Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dallas Wings v Connecticut Sun

2026-08-02 23:00 UTC — WNBA

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dallas Wings (Local)

Prediction 81.62%1.23fair odd
EV -4.51%
Edge -3.85%
Kelly -26.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.14%81.61%81.63%87.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.161.161.1790.91%86.33%86.21%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Connecticut Sun (Visit)

Prediction 18.38%5.44fair odd
EV +41.55%
Edge +5.40%
Kelly +6.20%
Growth +2.58%

assuming max odds 7.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.50%18.39%18.37%20.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.405.235.227.7022.73%19.12%19.14%12.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Dallas Wings (Local): 81.62%; Connecticut Sun (Visit): 18.38%. For Connecticut Sun (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.44. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 7.70, producing a positive expected value of +41.55%.

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet1.10I 90.91%NM 87.50%EV -10.22%E -9.29%K -102.22%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.50%EV +41.55%E +5.40%K +6.20%G +2.58%3.9%2026-08-01 01:59
GTbets1.17I 85.47%NM 82.33%EV -4.51%E -3.85%K -26.52%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.67%EV +0.190%E +0.035%K +0.043%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-01 02:14
DraftKings1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.51%E -3.85%K -26.52%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -0.729%E -0.135%K -0.166%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-01 02:00
Fanatics1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.51%E -3.85%K -26.52%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -2.57%E -0.484%K -0.597%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 02:10
Caesars1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.51%E -3.85%K -26.52%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -2.57%E -0.484%K -0.597%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 02:07
Fliff1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.32%E -4.59%K -33.28%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.57%E -0.484%K -0.597%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 07:14
Hard Rock Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.51%E -3.85%K -26.52%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.49%E -0.664%K -0.820%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-01 02:35
Betway1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.51%E -3.85%K -26.52%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.49%E -0.664%K -0.820%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-01 05:33
Betr (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.32%E -4.59%K -33.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -3.49%E -0.664%K -0.820%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 02:35
Bet Right1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.32%E -4.59%K -33.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -3.49%E -0.664%K -0.820%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 02:35
SportsBet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.14%E -5.34%K -40.94%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -3.49%E -0.664%K -0.820%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 04:14
theScore Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.14%E -5.34%K -40.94%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -3.49%E -0.664%K -0.820%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 02:34
Unibet (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.51%E -3.85%K -26.52%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -4.41%E -0.847%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 02:34
FanDuel1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.51%E -3.85%K -26.52%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -6.24%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 01:50
888sport1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.51%E -3.85%K -26.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.08%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-01 02:34
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.51%E -3.85%K -26.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.08%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-01 02:35
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.51%E -3.85%K -26.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.08%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-01 02:34
Coolbet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.32%E -4.59%K -33.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.08%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 01:59
NordicBet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.14%E -5.34%K -40.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -8.08%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 02:34
Betsson1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.14%E -5.34%K -40.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -8.08%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 02:34
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.96%E -6.10%K -49.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.08%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-01 04:14
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.96%E -6.10%K -49.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.08%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-01 02:09
ReBet1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -6.14%E -5.34%K -40.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -9.92%E -2.02%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 02:35
LeoVegas1.16I 86.21%NM 79.14%EV -5.32%E -4.59%K -33.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -19.11%E -4.34%K -5.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-01 02:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.0%2026-08-01 07:09
Kalshi1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.0%2026-08-01 04:09
Arbitrage (21 combinations) +1.57%Fanatics 1.17 (86.8%) / 1xBet 7.70 (13.2%)Show all 21 combinations
Dallas Wings (Local)Connecticut Sun (Visit)Margin
GTbets 1.17 (86.8%)1xBet 7.70 (13.2%)+1.57%
DraftKings 1.17 (86.8%)1xBet 7.70 (13.2%)+1.57%
Fanatics 1.17 (86.8%)1xBet 7.70 (13.2%)+1.57%
Caesars 1.17 (86.8%)1xBet 7.70 (13.2%)+1.57%
Hard Rock Bet 1.17 (86.8%)1xBet 7.70 (13.2%)+1.57%
Betway 1.17 (86.8%)1xBet 7.70 (13.2%)+1.57%
Unibet (UK) 1.17 (86.8%)1xBet 7.70 (13.2%)+1.57%
FanDuel 1.17 (86.8%)1xBet 7.70 (13.2%)+1.57%
888sport 1.17 (86.8%)1xBet 7.70 (13.2%)+1.57%
888sport (SE) 1.17 (86.8%)1xBet 7.70 (13.2%)+1.57%
Mr Green (SE) 1.17 (86.8%)1xBet 7.70 (13.2%)+1.57%
Fliff 1.16 (86.9%)1xBet 7.70 (13.1%)+0.813%
Betr (AU) 1.16 (86.9%)1xBet 7.70 (13.1%)+0.813%
Bet Right 1.16 (86.9%)1xBet 7.70 (13.1%)+0.813%
Coolbet 1.16 (86.9%)1xBet 7.70 (13.1%)+0.813%
LeoVegas 1.16 (86.9%)1xBet 7.70 (13.1%)+0.813%
SportsBet 1.15 (87.0%)1xBet 7.70 (13.0%)+0.056%
theScore Bet 1.15 (87.0%)1xBet 7.70 (13.0%)+0.056%
NordicBet 1.15 (87.0%)1xBet 7.70 (13.0%)+0.056%
Betsson 1.15 (87.0%)1xBet 7.70 (13.0%)+0.056%
ReBet 1.15 (87.0%)1xBet 7.70 (13.0%)+0.056%