Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago Sky v Los Angeles Sparks

Início: 2026-08-06 01:15 UTC

Final: Chicago Sky 95–88 Los Angeles Sparks

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago Sky (Local)

Previsão 55.62%1.80odd justa
EV -1.55%
Vantagem -0.873%
Kelly -2.01%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.77

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.66%55.69%55.67%56.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.641.711.711.7760.98%58.55%58.48%56.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Los Angeles Sparks (Visitante)

Previsão 44.38%2.25odd justa
EV -2.37%
Vantagem -1.08%
Kelly -1.98%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.15%44.31%44.33%46.34%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.042.142.142.2049.02%46.71%46.73%45.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Chicago Sky (Local): 55.62%; Los Angeles Sparks (Visitante): 44.38%. Para Chicago Sky (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.80. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.77, com valor esperado de -1.55%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -1.55%E -0.873%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -9.03%E -4.40%K -8.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 01:10
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -2.66%E -1.52%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -2.37%E -1.08%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-06 01:05
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -2.66%E -1.52%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -2.37%E -1.08%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-06 01:05
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.66%E -1.52%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.81%E -3.24%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 01:10
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.66%E -1.52%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.70%E -3.70%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 00:35
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.21%E -1.85%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.59%E -2.14%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-06 00:54
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.21%E -1.85%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.59%E -2.14%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-06 00:33
Pinnacle🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -3.77%E -2.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -3.70%E -1.71%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-06 00:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.77%E -2.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.59%E -2.14%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 01:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.33%E -2.52%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.26%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-06 00:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.33%E -2.52%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.26%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-06 00:45
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.33%E -2.52%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.04%E -2.35%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 01:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.33%E -2.52%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.04%E -2.35%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 01:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.33%E -2.52%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.04%E -2.35%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 01:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.33%E -2.52%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.04%E -2.35%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 01:00
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.33%E -2.52%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.04%E -2.35%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 01:00
Bally Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.33%E -2.52%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.04%E -2.35%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 01:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.33%E -2.52%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.04%E -2.35%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 01:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.33%E -2.52%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.04%E -2.35%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 01:00
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.33%E -2.52%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.81%E -3.24%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 01:00
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.88%E -2.86%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.37%E -1.08%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-06 00:45
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.88%E -2.86%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.37%E -1.08%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-06 00:15
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.88%E -2.86%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.37%E -1.08%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-06 00:45
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.88%E -2.86%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.59%E -2.14%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 00:55
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.88%E -2.86%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.04%E -2.35%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 01:00
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.88%E -2.86%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.04%E -2.35%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 01:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.88%E -2.86%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.81%E -3.24%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 01:10
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.88%E -2.86%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.81%E -3.24%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 01:00
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.44%E -3.20%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.37%E -1.08%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 00:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.44%E -3.20%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.59%E -2.14%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 00:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.44%E -3.20%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.59%E -2.14%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 00:25
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.44%E -3.20%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.59%E -2.14%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 00:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.44%E -3.20%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.81%E -3.24%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 01:10
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.44%E -3.20%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.81%E -3.24%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 01:00
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.44%E -3.20%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.03%E -4.40%K -8.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 01:10
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.00%E -3.55%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.37%E -1.08%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 01:10
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.00%E -3.55%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.37%E -1.08%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 00:25
GTbets🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -6.55%E -3.90%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -5.04%E -2.35%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 01:05
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -6.55%E -3.90%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.92%E -2.79%K -5.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 00:40
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -6.55%E -3.90%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.92%E -2.79%K -5.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 00:40
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.11%E -4.26%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.37%E -1.08%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.11%E -4.26%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.37%E -1.08%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 18:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.11%E -4.26%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.37%E -1.08%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 18:40
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.11%E -4.26%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.81%E -3.24%K -6.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-06 00:19
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.11%E -4.26%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.81%E -3.24%K -6.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-06 00:20
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.22%E -4.98%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.03%E -4.40%K -8.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-06 01:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.43%EV -8.78%E -5.35%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.57%EV -9.47%E -4.64%K -9.11%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-06 01:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-08-06 01:10
Polymarket◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-06 01:10
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-08-06 01:10
ProphetX◎1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%2.8%2026-08-06 01:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 52.58%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.42%3.4%2026-08-06 01:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 52.58%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.42%3.4%2026-08-06 01:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%4.3%2026-08-06 01:10
Matchbook◎1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.63%10.0%2026-08-06 01:10