The School of OddsConnecticut Sun v Golden State Valkyries
Head to Head
Connecticut Sun (Local)
Prediction 20.44%4.89fair odd
EV +21.60%
Edge +3.63%
Kelly +4.36%
Growth +0.942%
assuming max odds 5.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.08%20.45%20.38%22.63%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.004.654.555.95MINMEANMEDIANMAX
All estimators
Consensus probabilities
16.08%6.219Min
22.63%4.419Max
20.45%4.889Mean
20.38%4.907Median
20.44%4.893IQM
20.45%4.889Margin-weighted
Golden State Valkyries (Visit)
Prediction 79.56%1.26fair odd
EV -2.93%
Edge -2.40%
Kelly -13.33%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.37%79.55%79.62%83.92%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.141.191.181.22MINMEANMEDIANMAX
All estimators
Consensus probabilities
77.37%1.292Min
83.92%1.192Max
79.55%1.257Mean
79.62%1.256Median
79.56%1.257IQM
79.55%1.257Margin-weighted
Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Connecticut Sun (Local) ▼ | Golden State Valkyries (Visit) | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.95I 16.81% NM 16.08%EV +21.60% E +3.63% K +4.36% G +0.942% | 1.14I 87.72% NM 83.92%EV -9.30% E -8.16% K -66.41% G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-09 01:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.95I 20.20% NM 19.25%EV +1.16% E +0.234% K +0.293% G +0.003% | 1.18I 84.75% NM 80.75%EV -6.11% E -5.18% K -33.97% G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-09 02:05 |
| Bet Right | 4.90I 20.41% NM 19.41%EV +0.137% E +0.028% K +0.035% G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75% NM 80.59%EV -6.11% E -5.18% K -33.97% G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-09 02:05 |
| Coolbet | 4.90I 20.41% NM 19.28%EV +0.137% E +0.028% K +0.035% G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47% NM 80.72%EV -6.91% E -5.91% K -40.65% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-09 01:55 |
| DraftKings | 4.80I 20.83% NM 20.00%EV -1.91% E -0.397% K -0.502% G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33% NM 80.00%EV -4.52% E -3.77% K -22.62% G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-09 01:40 |
| theScore Bet | 4.80I 20.83% NM 19.73%EV -1.91% E -0.397% K -0.502% G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75% NM 80.27%EV -6.11% E -5.18% K -33.97% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-09 01:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.75I 21.05% NM 20.17%EV -2.93% E -0.616% K -0.781% G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33% NM 79.83%EV -4.52% E -3.77% K -22.62% G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-09 01:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.75I 21.05% NM 20.17%EV -2.93% E -0.616% K -0.781% G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33% NM 79.83%EV -4.52% E -3.77% K -22.62% G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-09 01:45 |
| Betway | 4.75I 21.05% NM 20.17%EV -2.93% E -0.616% K -0.781% G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33% NM 79.83%EV -4.52% E -3.77% K -22.62% G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-09 02:34 |
| MyBookie.ag | 4.70I 21.28% NM 20.20%EV -3.95% E -0.840% K -1.07% G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03% NM 79.80%EV -5.32% E -4.47% K -27.99% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-09 01:50 |
| Betsson | 4.55I 21.98% NM 20.59%EV -7.02% E -1.54% K -1.98% G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75% NM 79.41%EV -6.11% E -5.18% K -33.97% G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-09 01:44 |
| NordicBet | 4.55I 21.98% NM 20.59%EV -7.02% E -1.54% K -1.98% G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75% NM 79.41%EV -6.11% E -5.18% K -33.97% G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-09 01:40 |
| FanDuel | 4.50I 22.22% NM 21.19%EV -8.04% E -1.79% K -2.30% G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64% NM 78.81%EV -3.73% E -3.08% K -17.75% G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-09 03:45 |
| 888sport | 4.50I 22.22% NM 21.05%EV -8.04% E -1.79% K -2.30% G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33% NM 78.95%EV -4.52% E -3.77% K -22.62% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-09 01:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.50I 22.22% NM 21.05%EV -8.04% E -1.79% K -2.30% G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33% NM 78.95%EV -4.52% E -3.77% K -22.62% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-09 01:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.50I 22.22% NM 21.05%EV -8.04% E -1.79% K -2.30% G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33% NM 78.95%EV -4.52% E -3.77% K -22.62% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-09 01:40 |
| ReBet | 4.50I 22.22% NM 20.77%EV -8.04% E -1.79% K -2.30% G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75% NM 79.23%EV -6.11% E -5.18% K -33.97% G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-09 01:40 |
| BoyleSports | 4.50I 22.22% NM 20.63%EV -8.04% E -1.79% K -2.30% G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47% NM 79.37%EV -6.91% E -5.91% K -40.65% G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-09 01:40 |
| Fanatics | 4.40I 22.73% NM 21.71%EV -10.08% E -2.29% K -2.96% G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97% NM 78.29%EV -2.93% E -2.40% K -13.33% G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-09 01:40 |
| SportsBet | 4.40I 22.73% NM 21.29%EV -10.08% E -2.29% K -2.96% G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03% NM 78.71%EV -5.32% E -4.47% K -27.99% G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-09 03:50 |
| LeoVegas | 4.15I 24.10% NM 22.14%EV -15.19% E -3.66% K -4.82% G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75% NM 77.86%EV -6.11% E -5.18% K -33.97% G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-09 02:10 |
| Paddy Power | 4.00I 25.00% NM 22.63%EV -18.26% E -4.56% K -6.09% G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47% NM 77.37%EV -6.91% E -5.91% K -40.65% G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-09 03:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Exchanges (2)
| Bookmaker | Connecticut Sun (Local) | Golden State Valkyries (Visit) | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 4.35I 22.99% NM 22.60% | 1.27I 78.74% NM 77.40% | 1.7% | 2026-07-09 04:45 |
| Polymarket | 4.55I 21.98% NM 21.28% | 1.23I 81.30% NM 78.72% | 3.3% | 2026-07-09 04:45 |
Arbitrage (2 combinations) +1.24%1xBet 5.95 (17.0%) / Fanatics 1.22 (83.0%)Show all 2 combinations
| Connecticut Sun (Local) | Golden State Valkyries (Visit) | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 1xBet 5.95 (17.0%) | Fanatics 1.22 (83.0%) | +1.24% |
| 1xBet 5.95 (16.9%) | FanDuel 1.21 (83.1%) | +0.552% |