La escuela de los momios

Chicago Sky v Portland Fire

Inicio: 2026-06-25 00:05 UTC

Final: Chicago Sky 101–78 Portland Fire

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Chicago Sky (Local)

Predicción 60.22%1.66momio equitativo
EV +3.57%
Ventaja +2.08%
Kelly +4.97%
Crecimiento +0.177%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.72

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.74%60.24%60.20%61.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.581.571.7266.67%63.29%63.69%58.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Portland Fire (Visitante)

Predicción 39.78%2.51momio equitativo
EV -0.545%
Ventaja -0.218%
Kelly -0.363%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.57%39.76%39.80%45.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.082.392.402.5048.08%41.89%41.67%40.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV +3.57%E +2.08%K +4.97%G +0.177%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -17.25%E -8.29%K -15.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-24 23:50
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -0.640%E -0.388%K -0.985%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -12.48%E -5.67%K -10.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-24 23:59
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.05%E -1.89%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-24 15:49
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.05%E -1.89%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-24 15:49
BetAnything1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.05%E -1.89%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-24 16:00
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.05%E -1.89%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-24 17:20
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -3.05%E -1.89%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -6.91%E -2.95%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-24 23:50
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-24 23:48
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 17:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 17:20
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.25%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-25 00:00
GTbets1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.25%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-24 15:40
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -4.25%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -3.73%E -1.54%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-24 15:30
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.25%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 23:30
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.25%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 23:59
ReBet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.25%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-24 23:59
MyBookie.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.25%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-25 00:00
SportsBet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.23%EV -4.25%E -2.68%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.77%EV -8.10%E -3.51%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-24 23:50
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.86%E -3.07%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 00:00
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -0.545%E -0.218%K -0.363%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-24 23:40
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -0.545%E -0.218%K -0.363%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-24 23:40
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 61.33%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%EV -0.943%E -0.379%K -0.633%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-24 23:40
Caesars1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -1.34%E -0.541%K -0.906%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-24 15:49
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-24 22:49
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-24 16:00
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-24 16:00
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.32%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-24 16:00
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-25 00:00
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.50%E -3.70%K -6.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-24 15:09
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.50%E -3.70%K -6.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-24 18:10
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.46%E -3.48%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.49%E -4.66%K -8.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-24 13:38
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.33%E -1.37%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 22:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.33%E -1.37%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 22:09
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.33%E -1.37%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 22:10
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.33%E -1.37%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 22:10
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.33%E -1.37%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 22:10
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.33%E -1.37%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 22:10
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.33%E -1.37%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 22:09
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.33%E -1.37%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 22:09
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.33%E -1.37%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 22:10
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-24 22:10
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-24 22:10
Betsson1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.51%E -2.77%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-24 23:59
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.66%E -4.30%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.52%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-24 23:30
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.66%E -4.30%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.50%E -3.70%K -6.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-25 00:00
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -9.67%E -6.45%K -19.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.50%E -3.70%K -6.54%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-24 22:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-06-24 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-06-25 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-06-25 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-06-25 00:00
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.3%2026-06-24 23:40
ProphetX1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%1.5%2026-06-25 00:00
Novig1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%3.0%2026-06-25 00:00