Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Sky v Las Vegas Aces

2026-08-01 17:00 UTC — WNBA

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Sky (Local)

Prediction 29.92%3.34fair odd
EV +24.77%
Edge +5.94%
Kelly +7.81%
Growth +1.94%

assuming max odds 4.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.06%29.81%29.95%31.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.203.154.1734.48%31.22%31.75%23.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Las Vegas Aces (Visit)

Prediction 70.08%1.43fair odd
EV -3.99%
Edge -2.91%
Kelly -10.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.24%70.19%70.05%76.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.351.361.3780.00%74.30%73.53%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Chicago Sky (Local): 29.92%; Las Vegas Aces (Visit): 70.08%. For Chicago Sky (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.34. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.17, producing a positive expected value of +24.77%.

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet4.17I 23.98%NM 23.06%EV +24.77%E +5.94%K +7.81%G +1.94%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.94%EV -12.40%E -9.92%K -49.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-31 04:00
FanDuel3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +0.237%E +0.071%K +0.101%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.80%E -5.11%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 06:20
theScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.26%E -0.382%K -0.547%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.69%E -3.45%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-31 05:55
SportsBet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -1.26%E -0.382%K -0.547%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -7.50%E -5.68%K -23.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-31 06:25
Fanatics3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.76%E -0.848%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.69%E -3.45%K -13.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 07:53
Fliff3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -2.76%E -0.848%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.50%E -5.68%K -23.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-31 08:05
Caesars3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -3.65%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -4.69%E -3.45%K -13.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 05:10
GTbets3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.25%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.99%E -2.91%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-31 07:40
TAB3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -4.25%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.09%E -4.55%K -17.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 06:24
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.25%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.90%E -6.84%K -29.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-31 03:39
DraftKings3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -4.55%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -4.69%E -3.45%K -13.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-31 07:54
Unibet (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.75%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -3.99%E -2.91%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 04:20
Bet Right3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.75%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.69%E -3.45%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 04:25
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.75%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.69%E -3.45%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 04:25
NordicBet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.75%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.39%E -4.00%K -15.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-31 04:19
Betsson3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.75%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.39%E -4.00%K -15.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-31 04:19
Coolbet3.13I 31.95%NM 30.13%EV -6.35%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.87%EV -5.39%E -4.00%K -15.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 04:24
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.24%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.69%E -3.45%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-31 04:20
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.24%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.69%E -3.45%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-31 04:19
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.24%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.69%E -3.45%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-31 04:19
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.24%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.69%E -3.45%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-31 04:19
ReBet3.06I 32.68%NM 30.45%EV -8.44%E -2.76%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.55%EV -6.09%E -4.55%K -17.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-31 04:19
Hard Rock Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.24%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.69%E -3.45%K -13.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-31 04:19
LeoVegas2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -13.23%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -5.39%E -4.00%K -15.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-31 04:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%0.9%2026-07-31 07:45
Polymarket3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%1.0%2026-07-31 08:05
Novig3.28I 30.49%NM 29.61%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.39%3.0%2026-07-31 08:25
Arbitrage (22 combinations) +3.12%1xBet 4.17 (24.7%) / Unibet (UK) 1.37 (75.3%)Show all 22 combinations
Chicago Sky (Local)Las Vegas Aces (Visit)Margin
1xBet 4.17 (24.7%)GTbets 1.37 (75.3%)+3.12%
1xBet 4.17 (24.7%)Unibet (UK) 1.37 (75.3%)+3.12%
1xBet 4.17 (24.6%)theScore Bet 1.36 (75.4%)+2.55%
1xBet 4.17 (24.6%)Fanatics 1.36 (75.4%)+2.55%
1xBet 4.17 (24.6%)Caesars 1.36 (75.4%)+2.55%
1xBet 4.17 (24.6%)DraftKings 1.36 (75.4%)+2.55%
1xBet 4.17 (24.6%)Bet Right 1.36 (75.4%)+2.55%
1xBet 4.17 (24.6%)Betr (AU) 1.36 (75.4%)+2.55%
1xBet 4.17 (24.6%)888sport 1.36 (75.4%)+2.55%
1xBet 4.17 (24.6%)888sport (SE) 1.36 (75.4%)+2.55%
1xBet 4.17 (24.6%)BoyleSports 1.36 (75.4%)+2.55%
1xBet 4.17 (24.6%)Mr Green (SE) 1.36 (75.4%)+2.55%
1xBet 4.17 (24.6%)Hard Rock Bet 1.36 (75.4%)+2.55%
1xBet 4.17 (24.5%)NordicBet 1.35 (75.5%)+1.98%
1xBet 4.17 (24.5%)Betsson 1.35 (75.5%)+1.98%
1xBet 4.17 (24.5%)Coolbet 1.35 (75.5%)+1.98%
1xBet 4.17 (24.5%)LeoVegas 1.35 (75.5%)+1.98%
1xBet 4.17 (24.3%)TAB 1.34 (75.7%)+1.41%
1xBet 4.17 (24.3%)ReBet 1.34 (75.7%)+1.41%
1xBet 4.17 (24.2%)FanDuel 1.33 (75.8%)+0.838%
1xBet 4.17 (24.0%)SportsBet 1.32 (76.0%)+0.262%
1xBet 4.17 (24.0%)Fliff 1.32 (76.0%)+0.262%