Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dallas Wings v Connecticut Sun

Kickoff: 2026-08-02 23:04 UTC

Final: Dallas Wings 83–63 Connecticut Sun

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dallas Wings (Local)

Prediction 81.71%1.22fair odd
EV -1.95%
Edge -1.63%
Kelly -9.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.75%81.76%81.78%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.111.161.171.2090.09%85.89%85.47%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Connecticut Sun (Visit)

Prediction 18.29%5.47fair odd
EV +5.20%
Edge +0.904%
Kelly +1.09%
Growth +0.057%

assuming max odds 5.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.67%18.24%18.22%21.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.305.215.295.7523.26%19.20%18.90%17.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dallas Wings (Local): 81.71%; Connecticut Sun (Visit): 18.29%. For Connecticut Sun (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.47. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.20%.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -6.04%E -5.25%K -40.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +5.20%E +0.904%K +1.09%G +0.057%4.3%2026-08-02 22:30
betano_uk🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34%EV -3.59%E -3.04%K -19.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%EV +0.622%E +0.113%K +0.138%G +0.001%2.9%2026-08-02 22:50
Bet Victor🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34%EV -3.59%E -3.04%K -19.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%EV +0.622%E +0.113%K +0.138%G +0.001%2.9%2026-08-02 22:50
SportsBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.86%E -6.01%K -48.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +0.622%E +0.113%K +0.138%G +0.001%5.9%2026-08-02 22:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.41%E -3.77%K -25.91%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -1.21%E -0.224%K -0.274%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 22:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.22%E -4.50%K -32.64%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -1.21%E -0.224%K -0.274%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 22:59
Unibet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.22%E -4.50%K -32.64%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -1.21%E -0.224%K -0.274%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 22:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.22%E -4.50%K -32.64%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -1.21%E -0.224%K -0.274%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 22:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.22%E -4.50%K -32.64%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -1.21%E -0.224%K -0.274%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 22:54
betPARX🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.22%E -4.50%K -32.64%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -1.21%E -0.224%K -0.274%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 22:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.22%E -4.50%K -32.64%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -1.21%E -0.224%K -0.274%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 22:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.22%E -4.50%K -32.64%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -1.21%E -0.224%K -0.274%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 22:55
Bally Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.22%E -4.50%K -32.64%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -1.21%E -0.224%K -0.274%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 22:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.22%E -4.50%K -32.64%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -1.21%E -0.224%K -0.274%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 22:29
Neds🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.22%E -4.50%K -32.64%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -1.21%E -0.224%K -0.274%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 22:30
BetRivers🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -6.04%E -5.25%K -40.26%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -1.21%E -0.224%K -0.274%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 22:55
TABtouch🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -6.04%E -5.25%K -40.26%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -1.21%E -0.224%K -0.274%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 23:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.94%EV -4.41%E -3.77%K -25.91%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 18.06%EV -2.85%E -0.537%K -0.662%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 22:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.94%EV -4.41%E -3.77%K -25.91%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 18.06%EV -2.85%E -0.537%K -0.662%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 22:50
BetAnything🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -3.59%E -3.04%K -19.93%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV -3.04%E -0.573%K -0.706%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-02 22:50
Fanatics🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.41%E -3.77%K -25.91%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -3.04%E -0.573%K -0.706%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 21:00
Caesars🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.41%E -3.77%K -25.91%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -3.04%E -0.573%K -0.706%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 02:07
BetUS🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.41%E -3.77%K -25.91%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -3.04%E -0.573%K -0.706%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 22:45
Pinnacle🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.76%EV -3.59%E -3.04%K -19.93%G +0.000%5.29I 18.90%NM 18.24%EV -3.22%E -0.609%K -0.751%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-02 22:45
DraftKings🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.41%E -3.77%K -25.91%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.95%E -0.753%K -0.930%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-02 18:19
GTbets🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.41%E -3.77%K -25.91%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.95%E -0.753%K -0.930%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-02 22:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.22%E -4.50%K -32.64%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -3.95%E -0.753%K -0.930%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 22:49
Bet Right🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.22%E -4.50%K -32.64%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -3.95%E -0.753%K -0.930%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 22:50
FanDuel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.41%E -3.77%K -25.91%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -4.87%E -0.936%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 23:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.41%E -3.77%K -25.91%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -4.87%E -0.936%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 22:35
Fliff🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.22%E -4.50%K -32.64%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -6.70%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 22:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.59%E -3.04%K -19.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -8.53%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 22:59
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.41%E -3.77%K -25.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.53%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 22:59
ReBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.41%E -3.77%K -25.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.53%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 22:59
theScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.41%E -3.77%K -25.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.53%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 23:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.41%E -3.77%K -25.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.53%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 22:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.41%E -3.77%K -25.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.53%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 22:59
Betway🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.41%E -3.77%K -25.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.53%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 22:59
Bovada🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.41%E -3.77%K -25.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.53%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 22:48
Coolbet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.22%E -4.50%K -32.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.53%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 22:59
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.86%E -6.01%K -48.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.53%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-02 22:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.83%EV -9.31%E -8.39%K -84.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -8.53%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-02 22:59
NordicBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.22%E -4.50%K -32.64%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -10.35%E -2.11%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 22:59
Betsson🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.22%E -4.50%K -32.64%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -10.35%E -2.11%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 22:58
1xBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.20%EV -1.95%E -1.63%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.80%EV -11.09%E -2.28%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-02 22:24
TAB🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.41%E -3.77%K -25.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -12.18%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 22:30
LeoVegas🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.75%EV -5.22%E -4.50%K -32.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -21.33%E -4.96%K -6.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-02 23:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%0.8%2026-08-02 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%0.8%2026-08-02 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%0.8%2026-08-02 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%0.8%2026-08-02 23:00
Novig1.20I 83.33%NM 82.63%5.71I 17.51%NM 17.37%0.8%2026-08-02 23:00
ProphetX1.21I 82.64%NM 81.83%5.45I 18.35%NM 18.17%1.0%2026-08-02 23:00
Polymarket1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.3%2026-08-02 22:35
Kalshi1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.3%2026-08-02 21:00

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