Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Dallas Wings v Connecticut Sun

Início: 2026-08-02 23:04 UTC

Final: Dallas Wings 83–63 Connecticut Sun

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Dallas Wings (Local)

Previsão 81.71%1.22odd justa
EV -1.95%
Vantagem -1.63%
Kelly -9.77%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
78.75%81.76%81.78%83.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.111.161.171.2090.09%85.89%85.47%83.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Connecticut Sun (Visitante)

Previsão 18.29%5.47odd justa
EV +5.20%
Vantagem +0.904%
Kelly +1.09%
Crescimento +0.057%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.67%18.24%18.22%21.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.305.215.295.7523.26%19.20%18.90%17.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Dallas Wings (Local): 81.71%; Connecticut Sun (Visitante): 18.29%. Para Connecticut Sun (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.47. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.75, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +5.20%.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BetMGM🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -6.04%E -5.25%K -40.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +5.20%E +0.904%K +1.09%G +0.057%4.3%2026-08-02 22:30
betano_uk🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34%EV -3.59%E -3.04%K -19.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%EV +0.622%E +0.113%K +0.138%G +0.001%2.9%2026-08-02 22:50
Bet Victor🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34%EV -3.59%E -3.04%K -19.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%EV +0.622%E +0.113%K +0.138%G +0.001%2.9%2026-08-02 22:50
SportsBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.86%E -6.01%K -48.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +0.622%E +0.113%K +0.138%G +0.001%5.9%2026-08-02 22:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.41%E -3.77%K -25.91%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -1.21%E -0.224%K -0.274%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 22:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.22%E -4.50%K -32.64%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -1.21%E -0.224%K -0.274%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 22:59
Unibet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.22%E -4.50%K -32.64%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -1.21%E -0.224%K -0.274%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 22:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.22%E -4.50%K -32.64%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -1.21%E -0.224%K -0.274%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 22:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.22%E -4.50%K -32.64%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -1.21%E -0.224%K -0.274%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 22:54
betPARX🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.22%E -4.50%K -32.64%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -1.21%E -0.224%K -0.274%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 22:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.22%E -4.50%K -32.64%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -1.21%E -0.224%K -0.274%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 22:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.22%E -4.50%K -32.64%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -1.21%E -0.224%K -0.274%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 22:55
Bally Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.22%E -4.50%K -32.64%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -1.21%E -0.224%K -0.274%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 22:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.22%E -4.50%K -32.64%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -1.21%E -0.224%K -0.274%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 22:29
Neds🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.22%E -4.50%K -32.64%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -1.21%E -0.224%K -0.274%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 22:30
BetRivers🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -6.04%E -5.25%K -40.26%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -1.21%E -0.224%K -0.274%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 22:55
TABtouch🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -6.04%E -5.25%K -40.26%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -1.21%E -0.224%K -0.274%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 23:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.94%EV -4.41%E -3.77%K -25.91%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 18.06%EV -2.85%E -0.537%K -0.662%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 22:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.94%EV -4.41%E -3.77%K -25.91%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 18.06%EV -2.85%E -0.537%K -0.662%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 22:50
BetAnything🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -3.59%E -3.04%K -19.93%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV -3.04%E -0.573%K -0.706%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-02 22:50
Fanatics🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.41%E -3.77%K -25.91%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -3.04%E -0.573%K -0.706%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 21:00
Caesars🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.41%E -3.77%K -25.91%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -3.04%E -0.573%K -0.706%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 02:07
BetUS🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.41%E -3.77%K -25.91%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -3.04%E -0.573%K -0.706%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 22:45
Pinnacle🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.76%EV -3.59%E -3.04%K -19.93%G +0.000%5.29I 18.90%NM 18.24%EV -3.22%E -0.609%K -0.751%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-02 22:45
DraftKings🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.41%E -3.77%K -25.91%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.95%E -0.753%K -0.930%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-02 18:19
GTbets🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.41%E -3.77%K -25.91%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.95%E -0.753%K -0.930%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-02 22:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.22%E -4.50%K -32.64%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -3.95%E -0.753%K -0.930%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 22:49
Bet Right🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.22%E -4.50%K -32.64%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -3.95%E -0.753%K -0.930%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 22:50
FanDuel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.41%E -3.77%K -25.91%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -4.87%E -0.936%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 23:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.41%E -3.77%K -25.91%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -4.87%E -0.936%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 22:35
Fliff🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.22%E -4.50%K -32.64%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -6.70%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 22:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.59%E -3.04%K -19.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -8.53%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 22:59
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.41%E -3.77%K -25.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.53%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 22:59
ReBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.41%E -3.77%K -25.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.53%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 22:59
theScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.41%E -3.77%K -25.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.53%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 23:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.41%E -3.77%K -25.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.53%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 22:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.41%E -3.77%K -25.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.53%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 22:59
Betway🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.41%E -3.77%K -25.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.53%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 22:59
Bovada🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.41%E -3.77%K -25.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.53%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 22:48
Coolbet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.22%E -4.50%K -32.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.53%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 22:59
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.86%E -6.01%K -48.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.53%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-02 22:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.83%EV -9.31%E -8.39%K -84.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -8.53%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-02 22:59
NordicBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.22%E -4.50%K -32.64%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -10.35%E -2.11%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 22:59
Betsson🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.22%E -4.50%K -32.64%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -10.35%E -2.11%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 22:58
1xBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.20%EV -1.95%E -1.63%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.80%EV -11.09%E -2.28%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-02 22:24
TAB🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.41%E -3.77%K -25.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -12.18%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 22:30
LeoVegas🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.75%EV -5.22%E -4.50%K -32.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -21.33%E -4.96%K -6.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-02 23:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%0.8%2026-08-02 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%0.8%2026-08-02 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%0.8%2026-08-02 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%0.8%2026-08-02 23:00
Novig◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.63%5.71I 17.51%NM 17.37%0.8%2026-08-02 23:00
ProphetX◎1.21I 82.64%NM 81.83%5.45I 18.35%NM 18.17%1.0%2026-08-02 23:00
Polymarket◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.3%2026-08-02 22:35
Kalshi◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.3%2026-08-02 21:00