La escuela de los momiosConnecticut Sun v Golden State Valkyries
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Connecticut Sun (Local)
Predicción 31.56%3.17momio equitativo
EV +2.88%
Ventaja +0.884%
Kelly +1.28%
Crecimiento +0.037%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.26
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.44%31.51%31.65%33.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.023.003.2636.36%33.15%33.33%30.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Golden State Valkyries (Visitante)
Predicción 68.44%1.46momio equitativo
EV -0.761%
Ventaja -0.525%
Kelly -1.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.27%68.49%68.35%70.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.321.391.381.4575.76%72.00%72.46%68.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV +2.88%E +0.884%K +1.28%G +0.037% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -6.92%E -5.09%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 23:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV +2.88%E +0.884%K +1.28%G +0.037% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -6.92%E -5.09%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 23:29 |
| BetUS | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +2.57%E +0.790%K +1.14%G +0.029% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.92%E -5.09%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-10 23:29 |
| GTbets | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.589%E -0.187%K -0.274%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.55%E -4.02%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 23:29 |
| BetAnything | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.589%E -0.187%K -0.274%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.55%E -4.02%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-10 23:29 |
| Bet Victor | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%EV -2.17%E -0.699%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%EV -2.81%E -1.98%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-07-10 23:30 |
| theScore Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.17%E -0.699%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.18%E -2.99%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-10 23:29 |
| Unibet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.17%E -0.699%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.55%E -4.02%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-10 22:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.17%E -0.699%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.55%E -4.02%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-10 22:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.17%E -0.699%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.55%E -4.02%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-10 22:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.17%E -0.699%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.55%E -4.02%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-10 22:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.17%E -0.699%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.55%E -4.02%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-10 22:54 |
| Bally Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.17%E -0.699%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.55%E -4.02%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-10 22:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.17%E -0.699%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.55%E -4.02%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-10 22:54 |
| betPARX | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.17%E -0.699%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.55%E -4.02%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-10 22:54 |
| Caesars | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.17%E -0.699%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.55%E -4.02%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-10 23:27 |
| BetRivers | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.17%E -0.699%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.92%E -5.09%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-10 22:54 |
| TABtouch | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.17%E -0.699%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.92%E -5.09%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-10 22:54 |
| Pinnacle | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.18%EV -2.48%E -0.803%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.82%EV -4.18%E -2.99%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-10 23:29 |
| Bovada | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.50%E -2.48%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-10 23:19 |
| Fanatics | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.50%E -2.48%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-10 23:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.18%E -2.99%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-10 23:19 |
| BetMGM | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.18%E -2.99%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-10 23:25 |
| ReBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.87%E -3.50%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-10 23:29 |
| Bet Right | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.87%E -3.50%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-10 23:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.87%E -3.50%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-10 23:29 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.92%E -5.09%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-10 23:29 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV -5.64%E -1.89%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.11%EV -4.18%E -2.99%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 23:29 |
| Coolbet | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.65%EV -5.95%E -2.00%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.35%EV -5.55%E -4.02%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-10 23:28 |
| DraftKings | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -6.90%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -2.81%E -1.98%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-10 23:19 |
| Betsson | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.90%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.55%E -4.02%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-10 23:10 |
| NordicBet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.90%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.55%E -4.02%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-10 23:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.90%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.55%E -4.02%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-10 23:19 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -6.90%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -9.66%E -7.32%K -30.18%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-10 22:54 |
| FanDuel | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.81%E -1.98%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 23:19 |
| Neds | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.81%E -1.98%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 23:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.81%E -1.98%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 23:19 |
| 888sport | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.18%E -2.99%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-10 23:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.18%E -2.99%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-10 23:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.18%E -2.99%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-10 23:09 |
| TAB | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.18%E -2.99%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-10 23:08 |
| SportsBet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -9.11%E -3.16%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.18%E -2.99%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-10 23:19 |
| 1xBet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -10.06%E -3.53%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -0.761%E -0.525%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-10 23:14 |
| Paddy Power | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.21%E -4.80%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.18%E -2.99%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-10 23:04 |
| LeoVegas | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -13.21%E -4.80%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -5.55%E -4.02%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-10 23:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-07-10 23:29 |
| Polymarket | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25% | 1.0% | 2026-07-10 22:54 |
| Kalshi | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25% | 1.0% | 2026-07-10 23:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 1.2% | 2026-07-10 23:25 |
| Matchbook | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 1.2% | 2026-07-10 23:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 1.2% | 2026-07-10 23:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 1.2% | 2026-07-10 23:29 |
| Novig | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.24% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.76% | 2.4% | 2026-07-10 23:29 |