Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Sky v Portland Fire

Kickoff: 2026-06-25 00:05 UTC

Final: Chicago Sky 101–78 Portland Fire

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Sky (Local)

Prediction 60.22%1.66fair odd
EV +3.57%
Edge +2.08%
Kelly +4.97%
Growth +0.177%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.74%60.24%60.20%61.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.581.571.7266.67%63.29%63.69%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Portland Fire (Visit)

Prediction 39.78%2.51fair odd
EV -0.545%
Edge -0.218%
Kelly -0.363%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.57%39.76%39.80%45.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.082.392.402.5048.08%41.89%41.67%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Sky (Local): 60.22%; Portland Fire (Visit): 39.78%. For Chicago Sky (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.66. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.72, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.57%.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV +3.57%E +2.08%K +4.97%G +0.177%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -17.25%E -8.29%K -15.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-24 23:50
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -0.640%E -0.388%K -0.985%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -12.48%E -5.67%K -10.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-24 23:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.05%E -1.89%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-24 15:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.05%E -1.89%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-24 15:49
BetAnything🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.05%E -1.89%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-24 16:00
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.05%E -1.89%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-24 17:20
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -3.05%E -1.89%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -6.91%E -2.95%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-24 23:50
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-24 23:48
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 17:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 17:20
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.25%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-25 00:00
GTbets🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.25%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-24 15:40
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -4.25%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -3.73%E -1.54%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-24 15:30
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.25%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 23:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.25%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 23:59
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.25%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-24 23:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.25%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-25 00:00
SportsBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.23%EV -4.25%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.77%EV -8.10%E -3.51%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-24 23:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.86%E -3.07%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 00:00
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -0.545%E -0.218%K -0.363%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-24 23:40
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -0.545%E -0.218%K -0.363%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-24 23:40
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.33%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%EV -0.943%E -0.379%K -0.633%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-24 23:40
Caesars🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -1.34%E -0.541%K -0.906%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-24 15:49
Bet Right🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-24 22:49
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-24 16:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-24 16:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-24 16:00
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-25 00:00
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.50%E -3.70%K -6.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-24 15:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.50%E -3.70%K -6.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-24 18:10
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-24 13:38
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.33%E -1.37%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 22:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.33%E -1.37%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 22:09
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.33%E -1.37%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 22:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.33%E -1.37%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 22:10
LeoVegas🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.33%E -1.37%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 22:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.33%E -1.37%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 22:10
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.33%E -1.37%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 22:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.33%E -1.37%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 22:09
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.33%E -1.37%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 22:10
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-24 22:10
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-24 22:10
Betsson🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-24 23:59
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.66%E -4.30%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-24 23:30
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.66%E -4.30%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.50%E -3.70%K -6.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-25 00:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -9.67%E -6.45%K -19.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.50%E -3.70%K -6.54%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-24 22:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-06-24 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-06-25 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-06-25 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-06-25 00:00
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.3%2026-06-24 23:40
ProphetX1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%1.5%2026-06-25 00:00
Novig1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%3.0%2026-06-25 00:00