La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Connecticut Sun v Las Vegas Aces
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Connecticut Sun (Local)
Predicción 10.74%9.31momio equitativo
EV +28.94%
Ventaja +2.41%
Kelly +2.63%
Crecimiento +0.761%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 12.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
7.98%10.50%10.77%14.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.508.738.9512.0015.38%11.45%11.17%8.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Las Vegas Aces (Visitante)
Predicción 89.26%1.12momio equitativo
EV -2.71%
Ventaja -2.49%
Kelly -30.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.09
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
85.75%89.50%89.23%92.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.011.071.071.0999.01%93.57%93.46%91.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.12%EV +28.94%E +2.41%K +2.63%G +0.761% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.88%EV -5.39%E -5.08%K -89.82%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-15 23:29 |
| theScore Bet | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +28.94%E +2.41%K +2.63%G +0.761% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -7.17%E -6.90%K -179.36%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-15 23:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +12.82%E +1.22%K +1.35%G +0.173% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -6.28%E -5.98%K -125.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-15 23:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +7.45%E +0.745%K +0.827%G +0.062% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -6.28%E -5.98%K -125.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-15 23:30 |
| Betway | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV +2.07%E +0.218%K +0.244%G +0.005% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -7.17%E -6.90%K -179.36%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-15 23:30 |
| BetAnything | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.37%EV -0.611%E -0.066%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.63%EV -4.50%E -4.20%K -64.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-15 23:29 |
| GTbets | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -3.30%E -0.366%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.60%E -3.34%K -45.05%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-15 20:44 |
| BetUS | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -3.30%E -0.366%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.60%E -3.34%K -45.05%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-15 14:40 |
| DraftKings | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -3.30%E -0.366%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.50%E -4.20%K -64.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-15 16:44 |
| Caesars | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -3.30%E -0.366%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.50%E -4.20%K -64.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-15 00:39 |
| LeoVegas | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -3.30%E -0.366%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.50%E -4.20%K -64.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-15 23:20 |
| TABtouch | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -3.30%E -0.366%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.50%E -4.20%K -64.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-15 23:20 |
| Unibet | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -3.30%E -0.366%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.50%E -4.20%K -64.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-15 23:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -3.30%E -0.366%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.50%E -4.20%K -64.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-15 23:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -3.30%E -0.366%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.50%E -4.20%K -64.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-15 23:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -3.30%E -0.366%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.50%E -4.20%K -64.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-15 23:20 |
| Bally Bet | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -3.30%E -0.366%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.50%E -4.20%K -64.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-15 23:20 |
| betPARX | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -3.30%E -0.366%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.50%E -4.20%K -64.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-15 23:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -3.30%E -0.366%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.50%E -4.20%K -64.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-15 23:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -3.30%E -0.366%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.50%E -4.20%K -64.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-15 23:20 |
| BetMGM | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -3.30%E -0.366%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.50%E -4.20%K -64.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-15 11:30 |
| Pinnacle | 8.97I 11.15%NM 10.83%EV -3.62%E -0.404%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.17%EV -2.71%E -2.49%K -30.13%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-15 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 8.95I 11.17%NM 10.77%EV -3.83%E -0.428%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.23%EV -3.60%E -3.34%K -45.05%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-15 14:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 8.95I 11.17%NM 10.77%EV -3.83%E -0.428%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.23%EV -3.60%E -3.34%K -45.05%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-15 14:39 |
| Neds | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -5.98%E -0.684%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.50%E -4.20%K -64.24%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-15 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -5.98%E -0.684%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.50%E -4.20%K -64.24%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-15 11:30 |
| Fanatics | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -8.67%E -1.02%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -3.60%E -3.34%K -45.05%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-15 23:20 |
| BetRivers | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -8.67%E -1.02%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.50%E -4.20%K -64.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-15 23:20 |
| Fliff | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -8.67%E -1.02%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.28%E -5.98%K -125.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-15 23:30 |
| Coolbet | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -8.67%E -1.02%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -7.17%E -6.90%K -179.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-15 23:30 |
| Bovada | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV -11.36%E -1.38%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.42%EV -3.60%E -3.34%K -45.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-15 23:29 |
| ReBet | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV -11.89%E -1.45%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -3.60%E -3.34%K -45.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-15 23:25 |
| MyBookie.ag | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV -11.89%E -1.45%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -3.60%E -3.34%K -45.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-15 23:19 |
| 1xBet | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.86%EV -12.97%E -1.60%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.14%EV -2.71%E -2.49%K -30.13%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-15 22:55 |
| Bet Right | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -14.04%E -1.76%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.60%E -3.34%K -45.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-15 23:30 |
| Betsson | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -14.04%E -1.76%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.50%E -4.20%K -64.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-15 22:55 |
| NordicBet | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -14.04%E -1.76%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.50%E -4.20%K -64.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-15 22:54 |
| 888sport | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -14.04%E -1.76%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.39%E -5.08%K -89.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-15 11:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -14.04%E -1.76%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.39%E -5.08%K -89.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-15 11:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -14.04%E -1.76%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.39%E -5.08%K -89.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-15 11:55 |
| FanDuel | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV -16.19%E -2.08%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -3.60%E -3.34%K -45.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-15 23:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -19.41%E -2.59%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.71%E -2.49%K -30.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-15 23:29 |
| SportsBet | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -19.41%E -2.59%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.60%E -3.34%K -45.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-15 19:30 |
| TAB | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -19.41%E -2.59%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.60%E -3.34%K -45.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-15 13:29 |
| PMU (FR) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.87%EV -19.41%E -2.59%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 88.13%EV -9.85%E -9.75%K -985.22%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-15 20:40 |
| Paddy Power | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -30.16%E -4.64%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -3.60%E -3.34%K -45.05%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-15 14:18 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 10.80I 9.26%NM 9.24% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.76% | 0.2% | 2026-05-15 23:15 |
| Kalshi | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 0.9% | 2026-05-15 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 1.7% | 2026-05-15 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 1.7% | 2026-05-15 23:25 |
| Polymarket | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.79% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.21% | 1.9% | 2026-05-15 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.59% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.41% | 2.6% | 2026-05-15 23:30 |
| Novig | 9.17I 10.91%NM 10.36% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.64% | 5.2% | 2026-05-15 23:30 |