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Chicago Sky v Las Vegas Aces
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chicago Sky (Local)
Prediction 32.01%3.12fair odd
EV +2.44%
Edge +0.763%
Kelly +1.11%
Growth +0.027%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.82%31.96%32.03%34.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.973.003.2037.04%33.65%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Las Vegas Aces (Visit)
Prediction 67.99%1.47fair odd
EV -2.10%
Edge -1.46%
Kelly -4.77%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.85%68.04%67.97%70.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.401.401.4475.19%71.52%71.43%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Sky (Local): 32.01%; Las Vegas Aces (Visit): 67.99%. For Chicago Sky (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.12. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.44%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +2.44%E +0.763%K +1.11%G +0.027% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -7.54%E -5.54%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-01 16:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%EV -0.761%E -0.245%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%EV -3.46%E -2.44%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-01 16:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%EV -0.761%E -0.245%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%EV -3.46%E -2.44%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-01 16:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.761%E -0.245%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.18%E -4.48%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-01 16:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.761%E -0.245%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.18%E -4.48%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-01 16:57 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.761%E -0.245%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.18%E -4.48%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-01 16:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.761%E -0.245%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.18%E -4.48%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-01 16:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -0.761%E -0.245%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.86%E -5.01%K -18.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 16:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -0.761%E -0.245%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -8.22%E -6.09%K -23.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-01 16:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -1.72%E -0.561%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-01 17:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -1.72%E -0.561%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-01 17:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.36%E -0.774%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.14%E -2.93%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-01 16:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -3.00%E -0.991%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -4.14%E -2.93%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-01 16:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.96%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.46%E -2.44%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-01 16:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.96%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.46%E -2.44%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-01 16:57 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.96%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-01 16:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.96%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-01 16:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.96%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-01 16:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.96%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-01 16:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.96%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-01 16:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.96%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-01 16:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.96%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-01 16:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.96%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-01 16:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.96%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-01 16:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.96%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.18%E -4.48%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 16:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.96%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.18%E -4.48%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 15:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.96%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.54%E -5.54%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 17:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.56%E -1.89%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 16:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.56%E -1.89%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 16:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -5.56%E -1.89%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.50%E -3.96%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 16:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.10%EV -5.88%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.90%EV -5.50%E -3.96%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-01 16:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.95%EV -6.84%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.05%EV -2.78%E -1.94%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-01 16:18 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -7.16%E -2.47%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -2.10%E -1.46%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-01 17:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -7.16%E -2.47%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -2.78%E -1.94%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-01 15:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.16%E -2.47%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 16:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.16%E -2.47%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 16:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.16%E -2.47%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 16:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.16%E -2.47%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 12:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.59%EV -7.80%E -2.71%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.41%EV -9.58%E -7.20%K -29.02%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-01 15:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.10%EV -8.12%E -2.83%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.90%EV -3.46%E -2.44%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 16:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -8.44%E -2.95%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -2.78%E -1.94%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-01 17:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.76%E -3.08%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.46%E -2.44%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-01 16:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -8.76%E -3.08%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-01 16:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -10.36%E -3.70%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.46%E -2.44%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-01 16:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.36%E -3.70%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 16:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-01 17:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -13.57%E -5.02%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-01 16:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25% | 1.0% | 2026-08-01 17:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25% | 1.0% | 2026-08-01 04:39 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63% | 1.2% | 2026-08-01 17:00 |
| Novig◎ | 3.17I 31.55%NM 31.09% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.91% | 1.5% | 2026-08-01 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78% | 1.7% | 2026-08-01 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93% | 2.2% | 2026-08-01 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93% | 2.2% | 2026-08-01 16:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08% | 2.7% | 2026-08-01 17:00 |
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