The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Chicago Sky v New York Liberty

Kickoff: 2026-08-19 01:07 UTC

Final: Chicago Sky 93–86 New York Liberty

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Sky (Local)

Prediction 36.41%2.75fair odd
EV +3.77%
Edge +1.32%
Kelly +2.04%
Growth +0.077%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.33%36.73%36.41%41.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.562.582.8544.44%39.04%38.83%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Liberty (Visit)

Prediction 63.59%1.57fair odd
EV +2.38%
Edge +1.48%
Kelly +3.90%
Growth +0.093%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.29%63.27%63.59%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.501.501.6171.43%66.72%66.67%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Sky (Local): 36.41%; New York Liberty (Visit): 63.59%. For Chicago Sky (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.75. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.77%.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -18.07%E -8.03%K -14.46%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV +2.38%E +1.48%K +3.90%G +0.093%6.6%2026-08-19 01:05
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -10.79%E -4.40%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -0.166%E -0.106%K -0.292%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-19 00:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -10.79%E -4.40%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -0.166%E -0.106%K -0.292%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-19 00:40
Bet Victor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV -3.51%E -1.32%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -1.44%E -0.928%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-19 00:50
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.97%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.07%E -1.35%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 00:45
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -11.52%E -4.74%K -8.06%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -2.07%E -1.35%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-19 01:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -11.52%E -4.74%K -8.06%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -2.07%E -1.35%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-19 01:05
ReBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -8.61%E -3.43%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-19 00:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -10.79%E -4.40%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-19 01:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -10.79%E -4.40%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-19 01:05
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -10.79%E -4.40%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-19 01:05
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -12.61%E -5.25%K -9.01%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-19 01:05
Betsson🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -16.25%E -7.07%K -12.50%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-19 01:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.69%E -0.625%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.98%E -2.64%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-19 00:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.69%E -0.625%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.98%E -2.64%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-19 00:50
BetAnything🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.51%E -1.32%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.98%E -2.64%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-19 01:00
Bally Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -12.61%E -5.25%K -9.01%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -3.98%E -2.64%K -7.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-19 01:05
betano_uk🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.69%E -0.625%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.62%E -3.08%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-19 01:05
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.69%E -0.625%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.62%E -3.08%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-19 00:38
BetUS🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.69%E -0.625%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.62%E -3.08%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-19 00:55
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.62%E -3.08%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 00:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.62%E -3.08%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 00:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.62%E -3.08%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 00:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.62%E -3.08%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 01:00
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.62%E -3.08%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 01:00
Betway🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.15%E -2.80%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.62%E -3.08%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-19 01:00
MyBookie.ag🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.15%E -2.80%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.62%E -3.08%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-19 01:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.15%E -2.80%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.62%E -3.08%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-19 01:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.15%E -2.80%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.62%E -3.08%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-19 01:05
GTbets🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.15%E -2.80%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.62%E -3.08%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-19 01:05
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.97%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.62%E -3.08%K -9.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-19 00:35
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -12.61%E -5.25%K -9.01%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.62%E -3.08%K -9.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-19 01:05
Pinnacle🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -0.960%E -0.353%K -0.558%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -5.25%E -3.53%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-19 01:00
Caesars🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -1.69%E -0.625%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.25%E -3.53%K -10.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-19 00:55
1xBet🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 35.65%EV -2.05%E -0.763%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.35%EV -5.25%E -3.53%K -10.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-19 00:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -14.43%E -6.14%K -10.69%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.20%EV -5.25%E -3.53%K -10.72%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-19 01:05
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 01:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 01:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.79%EV -15.52%E -6.69%K -11.76%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.21%EV -6.53%E -4.44%K -13.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-19 01:05
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -3.51%E -1.32%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -7.16%E -4.90%K -15.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-19 00:59
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.80%E -5.38%K -17.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-19 01:05
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.97%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.80%E -5.38%K -17.33%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-19 01:00
TAB🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.43%E -5.86%K -19.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-19 01:04
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.97%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.43%E -5.86%K -19.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-19 01:04
Fliff🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.77%E +1.32%K +2.04%G +0.077%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -9.07%E -6.34%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 01:05
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +1.95%E +0.697%K +1.08%G +0.021%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.07%E -6.34%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-19 01:05
SportsBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV +0.132%E +0.048%K +0.076%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -10.34%E -7.33%K -25.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-19 01:05
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +1.95%E +0.697%K +1.08%G +0.021%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -10.98%E -7.84%K -27.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-19 01:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%0.7%2026-08-19 01:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%0.7%2026-08-19 01:00
ProphetX◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-08-19 01:05
Polymarket◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-08-19 01:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%1.2%2026-08-19 01:05
Kalshi◎3.03I 33.00%NM 32.37%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63%2.0%2026-08-19 01:05
Novig◎2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%2.3%2026-08-19 01:05
Matchbook◎2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%5.6%2026-08-19 01:05