Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago Sky v Los Angeles Sparks

2026-08-06 01:00 UTC — WNBA

Resultado del partido

39 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago Sky (Local)

Predicción 55.57%1.80momio equitativo
EV -0.538%
Ventaja -0.300%
Kelly -0.681%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.79

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.39%55.50%55.70%56.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.671.721.711.7959.88%58.02%58.48%55.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Los Angeles Sparks (Visitante)

Predicción 44.43%2.25momio equitativo
EV -2.24%
Ventaja -1.02%
Kelly -1.87%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.44%44.50%44.30%46.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.952.102.112.2051.28%47.54%47.39%45.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Chicago Sky (Local): 55.57%; Los Angeles Sparks (Visitante): 44.43%. Para Chicago Sky (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.80. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 1.79, con un valor esperado de -0.538%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (39 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -0.538%E -0.300%K -0.681%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -8.91%E -4.35%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 20:14
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -0.538%E -0.300%K -0.681%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -8.91%E -4.35%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 20:15
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -0.538%E -0.300%K -0.681%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -8.91%E -4.35%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 20:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -0.538%E -0.300%K -0.681%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -8.91%E -4.35%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 20:14
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -0.538%E -0.300%K -0.681%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -8.91%E -4.35%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 20:14
Bally Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -0.538%E -0.300%K -0.681%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -8.91%E -4.35%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 20:15
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -0.538%E -0.300%K -0.681%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -8.91%E -4.35%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 20:14
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -0.538%E -0.300%K -0.681%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -8.91%E -4.35%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 20:14
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -1.09%E -0.614%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -9.35%E -4.59%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 20:14
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -1.09%E -0.614%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -9.35%E -4.59%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 20:14
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.32%E -1.91%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.47%E -2.08%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 21:15
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.32%E -1.91%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.47%E -2.08%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 22:04
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.32%E -1.91%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.47%E -2.08%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 22:04
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.32%E -1.91%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.91%E -2.29%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 22:05
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.87%E -2.24%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -4.02%E -1.86%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 03:50
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.87%E -2.24%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.69%E -3.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 22:35
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.87%E -2.24%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.69%E -3.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 22:35
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.87%E -2.24%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.69%E -3.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 22:35
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.98%E -2.91%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.24%E -1.02%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 21:15
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.98%E -2.91%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.47%E -2.08%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 22:05
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.98%E -2.91%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.91%E -2.29%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 22:35
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.54%E -3.26%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.47%E -2.08%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:04
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.54%E -3.26%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.47%E -2.08%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 03:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.54%E -3.26%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.47%E -2.08%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 13:04
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.54%E -3.26%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.47%E -2.08%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 13:04
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.54%E -3.26%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.80%E -2.74%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 22:40
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -5.54%E -3.26%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -13.35%E -6.85%K -14.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-04 20:14
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.09%E -3.61%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.24%E -1.02%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 13:05
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -6.09%E -3.61%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.13%E -1.44%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 03:35
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.65%E -3.96%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.47%E -2.08%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 04:20
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.65%E -3.96%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.47%E -2.08%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 13:09
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -6.65%E -3.96%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.80%E -2.74%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 22:05
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -6.65%E -3.96%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.80%E -2.74%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 22:05
ReBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.67%EV -6.65%E -3.96%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.33%EV -6.24%E -2.96%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 22:04
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.21%E -4.31%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.69%E -3.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 14:41
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.21%E -4.31%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.69%E -3.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 22:04
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.21%E -4.31%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.91%E -4.35%K -8.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-04 13:04
betano_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.21%E -4.31%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.91%E -4.35%K -8.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-04 13:04
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -7.21%E -4.31%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.26%EV -10.24%E -5.07%K -10.04%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-04 22:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.91%2.27I 44.05%NM 44.09%-0.1%2026-08-05 00:05
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-08-04 19:14
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%2.6%2026-08-05 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%4.2%2026-08-04 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%4.2%2026-08-04 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.17%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.83%7.2%2026-08-04 21:55