L’École des cotes

Chicago Sky v New York Liberty

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-18 00:05 UTC

Score final : Chicago Sky 95–96 New York Liberty

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

42 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Chicago Sky (Local)

Prévision 19.63%5.09cote équitable
EV +9.94%
Avantage +1.78%
Kelly +2.16%
Croissance +0.215%

avec la cote maximale 5.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.17%19.49%19.72%21.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.354.834.805.6022.99%20.72%20.83%17.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

New York Liberty (Visiteur)

Prévision 80.37%1.24cote équitable
EV -2.76%
Avantage -2.28%
Kelly -13.12%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.21

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
78.57%80.51%80.28%82.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.121.181.181.2189.29%84.42%84.75%82.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Bet Victor5.60I 17.86%NM 17.40%EV +9.94%E +1.78%K +2.16%G +0.215%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.60%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.70%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-18 00:00
theScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +7.98%E +1.45%K +1.77%G +0.141%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -8.38%E -7.35%K -59.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 00:00
Fliff5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV +0.127%E +0.025%K +0.031%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -6.77%E -5.84%K -42.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 23:59
LeoVegas (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.84%E -0.367%K -0.459%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 00:00
LeoVegas5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.84%E -0.367%K -0.459%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 00:00
Unibet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.84%E -0.367%K -0.459%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 00:00
Unibet (NL)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.84%E -0.367%K -0.459%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 00:00
Unibet (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.84%E -0.367%K -0.459%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 00:00
Caesars5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.84%E -0.367%K -0.459%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-17 23:59
BetMGM5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.84%E -0.367%K -0.459%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 00:00
ATG (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.84%E -0.367%K -0.459%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 00:00
Bally Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.84%E -0.367%K -0.459%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 00:00
betPARX5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.84%E -0.367%K -0.459%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 00:00
Svenska Spel5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.84%E -0.367%K -0.459%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 00:00
Betway5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.84%E -0.367%K -0.459%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.97%E -5.10%K -35.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 00:00
Hard Rock Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.84%E -0.367%K -0.459%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.97%E -5.10%K -35.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 00:00
Unibet (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -1.84%E -0.367%K -0.459%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.77%E -5.84%K -42.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-18 00:00
Fanatics4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -3.80%E -0.776%K -0.974%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.36%E -3.67%K -22.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-17 23:59
MyBookie.ag4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.80%E -0.776%K -0.974%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 23:59
SportsBet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -3.80%E -0.776%K -0.974%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.97%E -5.10%K -35.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 00:00
DraftKings4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -5.76%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -3.56%E -2.97%K -17.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-18 00:00
Ladbrokes (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -5.76%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.36%E -3.67%K -22.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-18 00:00
Neds4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -5.76%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.36%E -3.67%K -22.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-18 00:00
Pinnacle4.76I 21.01%NM 20.27%EV -6.55%E -1.38%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.73%EV -2.76%E -2.28%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-18 00:00
BetRivers4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.74%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 00:00
TABtouch4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.74%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 00:00
GTbets4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -7.73%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.56%E -2.97%K -17.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 23:59
ReBet4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -7.73%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.56%E -2.97%K -17.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 23:59
FanDuel4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -7.73%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.36%E -3.67%K -22.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 00:00
BetOnline.ag4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV -8.32%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -2.76%E -2.28%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-18 00:00
LowVig.ag4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV -8.32%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -2.76%E -2.28%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-18 00:00
BetAnything4.65I 21.51%NM 20.65%EV -8.71%E -1.87%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.35%EV -2.76%E -2.28%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-18 00:00
BetUS4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -9.69%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -2.76%E -2.28%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-17 23:59
Bovada4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -9.69%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.56%E -2.97%K -17.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 00:00
Betsson4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -10.67%E -2.35%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -4.36%E -3.67%K -22.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-17 23:59
NordicBet4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -10.67%E -2.35%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -4.36%E -3.67%K -22.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-17 23:59
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.65%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.56%E -2.97%K -17.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 23:59
888sport (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.65%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.56%E -2.97%K -17.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 23:59
Mr Green (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.65%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.56%E -2.97%K -17.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 23:59
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.65%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.97%E -5.10%K -35.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-18 00:00
TAB4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.62%E -3.09%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.56%E -2.97%K -17.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-17 23:59
PMU (FR)4.35I 22.99%NM 20.48%EV -14.60%E -3.36%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 79.52%EV -9.99%E -8.92%K -83.24%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-18 00:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%0.5%2026-06-18 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%0.5%2026-06-18 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%0.5%2026-06-18 00:00
Novig5.13I 19.49%NM 19.34%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.66%0.8%2026-06-18 00:00
Polymarket5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17%1.0%2026-06-18 00:00
Kalshi5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17%1.0%2026-06-18 00:00
ProphetX4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%4.2%2026-06-18 00:00