Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Dallas Wings v Connecticut Sun

2026-08-02 23:00 UTC — WNBA

Resultado del partido

35 corredores (12 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Dallas Wings (Local)

Predicción 81.64%1.22momio equitativo
EV -4.48%
Ventaja -3.83%
Kelly -26.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.17

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
79.14%81.63%81.70%87.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.101.161.171.1790.91%86.21%85.47%85.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Connecticut Sun (Visitante)

Predicción 18.36%5.45momio equitativo
EV +41.35%
Ventaja +5.37%
Kelly +6.17%
Crecimiento +2.55%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.50%18.37%18.30%20.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.405.215.207.7022.73%19.18%19.23%12.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Dallas Wings (Local): 81.64%; Connecticut Sun (Visitante): 18.36%. Para Connecticut Sun (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 5.45. 2 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 7.70, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +41.35%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (35 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet1.10I 90.91%NM 87.50%EV -10.19%E -9.27%K -101.93%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.50%EV +41.35%E +5.37%K +6.17%G +2.55%3.9%2026-08-01 01:59
GTbets1.17I 85.47%NM 82.33%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.67%EV +0.045%E +0.008%K +0.010%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-01 02:14
DraftKings1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -0.873%E -0.162%K -0.198%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-01 02:00
Fanatics1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -2.71%E -0.511%K -0.630%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 02:10
Caesars1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -2.71%E -0.511%K -0.630%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 02:07
Fliff1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.71%E -0.511%K -0.630%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 07:14
Hard Rock Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.63%E -0.691%K -0.853%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-01 02:35
Betway1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.63%E -0.691%K -0.853%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-01 05:33
Betr (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -3.63%E -0.691%K -0.853%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 02:35
Bet Right1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -3.63%E -0.691%K -0.853%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 02:35
SportsBet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.11%E -5.31%K -40.74%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -3.63%E -0.691%K -0.853%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 04:14
theScore Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.11%E -5.31%K -40.74%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -3.63%E -0.691%K -0.853%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 02:34
Unibet (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -4.54%E -0.874%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 02:34
Unibet (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -4.54%E -0.874%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 08:44
Unibet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -4.54%E -0.874%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 08:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -4.54%E -0.874%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 08:44
Unibet (NL)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -4.54%E -0.874%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 08:44
betPARX1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -4.54%E -0.874%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 08:44
ATG (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -4.54%E -0.874%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 08:45
Svenska Spel1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -4.54%E -0.874%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 08:45
Bally Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -4.54%E -0.874%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 08:45
BetRivers1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -4.54%E -0.874%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 08:45
TABtouch1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -4.54%E -0.874%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 08:45
FanDuel1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -6.38%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 01:50
888sport1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.22%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-01 02:34
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.22%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-01 02:35
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.22%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-01 02:34
Coolbet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.22%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 01:59
NordicBet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.11%E -5.31%K -40.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -8.22%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 02:34
Betsson1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.11%E -5.31%K -40.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -8.22%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 02:34
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.93%E -6.08%K -49.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.22%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-01 04:14
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.93%E -6.08%K -49.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.22%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-01 02:09
ReBet1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -6.11%E -5.31%K -40.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -10.05%E -2.05%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 02:35
PMU (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 81.40%EV -8.56%E -7.64%K -71.33%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -10.05%E -2.05%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-01 08:44
LeoVegas1.16I 86.21%NM 79.14%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -19.23%E -4.37%K -5.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-01 02:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (2)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Polymarket1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.0%2026-08-01 07:09
Kalshi1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.0%2026-08-01 04:09
Arbitraje (31 combinaciones) +1.57%Fanatics 1.17 (86.8%) / 1xBet 7.70 (13.2%)Ver las 31 combinaciones
Dallas Wings (Local)Connecticut Sun (Visitante)Margen
GTbets 1.17 (86.8%)1xBet 7.70 (13.2%)+1.57%
DraftKings 1.17 (86.8%)1xBet 7.70 (13.2%)+1.57%
Fanatics 1.17 (86.8%)1xBet 7.70 (13.2%)+1.57%
Caesars 1.17 (86.8%)1xBet 7.70 (13.2%)+1.57%
Hard Rock Bet 1.17 (86.8%)1xBet 7.70 (13.2%)+1.57%
Betway 1.17 (86.8%)1xBet 7.70 (13.2%)+1.57%
Unibet (UK) 1.17 (86.8%)1xBet 7.70 (13.2%)+1.57%
Unibet (SE) 1.17 (86.8%)1xBet 7.70 (13.2%)+1.57%
Unibet 1.17 (86.8%)1xBet 7.70 (13.2%)+1.57%
LeoVegas (SE) 1.17 (86.8%)1xBet 7.70 (13.2%)+1.57%
Unibet (NL) 1.17 (86.8%)1xBet 7.70 (13.2%)+1.57%
betPARX 1.17 (86.8%)1xBet 7.70 (13.2%)+1.57%
ATG (SE) 1.17 (86.8%)1xBet 7.70 (13.2%)+1.57%
Svenska Spel 1.17 (86.8%)1xBet 7.70 (13.2%)+1.57%
Bally Bet 1.17 (86.8%)1xBet 7.70 (13.2%)+1.57%
FanDuel 1.17 (86.8%)1xBet 7.70 (13.2%)+1.57%
888sport 1.17 (86.8%)1xBet 7.70 (13.2%)+1.57%
888sport (SE) 1.17 (86.8%)1xBet 7.70 (13.2%)+1.57%
Mr Green (SE) 1.17 (86.8%)1xBet 7.70 (13.2%)+1.57%
Fliff 1.16 (86.9%)1xBet 7.70 (13.1%)+0.813%
Betr (AU) 1.16 (86.9%)1xBet 7.70 (13.1%)+0.813%
Bet Right 1.16 (86.9%)1xBet 7.70 (13.1%)+0.813%
BetRivers 1.16 (86.9%)1xBet 7.70 (13.1%)+0.813%
TABtouch 1.16 (86.9%)1xBet 7.70 (13.1%)+0.813%
Coolbet 1.16 (86.9%)1xBet 7.70 (13.1%)+0.813%
LeoVegas 1.16 (86.9%)1xBet 7.70 (13.1%)+0.813%
SportsBet 1.15 (87.0%)1xBet 7.70 (13.0%)+0.056%
theScore Bet 1.15 (87.0%)1xBet 7.70 (13.0%)+0.056%
NordicBet 1.15 (87.0%)1xBet 7.70 (13.0%)+0.056%
Betsson 1.15 (87.0%)1xBet 7.70 (13.0%)+0.056%
ReBet 1.15 (87.0%)1xBet 7.70 (13.0%)+0.056%