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Dallas Wings v Connecticut Sun
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Dallas Wings (Local)
Predicción 81.71%1.22momio equitativo
EV -1.95%
Ventaja -1.63%
Kelly -9.77%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
78.75%81.76%81.78%83.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.111.161.171.2090.09%85.89%85.47%83.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Connecticut Sun (Visitante)
Predicción 18.29%5.47momio equitativo
EV +5.20%
Ventaja +0.904%
Kelly +1.09%
Crecimiento +0.057%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.67%18.24%18.22%21.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.305.215.295.7523.26%19.20%18.90%17.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Dallas Wings (Local): 81.71%; Connecticut Sun (Visitante): 18.29%. Para Connecticut Sun (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.47. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.75, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +5.20%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -6.04%E -5.25%K -40.26%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +5.20%E +0.904%K +1.09%G +0.057% | 4.3% | 2026-08-02 22:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34%EV -3.59%E -3.04%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%EV +0.622%E +0.113%K +0.138%G +0.001% | 2.9% | 2026-08-02 22:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34%EV -3.59%E -3.04%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%EV +0.622%E +0.113%K +0.138%G +0.001% | 2.9% | 2026-08-02 22:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.86%E -6.01%K -48.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +0.622%E +0.113%K +0.138%G +0.001% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 22:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.41%E -3.77%K -25.91%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -1.21%E -0.224%K -0.274%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-02 22:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.22%E -4.50%K -32.64%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -1.21%E -0.224%K -0.274%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 22:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.22%E -4.50%K -32.64%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -1.21%E -0.224%K -0.274%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 22:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.22%E -4.50%K -32.64%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -1.21%E -0.224%K -0.274%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 22:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.22%E -4.50%K -32.64%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -1.21%E -0.224%K -0.274%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 22:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.22%E -4.50%K -32.64%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -1.21%E -0.224%K -0.274%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 22:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.22%E -4.50%K -32.64%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -1.21%E -0.224%K -0.274%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 22:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.22%E -4.50%K -32.64%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -1.21%E -0.224%K -0.274%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 22:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.22%E -4.50%K -32.64%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -1.21%E -0.224%K -0.274%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 22:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.22%E -4.50%K -32.64%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -1.21%E -0.224%K -0.274%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 22:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.22%E -4.50%K -32.64%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -1.21%E -0.224%K -0.274%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 22:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -6.04%E -5.25%K -40.26%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -1.21%E -0.224%K -0.274%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-02 22:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -6.04%E -5.25%K -40.26%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -1.21%E -0.224%K -0.274%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-02 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.94%EV -4.41%E -3.77%K -25.91%G +0.000% | 5.31I 18.83%NM 18.06%EV -2.85%E -0.537%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-02 22:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.94%EV -4.41%E -3.77%K -25.91%G +0.000% | 5.31I 18.83%NM 18.06%EV -2.85%E -0.537%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-02 22:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -3.59%E -3.04%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV -3.04%E -0.573%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-02 22:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.41%E -3.77%K -25.91%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -3.04%E -0.573%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-02 21:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.41%E -3.77%K -25.91%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -3.04%E -0.573%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-01 02:07 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.41%E -3.77%K -25.91%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -3.04%E -0.573%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-02 22:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.76%EV -3.59%E -3.04%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 5.29I 18.90%NM 18.24%EV -3.22%E -0.609%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-02 22:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.41%E -3.77%K -25.91%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.95%E -0.753%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-02 18:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.41%E -3.77%K -25.91%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.95%E -0.753%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-02 22:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.22%E -4.50%K -32.64%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -3.95%E -0.753%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 22:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.22%E -4.50%K -32.64%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -3.95%E -0.753%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 22:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.41%E -3.77%K -25.91%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -4.87%E -0.936%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 23:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.41%E -3.77%K -25.91%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -4.87%E -0.936%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 22:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.22%E -4.50%K -32.64%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -6.70%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 22:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.59%E -3.04%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -8.53%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 22:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.41%E -3.77%K -25.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.53%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-02 22:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.41%E -3.77%K -25.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.53%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-02 22:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.41%E -3.77%K -25.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.53%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-02 23:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.41%E -3.77%K -25.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.53%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-02 22:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.41%E -3.77%K -25.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.53%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-02 22:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.41%E -3.77%K -25.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.53%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-02 22:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.41%E -3.77%K -25.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.53%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-02 22:48 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.22%E -4.50%K -32.64%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.53%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 22:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.86%E -6.01%K -48.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.53%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-02 22:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.83%EV -9.31%E -8.39%K -84.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -8.53%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-02 22:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.22%E -4.50%K -32.64%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -10.35%E -2.11%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-02 22:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.22%E -4.50%K -32.64%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -10.35%E -2.11%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-02 22:58 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.20%EV -1.95%E -1.63%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.80%EV -11.09%E -2.28%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-02 22:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.41%E -3.77%K -25.91%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -12.18%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-02 22:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.75%EV -5.22%E -4.50%K -32.64%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -21.33%E -4.96%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-02 23:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 0.8% | 2026-08-02 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 0.8% | 2026-08-02 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 0.8% | 2026-08-02 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 0.8% | 2026-08-02 23:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.63% | 5.71I 17.51%NM 17.37% | 0.8% | 2026-08-02 23:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.83% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 18.17% | 1.0% | 2026-08-02 23:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75% | 1.3% | 2026-08-02 22:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75% | 1.3% | 2026-08-02 21:00 |