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Connecticut Sun v Phoenix Mercury
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Connecticut Sun (Local)
Predicción 34.40%2.91momio equitativo
EV +0.437%
Ventaja +0.150%
Kelly +0.228%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.92
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.56%34.49%34.40%36.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.482.732.752.9240.32%36.62%36.36%34.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Phoenix Mercury (Visitante)
Predicción 65.60%1.52momio equitativo
EV -1.59%
Ventaja -1.06%
Kelly -3.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.41%65.51%65.60%67.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.401.461.451.5071.43%68.53%68.97%66.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Connecticut Sun (Local): 34.40%; Phoenix Mercury (Visitante): 65.60%. Para Connecticut Sun (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.91. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.92, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.437%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV +0.437%E +0.150%K +0.228%G +0.001% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -6.19%E -4.33%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-07 23:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV +0.437%E +0.150%K +0.228%G +0.001% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -6.19%E -4.33%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-07 23:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.79%EV +0.093%E +0.032%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.21%EV -6.84%E -4.82%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 21:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.251%E -0.086%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -0.939%E -0.326%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-07 21:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -1.97%E -0.691%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.56%E -2.42%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-07 23:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -1.97%E -0.691%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.56%E -2.42%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-07 23:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.97%E -0.691%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.53%E -3.84%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-07 23:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.97%E -0.691%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.53%E -3.84%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-07 23:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.69%E -1.32%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.91%E -1.96%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-07 23:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.69%E -1.32%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.56%E -2.42%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-07 22:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.69%E -1.32%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.22%E -2.89%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-07 22:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.69%E -1.32%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.87%E -3.36%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-07 23:12 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.69%E -1.32%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.87%E -3.36%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-07 23:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.69%E -1.32%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.87%E -3.36%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-07 20:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.69%E -1.32%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.84%E -4.82%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-07 18:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.69%E -1.32%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.84%E -4.82%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-07 18:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.69%E -1.32%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.84%E -4.82%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-07 23:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.51%EV -4.03%E -1.45%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.49%EV -3.56%E -2.42%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-07 23:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.36%EV -4.72%E -1.70%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.64%EV -4.87%E -3.36%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 18:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.75%EV -5.07%E -1.84%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.25%EV -3.56%E -2.42%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-07 23:08 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.41%E -1.97%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.87%E -3.36%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 23:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.41%E -1.97%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.87%E -3.36%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 23:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.41%E -1.97%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.53%E -3.84%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 23:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.41%E -1.97%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.53%E -3.84%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 23:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.41%E -1.97%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.53%E -3.84%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 23:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.53%EV -6.10%E -2.23%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.47%EV -5.53%E -3.84%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-07 22:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -6.44%E -2.37%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -3.56%E -2.42%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 23:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -7.13%E -2.64%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.25%E -1.51%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-07 23:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.13%E -2.64%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.87%E -3.36%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 23:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.13%E -2.64%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.53%E -3.84%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-07 23:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.13%E -2.64%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-07 23:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.02%EV -7.47%E -2.78%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.98%EV -4.87%E -3.36%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-07 23:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -8.85%E -3.34%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -1.59%E -1.06%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-07 22:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.88%E -3.77%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.53%E -3.84%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 22:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.57%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.59%E -1.06%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.57%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.59%E -1.06%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.57%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.59%E -1.06%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.57%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.59%E -1.06%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.57%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.59%E -1.06%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.57%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.59%E -1.06%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.57%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.59%E -1.06%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.57%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.59%E -1.06%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.57%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.59%E -1.06%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.57%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.59%E -1.06%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.57%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.59%E -1.06%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 23:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.57%E -4.07%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.59%E -1.06%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 23:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.57%EV -14.70%E -5.93%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.43%EV -6.19%E -4.33%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67% | 0.7% | 2026-08-07 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67% | 0.7% | 2026-08-07 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67% | 0.7% | 2026-08-07 23:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 0.9% | 2026-08-07 23:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 1.0% | 2026-08-07 23:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 1.0% | 2026-08-07 23:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.96% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.04% | 1.5% | 2026-08-07 23:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.64% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.36% | 1.8% | 2026-08-07 23:30 |