Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Connecticut Sun v Golden State Valkyries

Início: 2026-08-26 23:02 UTC

Final: Connecticut Sun 64–89 Golden State Valkyries

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Connecticut Sun (Local)

Previsão 10.87%9.20odd justa
EV +8.67%
Vantagem +0.867%
Kelly +0.963%
Crescimento +0.083%

pressupondo odds máximas de 10.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
9.58%10.85%10.77%12.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
7.308.578.5010.0013.70%11.67%11.76%10.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Golden State Valkyries (Visitante)

Previsão 89.13%1.12odd justa
EV -2.84%
Vantagem -2.61%
Kelly -31.61%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.09

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
87.41%89.15%89.23%90.42%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.041.071.071.0996.15%93.35%93.46%91.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Connecticut Sun (Local): 10.87%; Golden State Valkyries (Visitante): 89.13%. Para Connecticut Sun (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 9.20. 7 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 10.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +8.67%.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
theScore Bet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +8.67%E +0.867%K +0.963%G +0.083%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.52%E -5.21%K -91.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-26 22:39
BetMGM🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +8.67%E +0.867%K +0.963%G +0.083%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.52%E -5.21%K -91.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-26 22:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯9.75I 10.26%NM 9.72%EV +5.95%E +0.610%K +0.680%G +0.040%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.28%EV -6.41%E -6.10%K -128.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-26 22:44
Neds🎯9.75I 10.26%NM 9.72%EV +5.95%E +0.610%K +0.680%G +0.040%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.28%EV -6.41%E -6.10%K -128.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-26 22:44
Pinnacle🎯9.35I 10.70%NM 10.35%EV +1.60%E +0.171%K +0.192%G +0.003%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.65%EV -3.74%E -3.46%K -46.70%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-26 22:54
Bet Victor🎯9.25I 10.81%NM 10.45%EV +0.516%E +0.056%K +0.063%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.55%EV -3.74%E -3.46%K -46.70%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-26 22:49
betano_uk🎯9.25I 10.81%NM 10.45%EV +0.516%E +0.056%K +0.063%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.55%EV -3.74%E -3.46%K -46.70%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-26 22:49
Fliff🎯9.20I 10.87%NM 10.42%EV -0.027%E -0.003%K -0.003%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.58%EV -4.63%E -4.32%K -66.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-26 22:59
BetUS🎯9.10I 10.99%NM 10.52%EV -1.11%E -0.122%K -0.138%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.48%EV -4.63%E -4.32%K -66.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-26 22:39
Fanatics🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -2.20%E -0.245%K -0.275%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.74%E -3.46%K -46.70%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-26 22:40
Unibet (UK)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -2.20%E -0.245%K -0.275%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.63%E -4.32%K -66.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-26 22:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -2.20%E -0.245%K -0.275%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.63%E -4.32%K -66.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-26 22:39
888sport🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.20%E -0.245%K -0.275%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.52%E -5.21%K -91.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-26 22:39
888sport (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.20%E -0.245%K -0.275%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.52%E -5.21%K -91.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-26 22:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.20%E -0.245%K -0.275%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.52%E -5.21%K -91.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-26 22:39
BetOnline.ag🎯8.95I 11.17%NM 10.77%EV -2.74%E -0.307%K -0.345%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.23%EV -3.74%E -3.46%K -46.70%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-26 22:59
LowVig.ag🎯8.95I 11.17%NM 10.77%EV -2.74%E -0.307%K -0.345%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.23%EV -3.74%E -3.46%K -46.70%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-26 23:00
MyBookie.ag🎯8.90I 11.24%NM 10.73%EV -3.29%E -0.369%K -0.416%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.27%EV -4.63%E -4.32%K -66.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-26 22:49
Betr (AU)🎯8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -4.92%E -0.562%K -0.634%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.63%E -4.32%K -66.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-26 22:49
BetAnything🎯8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -4.92%E -0.562%K -0.634%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.63%E -4.32%K -66.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-26 23:00
GTbets🎯8.60I 11.63%NM 11.25%EV -6.55%E -0.761%K -0.861%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.75%EV -2.84%E -2.61%K -31.61%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-26 22:59
FanDuel🎯8.60I 11.63%NM 11.07%EV -6.55%E -0.761%K -0.861%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.93%EV -4.63%E -4.32%K -66.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 22:44
DraftKings🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -7.63%E -0.898%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -3.74%E -3.46%K -46.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-26 22:59
Caesars🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -7.63%E -0.898%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -3.74%E -3.46%K -46.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-26 22:37
Bet Right🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.63%E -0.898%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.63%E -4.32%K -66.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-26 22:49
Bovada🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.63%E -0.898%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.63%E -4.32%K -66.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-26 22:43
NordicBet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -7.63%E -0.898%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.52%E -5.21%K -91.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-26 22:59
Betsson🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -7.63%E -0.898%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.52%E -5.21%K -91.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-26 22:59
SportsBet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -7.63%E -0.898%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.52%E -5.21%K -91.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-26 22:39
ReBet🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV -10.35%E -1.25%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.42%EV -3.74%E -3.46%K -46.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-26 22:59
1xBet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -13.07%E -1.63%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -2.84%E -2.61%K -31.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-26 22:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -13.07%E -1.63%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.74%E -3.46%K -46.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 22:59
Unibet (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -13.07%E -1.63%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.74%E -3.46%K -46.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 23:00
Unibet (NL)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -13.07%E -1.63%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.74%E -3.46%K -46.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 23:00
Unibet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -13.07%E -1.63%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.74%E -3.46%K -46.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 23:00
BetRivers🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -13.07%E -1.63%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.74%E -3.46%K -46.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 23:00
TABtouch🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -13.07%E -1.63%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.74%E -3.46%K -46.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 22:59
Bally Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -13.07%E -1.63%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.74%E -3.46%K -46.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 23:00
betPARX🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -13.07%E -1.63%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.74%E -3.46%K -46.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 22:59
Svenska Spel🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -13.07%E -1.63%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.74%E -3.46%K -46.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 23:00
ATG (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -13.07%E -1.63%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.74%E -3.46%K -46.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 22:59
Betway🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -13.07%E -1.63%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.63%E -4.32%K -66.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-26 22:59
Coolbet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -13.07%E -1.63%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.63%E -4.32%K -66.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-26 22:44
TAB🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -18.50%E -2.47%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.74%E -3.46%K -46.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-26 22:59
Paddy Power🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -18.50%E -2.47%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.52%E -5.21%K -91.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-26 22:39
PMU (FR)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -18.50%E -2.47%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 87.82%EV -7.30%E -7.02%K -182.53%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-26 23:00
LeoVegas🎯7.30I 13.70%NM 12.57%EV -20.67%E -2.83%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 87.43%EV -6.41%E -6.10%K -128.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-26 22:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52%0.4%2026-08-26 23:00
Matchbook◎10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52%0.4%2026-08-26 23:00
ProphetX◎10.10I 9.90%NM 9.82%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.18%0.8%2026-08-26 23:00
Polymarket◎10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%0.9%2026-08-26 22:19
Kalshi◎10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%0.9%2026-08-26 16:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%0.9%2026-08-26 22:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%0.9%2026-08-26 22:54
Novig◎10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%1.7%2026-08-26 23:00