The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Connecticut Sun v Golden State Valkyries

Kickoff: 2026-08-26 23:02 UTC

Final: Connecticut Sun 64–89 Golden State Valkyries

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Connecticut Sun (Local)

Prediction 10.87%9.20fair odd
EV +8.67%
Edge +0.867%
Kelly +0.963%
Growth +0.083%

assuming max odds 10.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.58%10.85%10.77%12.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.308.578.5010.0013.70%11.67%11.76%10.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Golden State Valkyries (Visit)

Prediction 89.13%1.12fair odd
EV -2.84%
Edge -2.61%
Kelly -31.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
87.41%89.15%89.23%90.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.041.071.071.0996.15%93.35%93.46%91.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Connecticut Sun (Local): 10.87%; Golden State Valkyries (Visit): 89.13%. For Connecticut Sun (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.20. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.67%.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +8.67%E +0.867%K +0.963%G +0.083%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.52%E -5.21%K -91.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-26 22:39
BetMGM🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +8.67%E +0.867%K +0.963%G +0.083%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.52%E -5.21%K -91.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-26 22:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯9.75I 10.26%NM 9.72%EV +5.95%E +0.610%K +0.680%G +0.040%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.28%EV -6.41%E -6.10%K -128.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-26 22:44
Neds🎯9.75I 10.26%NM 9.72%EV +5.95%E +0.610%K +0.680%G +0.040%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.28%EV -6.41%E -6.10%K -128.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-26 22:44
Pinnacle🎯9.35I 10.70%NM 10.35%EV +1.60%E +0.171%K +0.192%G +0.003%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.65%EV -3.74%E -3.46%K -46.70%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-26 22:54
Bet Victor🎯9.25I 10.81%NM 10.45%EV +0.516%E +0.056%K +0.063%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.55%EV -3.74%E -3.46%K -46.70%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-26 22:49
betano_uk🎯9.25I 10.81%NM 10.45%EV +0.516%E +0.056%K +0.063%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.55%EV -3.74%E -3.46%K -46.70%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-26 22:49
Fliff🎯9.20I 10.87%NM 10.42%EV -0.027%E -0.003%K -0.003%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.58%EV -4.63%E -4.32%K -66.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-26 22:59
BetUS🎯9.10I 10.99%NM 10.52%EV -1.11%E -0.122%K -0.138%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.48%EV -4.63%E -4.32%K -66.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-26 22:39
Fanatics🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -2.20%E -0.245%K -0.275%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.74%E -3.46%K -46.70%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-26 22:40
Unibet (UK)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -2.20%E -0.245%K -0.275%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.63%E -4.32%K -66.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-26 22:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -2.20%E -0.245%K -0.275%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.63%E -4.32%K -66.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-26 22:39
888sport🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.20%E -0.245%K -0.275%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.52%E -5.21%K -91.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-26 22:39
888sport (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.20%E -0.245%K -0.275%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.52%E -5.21%K -91.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-26 22:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.20%E -0.245%K -0.275%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.52%E -5.21%K -91.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-26 22:39
BetOnline.ag🎯8.95I 11.17%NM 10.77%EV -2.74%E -0.307%K -0.345%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.23%EV -3.74%E -3.46%K -46.70%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-26 22:59
LowVig.ag🎯8.95I 11.17%NM 10.77%EV -2.74%E -0.307%K -0.345%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.23%EV -3.74%E -3.46%K -46.70%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-26 23:00
MyBookie.ag🎯8.90I 11.24%NM 10.73%EV -3.29%E -0.369%K -0.416%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.27%EV -4.63%E -4.32%K -66.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-26 22:49
Betr (AU)🎯8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -4.92%E -0.562%K -0.634%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.63%E -4.32%K -66.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-26 22:49
BetAnything🎯8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -4.92%E -0.562%K -0.634%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.63%E -4.32%K -66.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-26 23:00
GTbets🎯8.60I 11.63%NM 11.25%EV -6.55%E -0.761%K -0.861%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.75%EV -2.84%E -2.61%K -31.61%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-26 22:59
FanDuel🎯8.60I 11.63%NM 11.07%EV -6.55%E -0.761%K -0.861%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.93%EV -4.63%E -4.32%K -66.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 22:44
DraftKings🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -7.63%E -0.898%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -3.74%E -3.46%K -46.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-26 22:59
Caesars🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -7.63%E -0.898%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -3.74%E -3.46%K -46.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-26 22:37
Bet Right🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.63%E -0.898%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.63%E -4.32%K -66.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-26 22:49
Bovada🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.63%E -0.898%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.63%E -4.32%K -66.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-26 22:43
NordicBet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -7.63%E -0.898%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.52%E -5.21%K -91.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-26 22:59
Betsson🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -7.63%E -0.898%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.52%E -5.21%K -91.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-26 22:59
SportsBet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -7.63%E -0.898%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.52%E -5.21%K -91.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-26 22:39
ReBet🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV -10.35%E -1.25%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.42%EV -3.74%E -3.46%K -46.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-26 22:59
1xBet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -13.07%E -1.63%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -2.84%E -2.61%K -31.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-26 22:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -13.07%E -1.63%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.74%E -3.46%K -46.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 22:59
Unibet (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -13.07%E -1.63%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.74%E -3.46%K -46.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 23:00
Unibet (NL)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -13.07%E -1.63%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.74%E -3.46%K -46.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 23:00
Unibet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -13.07%E -1.63%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.74%E -3.46%K -46.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 23:00
BetRivers🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -13.07%E -1.63%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.74%E -3.46%K -46.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 23:00
TABtouch🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -13.07%E -1.63%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.74%E -3.46%K -46.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 22:59
Bally Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -13.07%E -1.63%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.74%E -3.46%K -46.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 23:00
betPARX🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -13.07%E -1.63%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.74%E -3.46%K -46.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 22:59
Svenska Spel🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -13.07%E -1.63%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.74%E -3.46%K -46.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 23:00
ATG (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -13.07%E -1.63%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.74%E -3.46%K -46.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 22:59
Betway🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -13.07%E -1.63%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.63%E -4.32%K -66.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-26 22:59
Coolbet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -13.07%E -1.63%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.63%E -4.32%K -66.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-26 22:44
TAB🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -18.50%E -2.47%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.74%E -3.46%K -46.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-26 22:59
Paddy Power🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -18.50%E -2.47%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.52%E -5.21%K -91.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-26 22:39
PMU (FR)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -18.50%E -2.47%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 87.82%EV -7.30%E -7.02%K -182.53%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-26 23:00
LeoVegas🎯7.30I 13.70%NM 12.57%EV -20.67%E -2.83%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 87.43%EV -6.41%E -6.10%K -128.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-26 22:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52%0.4%2026-08-26 23:00
Matchbook◎10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52%0.4%2026-08-26 23:00
ProphetX◎10.10I 9.90%NM 9.82%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.18%0.8%2026-08-26 23:00
Polymarket◎10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%0.9%2026-08-26 22:19
Kalshi◎10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%0.9%2026-08-26 16:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%0.9%2026-08-26 22:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%0.9%2026-08-26 22:54
Novig◎10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%1.7%2026-08-26 23:00