Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Connecticut Sun v Chicago Sky

Início: 2026-08-25 23:06 UTC

Final: Connecticut Sun 87–81 Chicago Sky

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Connecticut Sun (Local)

Previsão 27.77%3.60odd justa
EV +2.76%
Vantagem +0.745%
Kelly +1.02%
Crescimento +0.028%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.00%27.74%27.66%29.21%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.153.413.403.7031.75%29.37%29.41%27.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Chicago Sky (Visitante)

Previsão 72.23%1.38odd justa
EV -2.49%
Vantagem -1.85%
Kelly -7.12%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
70.79%72.26%72.34%74.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.281.321.321.3578.13%75.57%75.76%74.07%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Connecticut Sun (Local): 27.77%; Chicago Sky (Visitante): 72.23%. Para Connecticut Sun (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.60. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.70, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.76%.

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Caesars🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV +2.76%E +0.745%K +1.02%G +0.028%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -6.10%E -4.70%K -20.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-25 22:54
BetOnline.ag🎯3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV +1.92%E +0.524%K +0.721%G +0.014%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -6.10%E -4.70%K -20.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-25 22:54
LowVig.ag🎯3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV +1.92%E +0.524%K +0.721%G +0.014%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -6.10%E -4.70%K -20.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-25 22:49
BetUS🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV +1.37%E +0.375%K +0.516%G +0.007%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.36%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-25 22:54
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -0.020%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-25 22:54
GTbets🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.020%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-25 22:39
Bovada🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.020%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-25 22:54
BetAnything🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -1.41%E -0.397%K -0.553%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-25 22:44
DraftKings🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.80%E -0.799%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-25 22:49
Fanatics🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.80%E -0.799%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.36%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-25 22:43
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.80%E -0.799%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.36%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-25 22:49
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.80%E -0.799%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.10%E -4.70%K -20.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-25 22:54
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.80%E -0.799%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.10%E -4.70%K -20.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-25 22:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.80%E -0.799%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.10%E -4.70%K -20.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-25 22:54
Pinnacle🎯3.48I 28.74%NM 27.65%EV -3.35%E -0.963%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.35%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-25 22:59
ReBet🎯3.48I 28.74%NM 27.35%EV -3.35%E -0.963%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.65%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 22:49
MyBookie.ag🎯3.48I 28.74%NM 27.35%EV -3.35%E -0.963%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.65%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 22:54
betano_uk🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -4.19%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -3.21%E -2.40%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-25 22:48
Bet Victor🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -4.19%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -3.21%E -2.40%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-25 22:52
Fliff🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -4.19%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -6.83%E -5.29%K -23.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-25 23:00
theScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.21%E -2.40%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-25 22:59
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-25 22:29
Betsson🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.10%E -4.70%K -20.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-25 22:49
NordicBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.10%E -4.70%K -20.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-25 22:54
Betr (AU)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 22:59
Bet Right🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 23:00
1xBet🎯3.31I 30.21%NM 28.97%EV -8.07%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.03%EV -2.49%E -1.85%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-25 22:39
Unibet (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.49%E -1.85%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-25 22:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.49%E -1.85%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-25 22:24
Unibet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.49%E -1.85%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-25 22:24
Unibet (NL)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.49%E -1.85%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-25 22:24
ATG (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.49%E -1.85%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-25 22:24
Svenska Spel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.49%E -1.85%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-25 22:24
Bally Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.49%E -1.85%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-25 22:29
betPARX🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.49%E -1.85%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-25 22:24
Neds🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.49%E -1.85%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-25 22:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.49%E -1.85%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-25 22:24
BetRivers🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.21%E -2.40%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-25 22:24
TABtouch🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.21%E -2.40%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-25 22:24
SportsBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 22:35
Coolbet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 22:38
FanDuel🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.21%E -2.40%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 23:00
Betway🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-25 22:59
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.10%E -4.70%K -20.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-25 22:34
LeoVegas🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -12.52%E -3.97%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -6.10%E -4.70%K -20.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-25 22:59
PMU (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -12.52%E -3.97%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.11%EV -7.55%E -5.90%K -26.96%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-25 22:24
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-08-25 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-08-25 22:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93%0.9%2026-08-25 23:00
Novig◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%1.1%2026-08-25 22:54
Polymarket◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%1.2%2026-08-25 22:54
Matchbook◎3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67%1.3%2026-08-25 23:00
ProphetX◎3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67%1.3%2026-08-25 23:00
Kalshi◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56%2.2%2026-08-25 22:44