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Connecticut Sun v Las Vegas Aces
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Connecticut Sun (Local)
Prediction 10.74%9.31fair odd
EV +28.94%
Edge +2.41%
Kelly +2.63%
Growth +0.761%
assuming max odds 12.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.98%10.50%10.77%14.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.508.738.9512.0015.38%11.45%11.17%8.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Las Vegas Aces (Visit)
Prediction 89.26%1.12fair odd
EV -2.71%
Edge -2.49%
Kelly -30.13%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.09
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.75%89.50%89.23%92.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.071.071.0999.01%93.57%93.46%91.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Connecticut Sun (Local): 10.74%; Las Vegas Aces (Visit): 89.26%. For Connecticut Sun (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.31. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 12.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +28.94%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.12%EV +28.94%E +2.41%K +2.63%G +0.761% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.88%EV -5.39%E -5.08%K -89.82%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-15 23:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +28.94%E +2.41%K +2.63%G +0.761% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -7.17%E -6.90%K -179.36%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-15 23:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +12.82%E +1.22%K +1.35%G +0.173% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -6.28%E -5.98%K -125.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-15 23:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +7.45%E +0.745%K +0.827%G +0.062% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -6.28%E -5.98%K -125.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-15 23:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV +2.07%E +0.218%K +0.244%G +0.005% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -7.17%E -6.90%K -179.36%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-15 23:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.37%EV -0.611%E -0.066%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.63%EV -4.50%E -4.20%K -64.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-15 23:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -3.30%E -0.366%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.60%E -3.34%K -45.05%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-15 20:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -3.30%E -0.366%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.60%E -3.34%K -45.05%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-15 14:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -3.30%E -0.366%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.50%E -4.20%K -64.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-15 16:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -3.30%E -0.366%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.50%E -4.20%K -64.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-15 00:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -3.30%E -0.366%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.50%E -4.20%K -64.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-15 23:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -3.30%E -0.366%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.50%E -4.20%K -64.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-15 23:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -3.30%E -0.366%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.50%E -4.20%K -64.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-15 23:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -3.30%E -0.366%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.50%E -4.20%K -64.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-15 23:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -3.30%E -0.366%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.50%E -4.20%K -64.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-15 23:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -3.30%E -0.366%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.50%E -4.20%K -64.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-15 23:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -3.30%E -0.366%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.50%E -4.20%K -64.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-15 23:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -3.30%E -0.366%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.50%E -4.20%K -64.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-15 23:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -3.30%E -0.366%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.50%E -4.20%K -64.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-15 23:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -3.30%E -0.366%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.50%E -4.20%K -64.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-15 23:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -3.30%E -0.366%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.50%E -4.20%K -64.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-15 11:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 8.97I 11.15%NM 10.83%EV -3.62%E -0.404%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.17%EV -2.71%E -2.49%K -30.13%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-15 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 8.95I 11.17%NM 10.77%EV -3.83%E -0.428%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.23%EV -3.60%E -3.34%K -45.05%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-15 14:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 8.95I 11.17%NM 10.77%EV -3.83%E -0.428%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.23%EV -3.60%E -3.34%K -45.05%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-15 14:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -5.98%E -0.684%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.50%E -4.20%K -64.24%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-15 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -5.98%E -0.684%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.50%E -4.20%K -64.24%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-15 11:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -8.67%E -1.02%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -3.60%E -3.34%K -45.05%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-15 23:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -8.67%E -1.02%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.50%E -4.20%K -64.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-15 23:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -8.67%E -1.02%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.28%E -5.98%K -125.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-15 23:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -8.67%E -1.02%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -7.17%E -6.90%K -179.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-15 23:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV -11.36%E -1.38%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.42%EV -3.60%E -3.34%K -45.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-15 23:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV -11.89%E -1.45%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -3.60%E -3.34%K -45.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-15 23:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV -11.89%E -1.45%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -3.60%E -3.34%K -45.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-15 23:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.86%EV -12.97%E -1.60%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.14%EV -2.71%E -2.49%K -30.13%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-15 22:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -14.04%E -1.76%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.60%E -3.34%K -45.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-15 23:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -14.04%E -1.76%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.50%E -4.20%K -64.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-15 22:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -14.04%E -1.76%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.50%E -4.20%K -64.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-15 22:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -14.04%E -1.76%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.39%E -5.08%K -89.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-15 11:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -14.04%E -1.76%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.39%E -5.08%K -89.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-15 11:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -14.04%E -1.76%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.39%E -5.08%K -89.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-15 11:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV -16.19%E -2.08%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -3.60%E -3.34%K -45.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-15 23:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -19.41%E -2.59%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.71%E -2.49%K -30.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-15 23:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -19.41%E -2.59%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.60%E -3.34%K -45.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-15 19:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -19.41%E -2.59%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.60%E -3.34%K -45.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-15 13:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.87%EV -19.41%E -2.59%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 88.13%EV -9.85%E -9.75%K -985.22%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-15 20:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -30.16%E -4.64%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -3.60%E -3.34%K -45.05%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-15 14:18 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 10.80I 9.26%NM 9.24% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.76% | 0.2% | 2026-05-15 23:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 0.9% | 2026-05-15 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 1.7% | 2026-05-15 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 1.7% | 2026-05-15 23:25 |
| Polymarket◎ | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.79% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.21% | 1.9% | 2026-05-15 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.59% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.41% | 2.6% | 2026-05-15 23:30 |
| Novig◎ | 9.17I 10.91%NM 10.36% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.64% | 5.2% | 2026-05-15 23:30 |