A Escola das Odds

Indiana Fever v Chicago Sky

Início: 2026-06-11 23:03 UTC

Final: Indiana Fever 114–106 Chicago Sky

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

42 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Indiana Fever (Local)

Previsão 78.61%1.27odd justa
EV -3.31%
Vantagem -2.69%
Kelly -14.40%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.23

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
76.92%78.78%78.62%81.34%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.111.201.211.2390.09%83.28%82.30%81.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Chicago Sky (Visitante)

Previsão 21.39%4.67odd justa
EV +9.10%
Vantagem +1.78%
Kelly +2.22%
Crescimento +0.202%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.66%21.22%21.38%23.08%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.004.574.455.1025.00%21.90%22.47%19.61%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (42 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
TABtouch1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +9.10%E +1.78%K +2.22%G +0.202%5.1%2026-06-11 23:00
Unibet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +9.10%E +1.78%K +2.22%G +0.202%5.1%2026-06-11 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +9.10%E +1.78%K +2.22%G +0.202%5.1%2026-06-11 22:59
LeoVegas1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +9.10%E +1.78%K +2.22%G +0.202%5.1%2026-06-11 23:00
Unibet (NL)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +9.10%E +1.78%K +2.22%G +0.202%5.1%2026-06-11 23:00
BetRivers1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +9.10%E +1.78%K +2.22%G +0.202%5.1%2026-06-11 22:59
Unibet (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +9.10%E +1.78%K +2.22%G +0.202%5.1%2026-06-11 22:59
Svenska Spel1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +9.10%E +1.78%K +2.22%G +0.202%5.1%2026-06-11 23:00
betPARX1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +9.10%E +1.78%K +2.22%G +0.202%5.1%2026-06-11 22:59
ATG (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +9.10%E +1.78%K +2.22%G +0.202%5.1%2026-06-11 23:00
Bally Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -8.03%E -6.86%K -47.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +9.10%E +1.78%K +2.22%G +0.202%5.1%2026-06-11 23:00
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +1.61%E +0.339%K +0.429%G +0.007%3.0%2026-06-11 22:56
theScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.67%E -4.72%K -28.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.60%E -0.347%K -0.444%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-11 23:00
Fliff1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -6.46%E -5.43%K -33.98%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -2.67%E -0.586%K -0.752%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-11 23:00
LowVig.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.74%E -0.831%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-11 23:00
BetOnline.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.74%E -0.831%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-11 23:00
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.74%E -0.831%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-11 23:00
FanDuel1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.88%E -4.04%K -23.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.74%E -0.831%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-11 23:00
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.67%E -4.72%K -28.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.74%E -0.831%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-11 23:00
Pinnacle1.23I 81.30%NM 78.42%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.40%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.58%EV -4.38%E -0.980%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-11 22:59
GTbets1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -4.81%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-11 22:59
Caesars1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -4.81%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-11 22:53
DraftKings1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -5.88%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-11 23:00
Fanatics1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.88%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-11 23:00
BetUS1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.88%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-11 23:00
ReBet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.88%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-11 22:59
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.67%E -4.72%K -28.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.88%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-11 23:00
Unibet (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.67%E -4.72%K -28.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.88%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-11 23:00
PMU (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 79.85%EV -12.74%E -11.48%K -115.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.15%EV -5.88%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000%12.8%2026-06-11 23:00
BetAnything1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -3.31%E -2.69%K -14.40%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -6.95%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-11 22:59
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.95%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-11 23:00
MyBookie.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -8.02%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-11 22:59
NordicBet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.67%E -4.72%K -28.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.02%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-11 22:59
Betsson1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.67%E -4.72%K -28.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.02%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-11 22:59
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.09%E -2.14%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-11 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.09%E -2.14%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-11 23:00
Hard Rock Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.09%E -2.14%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-11 22:59
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.16%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-11 22:59
TAB1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.16%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-11 23:00
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.16%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-11 22:59
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.16%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-11 22:59
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.67%E -4.72%K -28.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -14.43%E -3.61%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-11 23:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-06-11 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-06-11 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-06-11 23:00
Polymarket1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%1.0%2026-06-11 23:00
ProphetX1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.1%2026-06-11 23:00
Novig1.23I 81.30%NM 79.93%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.07%1.7%2026-06-11 23:00
Kalshi1.23I 81.30%NM 79.47%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.53%2.3%2026-06-11 23:00