La escuela de los momiosConnecticut Sun v Portland Fire
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Connecticut Sun (Local)
Predicción 56.11%1.78momio equitativo
EV -0.691%
Ventaja -0.390%
Kelly -0.897%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.05%56.05%55.99%57.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.701.701.7761.73%58.80%58.82%56.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Portland Fire (Visitante)
Predicción 43.89%2.28momio equitativo
EV -0.802%
Ventaja -0.355%
Kelly -0.636%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.26
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.49%43.95%44.01%46.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.152.162.2650.00%46.42%46.30%44.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fliff | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -0.691%E -0.390%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -12.21%E -6.11%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-14 14:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.37%E -1.36%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.63%E -2.62%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-14 14:50 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -2.94%E -1.70%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -10.02%E -4.89%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-14 14:09 |
| Neds | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.50%E -2.03%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.63%E -2.62%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-14 14:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.50%E -2.03%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.63%E -2.62%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-14 14:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.50%E -2.03%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.82%E -3.73%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-14 14:49 |
| NordicBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -3.50%E -2.03%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -8.70%E -4.18%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-14 14:09 |
| Betsson | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -3.50%E -2.03%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -8.70%E -4.18%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-14 14:09 |
| theScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.06%E -2.37%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.44%E -1.56%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-14 14:59 |
| GTbets | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.06%E -2.37%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.44%E -1.56%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-14 14:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.06%E -2.37%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.44%E -1.56%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-14 14:59 |
| Bovada | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.06%E -2.37%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.44%E -1.56%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-14 14:28 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.06%E -2.37%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -5.19%E -2.40%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-14 14:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.06%E -2.37%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.63%E -2.62%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-14 14:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -2.12%E -0.950%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-14 14:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.44%E -1.56%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-14 14:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.75%E -2.19%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-14 14:29 |
| Unibet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.75%E -2.19%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-14 14:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.75%E -2.19%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-14 14:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.75%E -2.19%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-14 14:29 |
| betPARX | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.75%E -2.19%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-14 14:30 |
| Bally Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.75%E -2.19%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-14 14:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.75%E -2.19%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-14 14:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.75%E -2.19%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-14 14:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.19%E -2.40%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-14 14:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.19%E -2.40%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-14 14:29 |
| TABtouch | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.19%E -2.40%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-14 14:29 |
| 888sport | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.63%E -2.62%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-14 14:59 |
| ReBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.63%E -2.62%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-14 15:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.63%E -2.62%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-14 14:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.63%E -2.62%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-14 14:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.63%E -2.62%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-14 14:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.63%E -2.62%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-14 14:59 |
| TAB | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.82%E -3.73%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-14 14:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -12.21%E -6.11%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-14 14:59 |
| BetUS | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.18%E -3.06%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.24%E -0.551%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-14 14:49 |
| BetAnything | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.18%E -3.06%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.24%E -0.551%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-14 14:49 |
| Pinnacle | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -5.18%E -3.06%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -2.12%E -0.950%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-14 14:59 |
| Fanatics | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.18%E -3.06%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.44%E -1.56%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-14 14:19 |
| Betway | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.18%E -3.06%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.63%E -2.62%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-14 14:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.74%E -3.42%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.63%E -2.62%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-14 14:29 |
| Caesars | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -6.30%E -3.77%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -0.802%E -0.355%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-14 14:56 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.30%E -3.77%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.82%E -3.73%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-14 14:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -7.98%E -4.87%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -5.63%E -2.62%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-14 15:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.10%EV -9.11%E -5.62%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.90%EV -9.14%E -4.42%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-14 14:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.0% | 2026-07-14 14:59 |
| Matchbook | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.0% | 2026-07-14 14:59 |
| Polymarket | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-07-14 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64% | 1.4% | 2026-07-14 14:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64% | 1.4% | 2026-07-14 14:59 |
| Novig | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58% | 2.0% | 2026-07-14 15:00 |
| ProphetX | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32% | 2.6% | 2026-07-14 14:59 |