Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Sky v Los Angeles Sparks

Kickoff: 2026-08-06 01:15 UTC

Final: Chicago Sky 95–88 Los Angeles Sparks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Sky (Local)

Prediction 55.62%1.80fair odd
EV -1.55%
Edge -0.873%
Kelly -2.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.66%55.69%55.67%56.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.711.711.7760.98%58.55%58.48%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Sparks (Visit)

Prediction 44.38%2.25fair odd
EV -2.37%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -1.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%44.31%44.33%46.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.042.142.142.2049.02%46.71%46.73%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Sky (Local): 55.62%; Los Angeles Sparks (Visit): 44.38%. For Chicago Sky (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.80. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.77, with an expected value of -1.55%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -1.55%E -0.873%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -9.03%E -4.40%K -8.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 01:10
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -2.66%E -1.52%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -2.37%E -1.08%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-06 01:05
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -2.66%E -1.52%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -2.37%E -1.08%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-06 01:05
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.66%E -1.52%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.81%E -3.24%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 01:10
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.66%E -1.52%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.70%E -3.70%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 00:35
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.21%E -1.85%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.59%E -2.14%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-06 00:54
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.21%E -1.85%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.59%E -2.14%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-06 00:33
Pinnacle🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -3.77%E -2.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -3.70%E -1.71%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-06 00:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.77%E -2.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.59%E -2.14%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 01:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.33%E -2.52%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.26%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-06 00:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.33%E -2.52%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.26%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-06 00:45
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.33%E -2.52%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.04%E -2.35%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 01:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.33%E -2.52%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.04%E -2.35%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 01:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.33%E -2.52%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.04%E -2.35%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 01:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.33%E -2.52%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.04%E -2.35%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 01:00
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.33%E -2.52%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.04%E -2.35%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 01:00
Bally Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.33%E -2.52%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.04%E -2.35%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 01:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.33%E -2.52%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.04%E -2.35%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 01:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.33%E -2.52%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.04%E -2.35%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 01:00
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.33%E -2.52%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.81%E -3.24%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 01:00
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.88%E -2.86%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.37%E -1.08%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-06 00:45
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.88%E -2.86%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.37%E -1.08%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-06 00:15
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.88%E -2.86%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.37%E -1.08%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-06 00:45
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.88%E -2.86%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.59%E -2.14%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 00:55
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.88%E -2.86%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.04%E -2.35%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 01:00
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.88%E -2.86%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.04%E -2.35%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 01:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.88%E -2.86%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.81%E -3.24%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 01:10
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.88%E -2.86%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.81%E -3.24%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 01:00
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.44%E -3.20%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.37%E -1.08%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 00:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.44%E -3.20%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.59%E -2.14%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 00:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.44%E -3.20%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.59%E -2.14%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 00:25
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.44%E -3.20%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.59%E -2.14%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 00:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.44%E -3.20%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.81%E -3.24%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 01:10
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.44%E -3.20%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.81%E -3.24%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 01:00
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.44%E -3.20%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.03%E -4.40%K -8.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 01:10
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.00%E -3.55%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.37%E -1.08%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 01:10
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.00%E -3.55%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.37%E -1.08%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 00:25
GTbets🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -6.55%E -3.90%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -5.04%E -2.35%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 01:05
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -6.55%E -3.90%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.92%E -2.79%K -5.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 00:40
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -6.55%E -3.90%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.92%E -2.79%K -5.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 00:40
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.11%E -4.26%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.37%E -1.08%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.11%E -4.26%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.37%E -1.08%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 18:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.11%E -4.26%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.37%E -1.08%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 18:40
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.11%E -4.26%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.81%E -3.24%K -6.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-06 00:19
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.11%E -4.26%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.81%E -3.24%K -6.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-06 00:20
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.22%E -4.98%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.03%E -4.40%K -8.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-06 01:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.43%EV -8.78%E -5.35%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.57%EV -9.47%E -4.64%K -9.11%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-06 01:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-08-06 01:10
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-06 01:10
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-08-06 01:10
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%2.8%2026-08-06 01:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 52.58%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.42%3.4%2026-08-06 01:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 52.58%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.42%3.4%2026-08-06 01:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%4.3%2026-08-06 01:10
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.63%10.0%2026-08-06 01:10