
EV -3.31%
Avantage -2.69%
Kelly -14.40%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
76.92%78.78%78.62%81.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.111.201.211.2390.09%83.28%82.30%81.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Chicago Sky (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.39%4.67cote équitable
EV +9.10%
Avantage +1.78%
Kelly +2.22%
Croissance +0.202%

avec la cote maximale 5.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.66%21.22%21.38%23.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.574.455.1025.00%21.90%22.47%19.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
TABtouch1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +9.10%E +1.78%K +2.22%G +0.202%5.1%2026-06-11 23:00
Unibet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +9.10%E +1.78%K +2.22%G +0.202%5.1%2026-06-11 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +9.10%E +1.78%K +2.22%G +0.202%5.1%2026-06-11 22:59
LeoVegas1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +9.10%E +1.78%K +2.22%G +0.202%5.1%2026-06-11 23:00
Unibet (NL)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +9.10%E +1.78%K +2.22%G +0.202%5.1%2026-06-11 23:00
BetRivers1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +9.10%E +1.78%K +2.22%G +0.202%5.1%2026-06-11 22:59
Unibet (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +9.10%E +1.78%K +2.22%G +0.202%5.1%2026-06-11 22:59
Svenska Spel1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +9.10%E +1.78%K +2.22%G +0.202%5.1%2026-06-11 23:00
betPARX1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +9.10%E +1.78%K +2.22%G +0.202%5.1%2026-06-11 22:59
ATG (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +9.10%E +1.78%K +2.22%G +0.202%5.1%2026-06-11 23:00
Bally Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +9.10%E +1.78%K +2.22%G +0.202%5.1%2026-06-11 23:00
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +1.61%E +0.339%K +0.429%G +0.007%3.0%2026-06-11 22:56
theScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.67%E -4.72%K -28.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.60%E -0.347%K -0.444%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-11 23:00
Fliff1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -6.46%E -5.43%K -33.98%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -2.67%E -0.586%K -0.752%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-11 23:00
LowVig.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.74%E -0.831%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-11 23:00
BetOnline.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.74%E -0.831%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-11 23:00
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.74%E -0.831%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-11 23:00
FanDuel1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.88%E -4.04%K -23.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.74%E -0.831%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-11 23:00
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.67%E -4.72%K -28.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.74%E -0.831%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-11 23:00
Pinnacle1.23I 81.30%NM 78.42%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.40%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.58%EV -4.38%E -0.980%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-11 22:59
GTbets1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -4.81%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-11 22:59
Caesars1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -4.81%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-11 22:53
DraftKings1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -5.88%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-11 23:00
Fanatics1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.88%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-11 23:00
BetUS1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.88%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-11 23:00
ReBet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.88%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-11 22:59
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.67%E -4.72%K -28.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.88%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-11 23:00
Unibet (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.67%E -4.72%K -28.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.88%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-11 23:00
PMU (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 79.85%EV -12.74%E -11.48%K -115.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.15%EV -5.88%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000%12.8%2026-06-11 23:00
BetAnything1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.40%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -6.95%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-11 22:59
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.95%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-11 23:00
MyBookie.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -8.02%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-11 22:59
NordicBet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.67%E -4.72%K -28.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.02%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-11 22:59
Betsson1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.67%E -4.72%K -28.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.02%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-11 22:59
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.09%E -2.14%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-11 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.09%E -2.14%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-11 23:00
Hard Rock Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.09%E -2.14%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-11 22:59
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.16%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-11 22:59
TAB1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.16%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-11 23:00
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.16%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-11 22:59
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.16%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-11 22:59
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.67%E -4.72%K -28.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -14.43%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-11 23:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-06-11 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-06-11 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-06-11 23:00
Polymarket1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%1.0%2026-06-11 23:00
ProphetX1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.1%2026-06-11 23:00
Novig1.23I 81.30%NM 79.93%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.07%1.7%2026-06-11 23:00
Kalshi1.23I 81.30%NM 79.47%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.53%2.3%2026-06-11 23:00