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Connecticut Sun v Chicago Sky
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Connecticut Sun (Local)
Predicción 27.77%3.60momio equitativo
EV +2.76%
Ventaja +0.745%
Kelly +1.02%
Crecimiento +0.028%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.00%27.74%27.66%29.21%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.153.413.403.7031.75%29.37%29.41%27.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Chicago Sky (Visitante)
Predicción 72.23%1.38momio equitativo
EV -2.49%
Ventaja -1.85%
Kelly -7.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
70.79%72.26%72.34%74.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.281.321.321.3578.13%75.57%75.76%74.07%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Connecticut Sun (Local): 27.77%; Chicago Sky (Visitante): 72.23%. Para Connecticut Sun (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.60. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.70, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.76%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV +2.76%E +0.745%K +1.02%G +0.028% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -6.10%E -4.70%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-25 22:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV +1.92%E +0.524%K +0.721%G +0.014% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -6.10%E -4.70%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-25 22:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV +1.92%E +0.524%K +0.721%G +0.014% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -6.10%E -4.70%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-25 22:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV +1.37%E +0.375%K +0.516%G +0.007% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-25 22:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -0.020%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-25 22:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.020%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-25 22:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.020%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-25 22:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -1.41%E -0.397%K -0.553%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-25 22:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.80%E -0.799%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-25 22:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.80%E -0.799%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-25 22:43 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.80%E -0.799%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-25 22:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.80%E -0.799%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.10%E -4.70%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-25 22:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.80%E -0.799%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.10%E -4.70%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-25 22:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.80%E -0.799%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.10%E -4.70%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-25 22:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.65%EV -3.35%E -0.963%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.35%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-25 22:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.35%EV -3.35%E -0.963%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.65%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-25 22:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.35%EV -3.35%E -0.963%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.65%EV -5.38%E -4.11%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-25 22:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -4.19%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -3.21%E -2.40%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-25 22:48 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -4.19%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -3.21%E -2.40%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-25 22:52 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -4.19%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -6.83%E -5.29%K -23.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-25 23:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.21%E -2.40%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-25 22:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-25 22:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.10%E -4.70%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-25 22:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.10%E -4.70%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-25 22:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-25 22:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-25 23:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.97%EV -8.07%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.03%EV -2.49%E -1.85%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-25 22:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.49%E -1.85%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-25 22:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.49%E -1.85%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-25 22:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.49%E -1.85%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-25 22:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.49%E -1.85%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-25 22:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.49%E -1.85%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-25 22:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.49%E -1.85%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-25 22:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.49%E -1.85%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-25 22:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.49%E -1.85%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-25 22:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.49%E -1.85%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-25 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.49%E -1.85%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-25 22:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.21%E -2.40%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-25 22:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.21%E -2.40%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-25 22:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-25 22:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.66%E -3.53%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-25 22:38 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.21%E -2.40%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-25 23:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.94%E -2.96%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-25 22:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.10%E -4.70%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-25 22:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -12.52%E -3.97%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -6.10%E -4.70%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-25 22:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -12.52%E -3.97%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.11%EV -7.55%E -5.90%K -26.96%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-25 22:24 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-08-25 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-08-25 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93% | 0.9% | 2026-08-25 23:00 |
| Novig◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-08-25 22:54 |
| Polymarket◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 1.2% | 2026-08-25 22:54 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67% | 1.3% | 2026-08-25 23:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67% | 1.3% | 2026-08-25 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56% | 2.2% | 2026-08-25 22:44 |