Language:English
Connecticut Sun v Phoenix Mercury
Head to Head
Connecticut Sun (Local)
Prediction 34.06%2.94fair odd
EV +0.471%
Edge +0.160%
Kelly +0.242%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.49%34.05%34.08%35.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.772.772.9539.22%36.05%36.10%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Phoenix Mercury (Visit)
Prediction 65.94%1.52fair odd
EV -2.41%
Edge -1.63%
Kelly -5.01%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.23%65.95%65.92%67.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.431.431.4871.43%69.76%69.93%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Connecticut Sun (Local): 34.06%; Phoenix Mercury (Visit): 65.94%. For Connecticut Sun (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.94. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.95, producing a positive expected value of +0.471%.
Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV +0.471%E +0.160%K +0.242%G +0.001% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -6.36%E -4.48%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-06 05:18 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.93%E -1.03%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-06 07:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.93%E -1.03%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-06 06:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.93%E -1.03%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.70%E -3.99%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-06 04:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.93%E -1.03%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.70%E -3.99%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-06 04:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -4.64%E -1.66%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.41%E -1.63%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-06 04:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.64%E -1.66%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.38%E -3.02%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 06:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.64%E -1.66%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.38%E -3.02%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 04:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.64%E -1.66%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.38%E -3.02%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 06:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.64%E -1.66%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 06:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.97%EV -5.32%E -1.91%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.03%EV -5.70%E -3.99%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 06:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.05%EV -5.66%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.95%EV -5.70%E -3.99%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 04:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.34%E -2.31%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 04:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.34%E -2.31%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 04:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.34%E -2.31%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 04:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.34%E -2.31%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.04%E -3.50%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 05:24 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.34%E -2.31%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.70%E -3.99%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 06:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.34%E -2.31%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.68%E -5.49%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-06 04:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.34%E -2.31%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.68%E -5.49%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-06 06:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -8.04%E -2.98%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.70%E -3.99%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-06 04:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.04%E -2.98%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.36%E -4.48%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-06 04:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.04%E -2.98%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.36%E -4.48%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-06 04:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -13.15%E -5.16%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -6.36%E -4.48%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-06 05:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (2)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 1.0% | 2026-08-06 07:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97% | 3.0% | 2026-08-06 07:55 |