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Chicago Sky v New York Liberty
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Chicago Sky (Local)
Predicción 36.41%2.75momio equitativo
EV +3.77%
Ventaja +1.32%
Kelly +2.04%
Crecimiento +0.077%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.33%36.73%36.41%41.71%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.562.582.8544.44%39.04%38.83%35.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
New York Liberty (Visitante)
Predicción 63.59%1.57momio equitativo
EV +2.38%
Ventaja +1.48%
Kelly +3.90%
Crecimiento +0.093%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.29%63.27%63.59%66.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.401.501.501.6171.43%66.72%66.67%62.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Chicago Sky (Local): 36.41%; New York Liberty (Visitante): 63.59%. Para Chicago Sky (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.75. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.85, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.77%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -18.07%E -8.03%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV +2.38%E +1.48%K +3.90%G +0.093% | 6.6% | 2026-08-19 01:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -10.79%E -4.40%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -0.166%E -0.106%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-19 00:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -10.79%E -4.40%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -0.166%E -0.106%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-19 00:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV -3.51%E -1.32%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -1.44%E -0.928%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-19 00:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.97%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.07%E -1.35%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 00:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -11.52%E -4.74%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -2.07%E -1.35%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-19 01:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -11.52%E -4.74%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -2.07%E -1.35%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-19 01:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -8.61%E -3.43%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 00:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -10.79%E -4.40%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-19 01:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -10.79%E -4.40%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-19 01:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -10.79%E -4.40%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-19 01:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -12.61%E -5.25%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 01:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -16.25%E -7.07%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-19 01:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.69%E -0.625%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.98%E -2.64%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-19 00:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.69%E -0.625%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.98%E -2.64%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-19 00:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.51%E -1.32%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.98%E -2.64%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-19 01:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -12.61%E -5.25%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -3.98%E -2.64%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-19 01:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.69%E -0.625%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.62%E -3.08%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-19 01:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.69%E -0.625%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.62%E -3.08%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-19 00:38 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.69%E -0.625%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.62%E -3.08%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-19 00:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.62%E -3.08%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 00:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.62%E -3.08%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 00:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.62%E -3.08%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 00:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.62%E -3.08%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 01:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.62%E -3.08%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 01:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.15%E -2.80%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.62%E -3.08%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-19 01:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.15%E -2.80%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.62%E -3.08%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-19 01:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.15%E -2.80%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.62%E -3.08%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-19 01:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.15%E -2.80%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.62%E -3.08%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-19 01:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.15%E -2.80%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.62%E -3.08%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-19 01:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.97%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.62%E -3.08%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-19 00:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -12.61%E -5.25%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.62%E -3.08%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-19 01:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -0.960%E -0.353%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -5.25%E -3.53%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-19 01:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -1.69%E -0.625%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.25%E -3.53%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-19 00:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.65%EV -2.05%E -0.763%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.35%EV -5.25%E -3.53%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-19 00:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -14.43%E -6.14%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.20%EV -5.25%E -3.53%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-19 01:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 01:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 01:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.79%EV -15.52%E -6.69%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.21%EV -6.53%E -4.44%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-19 01:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -3.51%E -1.32%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -7.16%E -4.90%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-19 00:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.80%E -5.38%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 01:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.97%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.80%E -5.38%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-19 01:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.43%E -5.86%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-19 01:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.97%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.43%E -5.86%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-19 01:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +3.77%E +1.32%K +2.04%G +0.077% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -9.07%E -6.34%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-19 01:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +1.95%E +0.697%K +1.08%G +0.021% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.07%E -6.34%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 01:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV +0.132%E +0.048%K +0.076%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -10.34%E -7.33%K -25.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-19 01:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +1.95%E +0.697%K +1.08%G +0.021% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -10.98%E -7.84%K -27.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-19 01:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76% | 0.7% | 2026-08-19 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76% | 0.7% | 2026-08-19 01:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 0.9% | 2026-08-19 01:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 1.1% | 2026-08-19 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 1.2% | 2026-08-19 01:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.37% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63% | 2.0% | 2026-08-19 01:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32% | 2.3% | 2026-08-19 01:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 01:05 |