Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.70
assuming max odds 1.35
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Connecticut Sun (Local): 27.77%; Chicago Sky (Visit): 72.23%. For Connecticut Sun (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.60. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.76%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV +2.76%E +0.745%K +1.02%G +0.028% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -6.10%E -4.70%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-25 22:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV +1.92%E +0.524%K +0.721%G +0.014% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -6.10%E -4.70%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-25 22:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV +1.92%E +0.524%K +0.721%G +0.014% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -6.10%E -4.70%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-25 22:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV +1.37%E +0.375%K +0.516%G +0.007% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-25 22:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -0.020%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-25 22:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.020%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-25 22:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.020%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-25 22:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -1.41%E -0.397%K -0.553%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-25 22:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.80%E -0.799%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-25 22:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.80%E -0.799%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-25 22:43 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.80%E -0.799%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-25 22:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.80%E -0.799%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.10%E -4.70%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-25 22:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.80%E -0.799%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.10%E -4.70%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-25 22:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.80%E -0.799%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.10%E -4.70%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-25 22:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.65%EV -3.35%E -0.963%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.35%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-25 22:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.35%EV -3.35%E -0.963%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.65%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-25 22:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.35%EV -3.35%E -0.963%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.65%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-25 22:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -4.19%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -3.21%E -2.40%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-25 22:48 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -4.19%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -3.21%E -2.40%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-25 22:52 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -4.19%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -6.83%E -5.29%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-25 23:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.21%E -2.40%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-25 22:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-25 22:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.10%E -4.70%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-25 22:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.10%E -4.70%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-25 22:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-25 22:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-25 23:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.97%EV -8.07%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.03%EV -2.49%E -1.85%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-25 22:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.49%E -1.85%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-25 22:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.49%E -1.85%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-25 22:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.49%E -1.85%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-25 22:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.49%E -1.85%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-25 22:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.49%E -1.85%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-25 22:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.49%E -1.85%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-25 22:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.49%E -1.85%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-25 22:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.49%E -1.85%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-25 22:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.49%E -1.85%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-25 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.49%E -1.85%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-25 22:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.21%E -2.40%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-25 22:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.21%E -2.40%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-25 22:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-25 22:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-25 22:38 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.21%E -2.40%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-25 23:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-25 22:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.10%E -4.70%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-25 22:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -12.52%E -3.97%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -6.10%E -4.70%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-25 22:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -12.52%E -3.97%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.11%EV -7.55%E -5.90%K -26.96%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-25 22:24 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-08-25 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-08-25 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93% | 0.9% | 2026-08-25 23:00 |
| Novig◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-08-25 22:54 |
| Polymarket◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 1.2% | 2026-08-25 22:54 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67% | 1.3% | 2026-08-25 23:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67% | 1.3% | 2026-08-25 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56% | 2.2% | 2026-08-25 22:44 |