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Chicago Sky v New York Liberty
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chicago Sky (Local)
Prediction 19.63%5.09fair odd
EV +9.94%
Edge +1.78%
Kelly +2.16%
Growth +0.215%
assuming max odds 5.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.17%19.49%19.72%21.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.354.834.805.6022.99%20.72%20.83%17.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Liberty (Visit)
Prediction 80.37%1.24fair odd
EV -2.76%
Edge -2.28%
Kelly -13.12%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.21
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.57%80.51%80.28%82.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.181.181.2189.29%84.42%84.75%82.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Sky (Local): 19.63%; New York Liberty (Visit): 80.37%. For Chicago Sky (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.09. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.94%.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.40%EV +9.94%E +1.78%K +2.16%G +0.215% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.60%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.70%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-18 00:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +7.98%E +1.45%K +1.77%G +0.141% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -8.38%E -7.35%K -59.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-18 00:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV +0.127%E +0.025%K +0.031%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -6.77%E -5.84%K -42.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-17 23:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.84%E -0.367%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-18 00:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.84%E -0.367%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-18 00:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.84%E -0.367%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-18 00:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.84%E -0.367%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-18 00:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.84%E -0.367%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-18 00:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.84%E -0.367%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-17 23:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.84%E -0.367%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-18 00:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.84%E -0.367%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-18 00:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.84%E -0.367%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-18 00:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.84%E -0.367%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-18 00:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.84%E -0.367%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-18 00:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.84%E -0.367%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.97%E -5.10%K -35.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-18 00:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.84%E -0.367%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.97%E -5.10%K -35.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-18 00:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -1.84%E -0.367%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.77%E -5.84%K -42.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-18 00:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -3.80%E -0.776%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.36%E -3.67%K -22.96%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-17 23:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.80%E -0.776%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 23:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -3.80%E -0.776%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.97%E -5.10%K -35.12%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-18 00:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -5.76%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -3.56%E -2.97%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-18 00:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -5.76%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.36%E -3.67%K -22.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-18 00:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -5.76%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.36%E -3.67%K -22.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-18 00:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.27%EV -6.55%E -1.38%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.73%EV -2.76%E -2.28%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-18 00:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.74%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-18 00:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.74%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-18 00:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -7.73%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.56%E -2.97%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-17 23:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -7.73%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.56%E -2.97%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-17 23:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -7.73%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.36%E -3.67%K -22.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-18 00:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV -8.32%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -2.76%E -2.28%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-18 00:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV -8.32%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -2.76%E -2.28%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-18 00:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.65%EV -8.71%E -1.87%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.35%EV -2.76%E -2.28%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-18 00:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -9.69%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -2.76%E -2.28%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-17 23:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -9.69%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.56%E -2.97%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 00:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -10.67%E -2.35%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -4.36%E -3.67%K -22.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-17 23:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -10.67%E -2.35%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -4.36%E -3.67%K -22.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-17 23:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.65%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.56%E -2.97%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-17 23:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.65%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.56%E -2.97%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-17 23:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.65%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.56%E -2.97%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-17 23:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.65%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.97%E -5.10%K -35.12%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-18 00:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.62%E -3.09%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.56%E -2.97%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-17 23:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.48%EV -14.60%E -3.36%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 79.52%EV -9.99%E -8.92%K -83.24%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-06-18 00:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 0.5% | 2026-06-18 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 0.5% | 2026-06-18 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 0.5% | 2026-06-18 00:00 |
| Novig◎ | 5.13I 19.49%NM 19.34% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.66% | 0.8% | 2026-06-18 00:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17% | 1.0% | 2026-06-18 00:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17% | 1.0% | 2026-06-18 00:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67% | 4.2% | 2026-06-18 00:00 |