语言:简体中文
Connecticut Sun v Phoenix Mercury
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Connecticut Sun (主队)
预测 34.40%2.91公平赔率
EV +0.437%
优势 +0.150%
Kelly +0.228%
增长率 +0.001%
假设最高赔率为 2.92
博彩公司预测分布
32.56%34.49%34.40%36.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.482.732.752.9240.32%36.62%36.36%34.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
Phoenix Mercury (客队)
预测 65.60%1.52公平赔率
EV -1.59%
优势 -1.06%
Kelly -3.19%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.50
博彩公司预测分布
63.41%65.51%65.60%67.44%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.401.461.451.5071.43%68.53%68.97%66.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Connecticut Sun (主队)：34.40%；Phoenix Mercury (客队)：65.60%。 对于“Connecticut Sun (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.91。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.92，对应+0.437%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (48 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV +0.437%E +0.150%K +0.228%G +0.001% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -6.19%E -4.33%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-07 23:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV +0.437%E +0.150%K +0.228%G +0.001% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -6.19%E -4.33%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-07 23:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.79%EV +0.093%E +0.032%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.21%EV -6.84%E -4.82%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 21:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.251%E -0.086%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -0.939%E -0.326%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-07 21:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -1.97%E -0.691%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.56%E -2.42%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-07 23:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -1.97%E -0.691%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.56%E -2.42%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-07 23:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.97%E -0.691%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.53%E -3.84%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-07 23:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.97%E -0.691%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.53%E -3.84%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-07 23:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.69%E -1.32%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.91%E -1.96%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-07 23:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.69%E -1.32%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.56%E -2.42%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-07 22:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.69%E -1.32%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.22%E -2.89%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-07 22:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.69%E -1.32%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.87%E -3.36%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-07 23:12 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.69%E -1.32%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.87%E -3.36%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-07 23:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.69%E -1.32%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.87%E -3.36%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-07 20:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.69%E -1.32%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.84%E -4.82%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-07 18:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.69%E -1.32%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.84%E -4.82%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-07 18:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.69%E -1.32%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.84%E -4.82%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-07 23:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.51%EV -4.03%E -1.45%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.49%EV -3.56%E -2.42%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-07 23:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.36%EV -4.72%E -1.70%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.64%EV -4.87%E -3.36%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 18:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.75%EV -5.07%E -1.84%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.25%EV -3.56%E -2.42%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-07 23:08 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.41%E -1.97%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.87%E -3.36%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 23:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.41%E -1.97%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.87%E -3.36%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 23:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.41%E -1.97%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.53%E -3.84%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 23:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.41%E -1.97%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.53%E -3.84%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 23:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.41%E -1.97%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.53%E -3.84%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 23:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.53%EV -6.10%E -2.23%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.47%EV -5.53%E -3.84%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-07 22:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -6.44%E -2.37%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -3.56%E -2.42%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 23:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -7.13%E -2.64%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.25%E -1.51%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-07 23:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.13%E -2.64%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.87%E -3.36%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 23:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.13%E -2.64%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.53%E -3.84%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-07 23:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.13%E -2.64%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-07 23:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.02%EV -7.47%E -2.78%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.98%EV -4.87%E -3.36%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-07 23:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -8.85%E -3.34%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -1.59%E -1.06%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-07 22:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.88%E -3.77%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.53%E -3.84%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 22:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.57%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.59%E -1.06%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.57%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.59%E -1.06%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.57%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.59%E -1.06%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.57%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.59%E -1.06%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.57%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.59%E -1.06%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.57%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.59%E -1.06%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.57%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.59%E -1.06%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.57%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.59%E -1.06%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.57%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.59%E -1.06%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.57%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.59%E -1.06%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.57%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.59%E -1.06%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 23:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.57%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.59%E -1.06%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 23:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.57%EV -14.70%E -5.93%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.43%EV -6.19%E -4.33%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (8)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67% | 0.7% | 2026-08-07 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67% | 0.7% | 2026-08-07 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67% | 0.7% | 2026-08-07 23:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 0.9% | 2026-08-07 23:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 1.0% | 2026-08-07 23:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 1.0% | 2026-08-07 23:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.96% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.04% | 1.5% | 2026-08-07 23:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.64% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.36% | 1.8% | 2026-08-07 23:30 |