L’École des cotes

Connecticut Sun v Golden State Valkyries

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-10 23:40 UTC

Score final : Connecticut Sun 64–79 Golden State Valkyries

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Connecticut Sun (Local)

Prévision 31.56%3.17cote équitable
EV +2.88%
Avantage +0.884%
Kelly +1.28%
Croissance +0.037%

avec la cote maximale 3.26

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.44%31.51%31.65%33.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.023.003.2636.36%33.15%33.33%30.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Golden State Valkyries (Visiteur)

Prévision 68.44%1.46cote équitable
EV -0.761%
Avantage -0.525%
Kelly -1.69%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.27%68.49%68.35%70.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.321.391.381.4575.76%72.00%72.46%68.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV +2.88%E +0.884%K +1.28%G +0.037%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -6.92%E -5.09%K -19.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 23:29
BetOnline.ag3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV +2.88%E +0.884%K +1.28%G +0.037%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -6.92%E -5.09%K -19.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 23:29
BetUS3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +2.57%E +0.790%K +1.14%G +0.029%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.92%E -5.09%K -19.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 23:29
GTbets3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.589%E -0.187%K -0.274%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.55%E -4.02%K -14.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 23:29
BetAnything3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.589%E -0.187%K -0.274%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.55%E -4.02%K -14.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 23:29
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%EV -2.17%E -0.699%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%EV -2.81%E -1.98%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-10 23:30
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.17%E -0.699%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.18%E -2.99%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-10 23:29
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.17%E -0.699%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.55%E -4.02%K -14.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-10 22:54
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.17%E -0.699%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.55%E -4.02%K -14.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-10 22:54
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.17%E -0.699%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.55%E -4.02%K -14.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-10 22:54
Unibet (NL)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.17%E -0.699%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.55%E -4.02%K -14.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-10 22:54
Svenska Spel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.17%E -0.699%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.55%E -4.02%K -14.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-10 22:54
Bally Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.17%E -0.699%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.55%E -4.02%K -14.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-10 22:55
ATG (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.17%E -0.699%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.55%E -4.02%K -14.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-10 22:54
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.17%E -0.699%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.55%E -4.02%K -14.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-10 22:54
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.17%E -0.699%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.55%E -4.02%K -14.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-10 23:27
BetRivers3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.17%E -0.699%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.92%E -5.09%K -19.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 22:54
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.17%E -0.699%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.92%E -5.09%K -19.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 22:54
Pinnacle3.09I 32.36%NM 31.18%EV -2.48%E -0.803%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.82%EV -4.18%E -2.99%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-10 23:29
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.50%E -2.48%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-10 23:19
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.50%E -2.48%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 23:20
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.18%E -2.99%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 23:19
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.18%E -2.99%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 23:25
ReBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.87%E -3.50%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 23:29
Bet Right3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.87%E -3.50%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 23:29
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.87%E -3.50%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 23:29
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.92%E -5.09%K -19.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-10 23:29
MyBookie.ag2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV -5.64%E -1.89%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.11%EV -4.18%E -2.99%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 23:29
Coolbet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.65%EV -5.95%E -2.00%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.35%EV -5.55%E -4.02%K -14.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 23:28
DraftKings2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -6.90%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -2.81%E -1.98%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 23:19
Betsson2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.90%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.55%E -4.02%K -14.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 23:10
NordicBet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.90%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.55%E -4.02%K -14.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 23:09
Hard Rock Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.90%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.55%E -4.02%K -14.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 23:19
PMU (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -6.90%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -9.66%E -7.32%K -30.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-10 22:54
FanDuel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.81%E -1.98%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 23:19
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.81%E -1.98%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 23:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.81%E -1.98%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 23:19
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.18%E -2.99%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 23:09
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.18%E -2.99%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 23:09
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.18%E -2.99%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 23:09
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.18%E -2.99%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 23:08
SportsBet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -9.11%E -3.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.18%E -2.99%K -10.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 23:19
1xBet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -10.06%E -3.53%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -0.761%E -0.525%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 23:14
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.21%E -4.80%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.18%E -2.99%K -10.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-10 23:04
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -13.21%E -4.80%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -5.55%E -4.02%K -14.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-10 23:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%0.7%2026-07-10 23:29
Polymarket3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%1.0%2026-07-10 22:54
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%1.0%2026-07-10 23:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%1.2%2026-07-10 23:25
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%1.2%2026-07-10 23:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%1.2%2026-07-10 23:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%1.2%2026-07-10 23:29
Novig3.23I 30.96%NM 30.24%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.76%2.4%2026-07-10 23:29