A Escola das Odds

Chicago Sky v New York Liberty

Início: 2026-06-18 00:05 UTC

Final: Chicago Sky 95–96 New York Liberty

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

42 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Chicago Sky (Local)

Previsão 19.63%5.09odd justa
EV +9.94%
Vantagem +1.78%
Kelly +2.16%
Crescimento +0.215%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.17%19.49%19.72%21.43%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.354.834.805.6022.99%20.72%20.83%17.86%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

New York Liberty (Visitante)

Previsão 80.37%1.24odd justa
EV -2.76%
Vantagem -2.28%
Kelly -13.12%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.21

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
78.57%80.51%80.28%82.83%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.121.181.181.2189.29%84.42%84.75%82.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (42 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Bet Victor5.60I 17.86%NM 17.40%EV +9.94%E +1.78%K +2.16%G +0.215%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.60%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.70%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-18 00:00
theScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +7.98%E +1.45%K +1.77%G +0.141%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -8.38%E -7.35%K -59.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 00:00
Fliff5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV +0.127%E +0.025%K +0.031%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -6.77%E -5.84%K -42.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 23:59
LeoVegas (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.84%E -0.367%K -0.459%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 00:00
LeoVegas5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.84%E -0.367%K -0.459%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 00:00
Unibet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.84%E -0.367%K -0.459%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 00:00
Unibet (NL)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.84%E -0.367%K -0.459%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 00:00
Unibet (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.84%E -0.367%K -0.459%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 00:00
Caesars5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.84%E -0.367%K -0.459%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-17 23:59
BetMGM5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.84%E -0.367%K -0.459%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 00:00
ATG (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.84%E -0.367%K -0.459%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 00:00
Bally Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.84%E -0.367%K -0.459%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 00:00
betPARX5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.84%E -0.367%K -0.459%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 00:00
Svenska Spel5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.84%E -0.367%K -0.459%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 00:00
Betway5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.84%E -0.367%K -0.459%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.97%E -5.10%K -35.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 00:00
Hard Rock Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.84%E -0.367%K -0.459%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.97%E -5.10%K -35.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 00:00
Unibet (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -1.84%E -0.367%K -0.459%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.77%E -5.84%K -42.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-18 00:00
Fanatics4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -3.80%E -0.776%K -0.974%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.36%E -3.67%K -22.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-17 23:59
MyBookie.ag4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.80%E -0.776%K -0.974%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 23:59
SportsBet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -3.80%E -0.776%K -0.974%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.97%E -5.10%K -35.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 00:00
DraftKings4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -5.76%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -3.56%E -2.97%K -17.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-18 00:00
Ladbrokes (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -5.76%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.36%E -3.67%K -22.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-18 00:00
Neds4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -5.76%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.36%E -3.67%K -22.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-18 00:00
Pinnacle4.76I 21.01%NM 20.27%EV -6.55%E -1.38%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.73%EV -2.76%E -2.28%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-18 00:00
BetRivers4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.74%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 00:00
TABtouch4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.74%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.17%E -4.38%K -28.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 00:00
GTbets4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -7.73%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.56%E -2.97%K -17.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 23:59
ReBet4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -7.73%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.56%E -2.97%K -17.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 23:59
FanDuel4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -7.73%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.36%E -3.67%K -22.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 00:00
BetOnline.ag4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV -8.32%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -2.76%E -2.28%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-18 00:00
LowVig.ag4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV -8.32%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -2.76%E -2.28%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-18 00:00
BetAnything4.65I 21.51%NM 20.65%EV -8.71%E -1.87%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.35%EV -2.76%E -2.28%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-18 00:00
BetUS4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -9.69%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -2.76%E -2.28%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-17 23:59
Bovada4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -9.69%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.56%E -2.97%K -17.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 00:00
Betsson4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -10.67%E -2.35%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -4.36%E -3.67%K -22.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-17 23:59
NordicBet4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -10.67%E -2.35%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -4.36%E -3.67%K -22.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-17 23:59
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.65%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.56%E -2.97%K -17.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 23:59
888sport (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.65%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.56%E -2.97%K -17.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 23:59
Mr Green (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.65%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.56%E -2.97%K -17.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 23:59
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.65%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.97%E -5.10%K -35.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-18 00:00
TAB4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.62%E -3.09%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.56%E -2.97%K -17.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-17 23:59
PMU (FR)4.35I 22.99%NM 20.48%EV -14.60%E -3.36%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 79.52%EV -9.99%E -8.92%K -83.24%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-18 00:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%0.5%2026-06-18 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%0.5%2026-06-18 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%0.5%2026-06-18 00:00
Novig5.13I 19.49%NM 19.34%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.66%0.8%2026-06-18 00:00
Polymarket5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17%1.0%2026-06-18 00:00
Kalshi5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17%1.0%2026-06-18 00:00
ProphetX4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%4.2%2026-06-18 00:00