A Escola das Odds

Connecticut Sun v Las Vegas Aces

Início: 2026-05-15 23:40 UTC

Final: Connecticut Sun 94–101 Las Vegas Aces

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Connecticut Sun (Local)

Previsão 10.74%9.31odd justa
EV +28.94%
Vantagem +2.41%
Kelly +2.63%
Crescimento +0.761%

pressupondo odds máximas de 12.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
7.98%10.50%10.77%14.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
6.508.738.9512.0015.38%11.45%11.17%8.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Las Vegas Aces (Visitante)

Previsão 89.26%1.12odd justa
EV -2.71%
Vantagem -2.49%
Kelly -30.13%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.09

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
85.75%89.50%89.23%92.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.011.071.071.0999.01%93.57%93.46%91.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Bet Victor12.00I 8.33%NM 8.12%EV +28.94%E +2.41%K +2.63%G +0.761%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.88%EV -5.39%E -5.08%K -89.82%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-15 23:29
theScore Bet12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +28.94%E +2.41%K +2.63%G +0.761%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -7.17%E -6.90%K -179.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-15 23:30
Unibet (UK)10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +12.82%E +1.22%K +1.35%G +0.173%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -6.28%E -5.98%K -125.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 23:30
Hard Rock Bet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +7.45%E +0.745%K +0.827%G +0.062%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -6.28%E -5.98%K -125.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-15 23:30
Betway9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV +2.07%E +0.218%K +0.244%G +0.005%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -7.17%E -6.90%K -179.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-15 23:30
BetAnything9.25I 10.81%NM 10.37%EV -0.611%E -0.066%K -0.074%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.63%EV -4.50%E -4.20%K -64.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 23:29
GTbets9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -3.30%E -0.366%K -0.412%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.60%E -3.34%K -45.05%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-15 20:44
BetUS9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -3.30%E -0.366%K -0.412%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.60%E -3.34%K -45.05%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-15 14:40
DraftKings9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -3.30%E -0.366%K -0.412%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.50%E -4.20%K -64.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 16:44
Caesars9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -3.30%E -0.366%K -0.412%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.50%E -4.20%K -64.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 00:39
LeoVegas9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -3.30%E -0.366%K -0.412%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.50%E -4.20%K -64.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 23:20
TABtouch9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -3.30%E -0.366%K -0.412%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.50%E -4.20%K -64.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 23:20
Unibet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -3.30%E -0.366%K -0.412%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.50%E -4.20%K -64.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 23:20
Unibet (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -3.30%E -0.366%K -0.412%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.50%E -4.20%K -64.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -3.30%E -0.366%K -0.412%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.50%E -4.20%K -64.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 23:20
Unibet (NL)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -3.30%E -0.366%K -0.412%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.50%E -4.20%K -64.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 23:20
Bally Bet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -3.30%E -0.366%K -0.412%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.50%E -4.20%K -64.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 23:20
betPARX9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -3.30%E -0.366%K -0.412%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.50%E -4.20%K -64.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 23:20
Svenska Spel9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -3.30%E -0.366%K -0.412%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.50%E -4.20%K -64.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 23:20
ATG (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -3.30%E -0.366%K -0.412%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.50%E -4.20%K -64.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 23:20
BetMGM9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -3.30%E -0.366%K -0.412%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.50%E -4.20%K -64.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 11:30
Pinnacle8.97I 11.15%NM 10.83%EV -3.62%E -0.404%K -0.454%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 89.17%EV -2.71%E -2.49%K -30.13%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-15 22:55
BetOnline.ag8.95I 11.17%NM 10.77%EV -3.83%E -0.428%K -0.482%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.23%EV -3.60%E -3.34%K -45.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-15 14:44
LowVig.ag8.95I 11.17%NM 10.77%EV -3.83%E -0.428%K -0.482%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.23%EV -3.60%E -3.34%K -45.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-15 14:39
Neds8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -5.98%E -0.684%K -0.772%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.50%E -4.20%K -64.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-15 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -5.98%E -0.684%K -0.772%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.50%E -4.20%K -64.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-15 11:30
Fanatics8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -8.67%E -1.02%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -3.60%E -3.34%K -45.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-15 23:20
BetRivers8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -8.67%E -1.02%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.50%E -4.20%K -64.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-15 23:20
Fliff8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -8.67%E -1.02%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.28%E -5.98%K -125.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 23:30
Coolbet8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -8.67%E -1.02%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -7.17%E -6.90%K -179.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 23:30
Bovada8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV -11.36%E -1.38%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.42%EV -3.60%E -3.34%K -45.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 23:29
ReBet8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV -11.89%E -1.45%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -3.60%E -3.34%K -45.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 23:25
MyBookie.ag8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV -11.89%E -1.45%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -3.60%E -3.34%K -45.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 23:19
1xBet8.10I 12.35%NM 11.86%EV -12.97%E -1.60%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.14%EV -2.71%E -2.49%K -30.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-15 22:55
Bet Right8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -14.04%E -1.76%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.60%E -3.34%K -45.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 23:30
Betsson8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -14.04%E -1.76%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.50%E -4.20%K -64.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 22:55
NordicBet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -14.04%E -1.76%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.50%E -4.20%K -64.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 22:54
888sport8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -14.04%E -1.76%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.39%E -5.08%K -89.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 11:50
Mr Green (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -14.04%E -1.76%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.39%E -5.08%K -89.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 11:55
888sport (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -14.04%E -1.76%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.39%E -5.08%K -89.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 11:55
FanDuel7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV -16.19%E -2.08%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -3.60%E -3.34%K -45.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 23:25
Betr (AU)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -19.41%E -2.59%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.71%E -2.49%K -30.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 23:29
SportsBet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -19.41%E -2.59%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.60%E -3.34%K -45.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 19:30
TAB7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -19.41%E -2.59%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.60%E -3.34%K -45.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 13:29
PMU (FR)7.50I 13.33%NM 11.87%EV -19.41%E -2.59%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 88.13%EV -9.85%E -9.75%K -985.22%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-15 20:40
Paddy Power6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -30.16%E -4.64%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -3.60%E -3.34%K -45.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 14:18
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX10.80I 9.26%NM 9.24%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.76%0.2%2026-05-15 23:15
Kalshi10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%0.9%2026-05-15 23:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%1.7%2026-05-15 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%1.7%2026-05-15 23:25
Polymarket9.09I 11.00%NM 10.79%1.10I 90.91%NM 89.21%1.9%2026-05-15 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)9.20I 10.87%NM 10.59%1.09I 91.74%NM 89.41%2.6%2026-05-15 23:30
Novig9.17I 10.91%NM 10.36%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.64%5.2%2026-05-15 23:30