Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago Sky v New York Liberty

Início: 2026-08-19 01:07 UTC

Final: Chicago Sky 93–86 New York Liberty

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago Sky (Local)

Previsão 36.41%2.75odd justa
EV +3.77%
Vantagem +1.32%
Kelly +2.04%
Crescimento +0.077%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.33%36.73%36.41%41.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.252.562.582.8544.44%39.04%38.83%35.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

New York Liberty (Visitante)

Previsão 63.59%1.57odd justa
EV +2.38%
Vantagem +1.48%
Kelly +3.90%
Crescimento +0.093%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.61

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.29%63.27%63.59%66.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.401.501.501.6171.43%66.72%66.67%62.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Chicago Sky (Local): 36.41%; New York Liberty (Visitante): 63.59%. Para Chicago Sky (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.75. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.85, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.77%.

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -18.07%E -8.03%K -14.46%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV +2.38%E +1.48%K +3.90%G +0.093%6.6%2026-08-19 01:05
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -10.79%E -4.40%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -0.166%E -0.106%K -0.292%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-19 00:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -10.79%E -4.40%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -0.166%E -0.106%K -0.292%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-19 00:40
Bet Victor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV -3.51%E -1.32%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -1.44%E -0.928%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-19 00:50
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.97%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.07%E -1.35%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 00:45
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -11.52%E -4.74%K -8.06%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -2.07%E -1.35%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-19 01:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -11.52%E -4.74%K -8.06%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -2.07%E -1.35%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-19 01:05
ReBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -8.61%E -3.43%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-19 00:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -10.79%E -4.40%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-19 01:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -10.79%E -4.40%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-19 01:05
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -10.79%E -4.40%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-19 01:05
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -12.61%E -5.25%K -9.01%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-19 01:05
Betsson🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -16.25%E -7.07%K -12.50%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-19 01:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.69%E -0.625%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.98%E -2.64%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-19 00:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.69%E -0.625%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.98%E -2.64%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-19 00:50
BetAnything🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.51%E -1.32%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.98%E -2.64%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-19 01:00
Bally Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -12.61%E -5.25%K -9.01%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -3.98%E -2.64%K -7.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-19 01:05
betano_uk🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.69%E -0.625%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.62%E -3.08%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-19 01:05
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.69%E -0.625%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.62%E -3.08%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-19 00:38
BetUS🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.69%E -0.625%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.62%E -3.08%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-19 00:55
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.62%E -3.08%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 00:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.62%E -3.08%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 00:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.62%E -3.08%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 00:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.62%E -3.08%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 01:00
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.62%E -3.08%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 01:00
Betway🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.15%E -2.80%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.62%E -3.08%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-19 01:00
MyBookie.ag🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.15%E -2.80%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.62%E -3.08%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-19 01:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.15%E -2.80%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.62%E -3.08%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-19 01:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.15%E -2.80%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.62%E -3.08%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-19 01:05
GTbets🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.15%E -2.80%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.62%E -3.08%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-19 01:05
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.97%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.62%E -3.08%K -9.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-19 00:35
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -12.61%E -5.25%K -9.01%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.62%E -3.08%K -9.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-19 01:05
Pinnacle🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -0.960%E -0.353%K -0.558%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -5.25%E -3.53%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-19 01:00
Caesars🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -1.69%E -0.625%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.25%E -3.53%K -10.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-19 00:55
1xBet🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 35.65%EV -2.05%E -0.763%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.35%EV -5.25%E -3.53%K -10.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-19 00:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -14.43%E -6.14%K -10.69%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.20%EV -5.25%E -3.53%K -10.72%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-19 01:05
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 01:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 01:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.79%EV -15.52%E -6.69%K -11.76%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.21%EV -6.53%E -4.44%K -13.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-19 01:05
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -3.51%E -1.32%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -7.16%E -4.90%K -15.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-19 00:59
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.80%E -5.38%K -17.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-19 01:05
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.97%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.80%E -5.38%K -17.33%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-19 01:00
TAB🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.43%E -5.86%K -19.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-19 01:04
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.97%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.43%E -5.86%K -19.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-19 01:04
Fliff🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.77%E +1.32%K +2.04%G +0.077%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -9.07%E -6.34%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 01:05
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +1.95%E +0.697%K +1.08%G +0.021%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.07%E -6.34%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-19 01:05
SportsBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV +0.132%E +0.048%K +0.076%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -10.34%E -7.33%K -25.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-19 01:05
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +1.95%E +0.697%K +1.08%G +0.021%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -10.98%E -7.84%K -27.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-19 01:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%0.7%2026-08-19 01:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%0.7%2026-08-19 01:00
ProphetX◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-08-19 01:05
Polymarket◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-08-19 01:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%1.2%2026-08-19 01:05
Kalshi◎3.03I 33.00%NM 32.37%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63%2.0%2026-08-19 01:05
Novig◎2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%2.3%2026-08-19 01:05
Matchbook◎2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%5.6%2026-08-19 01:05