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Connecticut Sun v Golden State Valkyries
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Connecticut Sun (Local)
Prediction 31.56%3.17fair odd
EV +2.88%
Edge +0.884%
Kelly +1.28%
Growth +0.037%
assuming max odds 3.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.44%31.51%31.65%33.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.023.003.2636.36%33.15%33.33%30.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Golden State Valkyries (Visit)
Prediction 68.44%1.46fair odd
EV -0.761%
Edge -0.525%
Kelly -1.69%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.27%68.49%68.35%70.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.391.381.4575.76%72.00%72.46%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV +2.88%E +0.884%K +1.28%G +0.037% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -6.92%E -5.09%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 23:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV +2.88%E +0.884%K +1.28%G +0.037% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -6.92%E -5.09%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 23:29 |
| BetUS | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +2.57%E +0.790%K +1.14%G +0.029% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.92%E -5.09%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-10 23:29 |
| GTbets | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.589%E -0.187%K -0.274%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.55%E -4.02%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 23:29 |
| BetAnything | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.589%E -0.187%K -0.274%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.55%E -4.02%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 23:29 |
| Bet Victor | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%EV -2.17%E -0.699%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%EV -2.81%E -1.98%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-07-10 23:30 |
| theScore Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.17%E -0.699%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.18%E -2.99%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-10 23:29 |
| Unibet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.17%E -0.699%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.55%E -4.02%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-10 22:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.17%E -0.699%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.55%E -4.02%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-10 22:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.17%E -0.699%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.55%E -4.02%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-10 22:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.17%E -0.699%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.55%E -4.02%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-10 22:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.17%E -0.699%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.55%E -4.02%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-10 22:54 |
| Bally Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.17%E -0.699%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.55%E -4.02%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-10 22:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.17%E -0.699%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.55%E -4.02%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-10 22:54 |
| betPARX | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.17%E -0.699%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.55%E -4.02%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-10 22:54 |
| Caesars | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.17%E -0.699%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.55%E -4.02%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-10 23:27 |
| BetRivers | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.17%E -0.699%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.92%E -5.09%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-10 22:54 |
| TABtouch | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.17%E -0.699%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.92%E -5.09%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-10 22:54 |
| Pinnacle | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.18%EV -2.48%E -0.803%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.82%EV -4.18%E -2.99%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-10 23:29 |
| Bovada | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.50%E -2.48%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-10 23:19 |
| Fanatics | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.50%E -2.48%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-10 23:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.18%E -2.99%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-10 23:19 |
| BetMGM | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.18%E -2.99%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-10 23:25 |
| ReBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.87%E -3.50%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-10 23:29 |
| Bet Right | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.87%E -3.50%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-10 23:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.87%E -3.50%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-10 23:29 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.92%E -5.09%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-10 23:29 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV -5.64%E -1.89%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.11%EV -4.18%E -2.99%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 23:29 |
| Coolbet | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.65%EV -5.95%E -2.00%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.35%EV -5.55%E -4.02%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-10 23:28 |
| DraftKings | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -6.90%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -2.81%E -1.98%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-10 23:19 |
| Betsson | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.90%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.55%E -4.02%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-10 23:10 |
| NordicBet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.90%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.55%E -4.02%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-10 23:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.90%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.55%E -4.02%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-10 23:19 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -6.90%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -9.66%E -7.32%K -30.18%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-10 22:54 |
| FanDuel | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.81%E -1.98%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 23:19 |
| Neds | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.81%E -1.98%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 23:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.81%E -1.98%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 23:19 |
| 888sport | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.18%E -2.99%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-10 23:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.18%E -2.99%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-10 23:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.18%E -2.99%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-10 23:09 |
| TAB | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.18%E -2.99%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-10 23:08 |
| SportsBet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -9.11%E -3.16%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.18%E -2.99%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-10 23:19 |
| 1xBet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -10.06%E -3.53%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -0.761%E -0.525%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-10 23:14 |
| Paddy Power | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.21%E -4.80%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.18%E -2.99%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-10 23:04 |
| LeoVegas | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -13.21%E -4.80%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -5.55%E -4.02%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-10 23:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-07-10 23:29 |
| Polymarket | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25% | 1.0% | 2026-07-10 22:54 |
| Kalshi | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25% | 1.0% | 2026-07-10 23:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 1.2% | 2026-07-10 23:25 |
| Matchbook | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 1.2% | 2026-07-10 23:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 1.2% | 2026-07-10 23:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 1.2% | 2026-07-10 23:29 |
| Novig | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.24% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.76% | 2.4% | 2026-07-10 23:29 |