Connecticut Sun v Portland Fire

2026-07-14 15:10 UTC — WNBA

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

48%

52%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Connecticut Sun (Local)

Prediction 47.93%2.09fair odd

EV -4.14%

Edge -2.07%

Kelly -4.14%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

47.37%47.91%47.89%49.32%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.851.971.982.0054%51%51%50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Portland Fire (Visit)

Prediction 52.07%1.92fair odd

EV -3.67%

Edge -1.99%

Kelly -4.32%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

50.68%52.09%52.11%52.63%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.801.821.821.8556%55%55%54%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Fanatics	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.14%E -2.07%K -4.14%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.72%E -2.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-07-12 23:09
theScore Bet	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.14%E -2.07%K -4.14%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.72%E -2.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-07-12 23:14
Hard Rock Bet	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.14%E -2.07%K -4.14%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.72%E -2.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-07-12 23:34
888sport	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.14%E -2.07%K -4.14%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.28%E -3.49%K -7.85%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-12 23:10
Mr Green (SE)	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.14%E -2.07%K -4.14%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.28%E -3.49%K -7.85%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-12 23:10
888sport (SE)	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.14%E -2.07%K -4.14%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.28%E -3.49%K -7.85%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-12 23:14
Betr (AU)	1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.61%E -2.32%K -4.66%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.24%E -2.88%K -6.39%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-12 23:14
DraftKings	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.09%E -2.57%K -5.20%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.67%E -1.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-07-12 23:09
Unibet (UK)	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.09%E -2.57%K -5.20%G +0.000%	1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.20%E -2.28%K -4.99%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-07-12 23:14
Bet Right	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.09%E -2.57%K -5.20%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.72%E -2.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-12 23:14
Coolbet	1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.09%E -2.57%K -5.20%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.28%E -3.49%K -7.85%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-12 23:19
MyBookie.ag	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.57%E -2.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%	1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.20%E -2.28%K -4.99%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-12 23:19
NordicBet	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -6.53%E -3.35%K -6.88%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.24%E -2.88%K -6.39%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-12 23:14
Betsson	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -6.53%E -3.35%K -6.88%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.24%E -2.88%K -6.39%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-12 23:14
BoyleSports	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.53%E -3.35%K -6.88%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.28%E -3.49%K -7.85%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-07-12 23:14
ReBet	1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -7.01%E -3.61%K -7.46%G +0.000%	1.81I 55.25%NM 51.73%EV -5.76%E -3.18%K -7.11%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-07-12 23:10
LeoVegas	1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -11.33%E -6.12%K -13.32%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -6.28%E -3.49%K -7.85%G +0.000%	9.6%	2026-07-12 23:14

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Polymarket	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%	4.1%	2026-07-12 23:29