A Escola das Odds

Connecticut Sun v Portland Fire

Início: 2026-07-14 15:10 UTC

Final: Connecticut Sun 90–87 Portland Fire

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Connecticut Sun (Local)

Previsão 56.11%1.78odd justa
EV -0.691%
Vantagem -0.390%
Kelly -0.897%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.77

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.05%56.05%55.99%57.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.621.701.701.7761.73%58.80%58.82%56.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Portland Fire (Visitante)

Previsão 43.89%2.28odd justa
EV -0.802%
Vantagem -0.355%
Kelly -0.636%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.26

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.49%43.95%44.01%46.95%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.152.162.2650.00%46.42%46.30%44.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -0.691%E -0.390%K -0.897%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -12.21%E -6.11%K -12.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-14 14:59
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.37%E -1.36%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.63%E -2.62%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-14 14:50
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -2.94%E -1.70%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -10.02%E -4.89%K -9.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-14 14:09
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.50%E -2.03%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.63%E -2.62%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-14 14:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.50%E -2.03%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.63%E -2.62%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-14 14:59
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.50%E -2.03%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.82%E -3.73%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-14 14:49
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -3.50%E -2.03%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -8.70%E -4.18%K -8.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-14 14:09
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -3.50%E -2.03%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -8.70%E -4.18%K -8.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-14 14:09
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.06%E -2.37%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.44%E -1.56%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-14 14:59
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.06%E -2.37%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.44%E -1.56%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-14 14:59
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.06%E -2.37%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.44%E -1.56%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-14 14:59
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.06%E -2.37%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.44%E -1.56%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-14 14:28
MyBookie.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.06%E -2.37%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -5.19%E -2.40%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-14 14:55
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.06%E -2.37%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.63%E -2.62%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-14 14:59
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -2.12%E -0.950%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-14 14:59
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.44%E -1.56%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-14 14:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.75%E -2.19%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-14 14:29
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.75%E -2.19%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-14 14:29
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.75%E -2.19%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-14 14:29
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.75%E -2.19%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-14 14:29
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.75%E -2.19%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-14 14:30
Bally Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.75%E -2.19%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-14 14:29
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.75%E -2.19%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-14 14:29
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.75%E -2.19%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-14 14:29
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.19%E -2.40%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-14 14:59
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.19%E -2.40%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-14 14:29
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.19%E -2.40%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-14 14:29
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.63%E -2.62%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-14 14:59
ReBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.63%E -2.62%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-14 15:00
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.63%E -2.62%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-14 14:59
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.63%E -2.62%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-14 14:59
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.63%E -2.62%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-14 14:59
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.63%E -2.62%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-14 14:59
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.82%E -3.73%K -7.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-14 14:59
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -12.21%E -6.11%K -12.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-14 14:59
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.18%E -3.06%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.24%E -0.551%K -0.992%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-14 14:49
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.18%E -3.06%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.24%E -0.551%K -0.992%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-14 14:49
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -5.18%E -3.06%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -2.12%E -0.950%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-14 14:59
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.18%E -3.06%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.44%E -1.56%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-14 14:19
Betway1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.18%E -3.06%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.63%E -2.62%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-14 14:59
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.74%E -3.42%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.63%E -2.62%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-14 14:29
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -6.30%E -3.77%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -0.802%E -0.355%K -0.636%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-14 14:56
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.30%E -3.77%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.82%E -3.73%K -7.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-14 14:40
Bet Right1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -7.98%E -4.87%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -5.63%E -2.62%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-14 15:00
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.10%EV -9.11%E -5.62%K -14.69%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.90%EV -9.14%E -4.42%K -8.54%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-14 14:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-07-14 14:59
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-07-14 14:59
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-07-14 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.4%2026-07-14 14:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.4%2026-07-14 14:59
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%2.0%2026-07-14 15:00
ProphetX1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%2.6%2026-07-14 14:59