A Escola das Odds

Chicago Sky v Portland Fire

Início: 2026-06-25 00:05 UTC

Final: Chicago Sky 101–78 Portland Fire

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Chicago Sky (Local)

Previsão 60.22%1.66odd justa
EV +3.57%
Vantagem +2.08%
Kelly +4.97%
Crescimento +0.177%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.72

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.74%60.24%60.20%61.43%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.501.581.571.7266.67%63.29%63.69%58.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Portland Fire (Visitante)

Previsão 39.78%2.51odd justa
EV -0.545%
Vantagem -0.218%
Kelly -0.363%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.57%39.76%39.80%45.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.082.392.402.5048.08%41.89%41.67%40.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV +3.57%E +2.08%K +4.97%G +0.177%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -17.25%E -8.29%K -15.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-24 23:50
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -0.640%E -0.388%K -0.985%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -12.48%E -5.67%K -10.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-24 23:59
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.05%E -1.89%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-24 15:49
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.05%E -1.89%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-24 15:49
BetAnything1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.05%E -1.89%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-24 16:00
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.05%E -1.89%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-24 17:20
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -3.05%E -1.89%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -6.91%E -2.95%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-24 23:50
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-24 23:48
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 17:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 17:20
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.25%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-25 00:00
GTbets1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.25%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-24 15:40
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -4.25%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -3.73%E -1.54%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-24 15:30
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.25%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 23:30
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.25%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 23:59
ReBet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.25%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-24 23:59
MyBookie.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.25%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-25 00:00
SportsBet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.23%EV -4.25%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.77%EV -8.10%E -3.51%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-24 23:50
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.86%E -3.07%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 00:00
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -0.545%E -0.218%K -0.363%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-24 23:40
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -0.545%E -0.218%K -0.363%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-24 23:40
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 61.33%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%EV -0.943%E -0.379%K -0.633%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-24 23:40
Caesars1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -1.34%E -0.541%K -0.906%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-24 15:49
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-24 22:49
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-24 16:00
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-24 16:00
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-24 16:00
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-25 00:00
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.50%E -3.70%K -6.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-24 15:09
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.50%E -3.70%K -6.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-24 18:10
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-24 13:38
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.33%E -1.37%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 22:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.33%E -1.37%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 22:09
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.33%E -1.37%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 22:10
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.33%E -1.37%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 22:10
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.33%E -1.37%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 22:10
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.33%E -1.37%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 22:10
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.33%E -1.37%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 22:09
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.33%E -1.37%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 22:09
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.33%E -1.37%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 22:10
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-24 22:10
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-24 22:10
Betsson1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-24 23:59
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.66%E -4.30%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-24 23:30
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.66%E -4.30%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.50%E -3.70%K -6.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-25 00:00
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -9.67%E -6.45%K -19.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.50%E -3.70%K -6.54%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-24 22:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-06-24 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-06-25 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-06-25 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-06-25 00:00
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.3%2026-06-24 23:40
ProphetX1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%1.5%2026-06-25 00:00
Novig1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%3.0%2026-06-25 00:00