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Chicago Sky v Las Vegas Aces
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Chicago Sky (Local)
Predicción 32.01%3.12momio equitativo
EV +2.44%
Ventaja +0.763%
Kelly +1.11%
Crecimiento +0.027%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.82%31.96%32.03%34.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.702.973.003.2037.04%33.65%33.33%31.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Las Vegas Aces (Visitante)
Predicción 67.99%1.47momio equitativo
EV -2.10%
Ventaja -1.46%
Kelly -4.77%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.44
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.85%68.04%67.97%70.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.331.401.401.4475.19%71.52%71.43%69.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Chicago Sky (Local): 32.01%; Las Vegas Aces (Visitante): 67.99%. Para Chicago Sky (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.12. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.20, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.44%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +2.44%E +0.763%K +1.11%G +0.027% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -7.54%E -5.54%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-01 16:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%EV -0.761%E -0.245%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%EV -3.46%E -2.44%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-01 16:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%EV -0.761%E -0.245%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%EV -3.46%E -2.44%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-01 16:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.761%E -0.245%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.18%E -4.48%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-01 16:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.761%E -0.245%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.18%E -4.48%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-01 16:57 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.761%E -0.245%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.18%E -4.48%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-01 16:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.761%E -0.245%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.18%E -4.48%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-01 16:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -0.761%E -0.245%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.86%E -5.01%K -18.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 16:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -0.761%E -0.245%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -8.22%E -6.09%K -23.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-01 16:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -1.72%E -0.561%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-01 17:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -1.72%E -0.561%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-01 17:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.36%E -0.774%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.14%E -2.93%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-01 16:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -3.00%E -0.991%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -4.14%E -2.93%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-01 16:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.96%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.46%E -2.44%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-01 16:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.96%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.46%E -2.44%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-01 16:57 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.96%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-01 16:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.96%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-01 16:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.96%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-01 16:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.96%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-01 16:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.96%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-01 16:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.96%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-01 16:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.96%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-01 16:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.96%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-01 16:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.96%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-01 16:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.96%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.18%E -4.48%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 16:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.96%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.18%E -4.48%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 15:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.96%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.54%E -5.54%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 17:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.56%E -1.89%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 16:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.56%E -1.89%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 16:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -5.56%E -1.89%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.50%E -3.96%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 16:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.10%EV -5.88%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.90%EV -5.50%E -3.96%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-01 16:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.95%EV -6.84%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.05%EV -2.78%E -1.94%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-01 16:18 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -7.16%E -2.47%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -2.10%E -1.46%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-01 17:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -7.16%E -2.47%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -2.78%E -1.94%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-01 15:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.16%E -2.47%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 16:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.16%E -2.47%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 16:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.16%E -2.47%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 16:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.16%E -2.47%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 12:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.59%EV -7.80%E -2.71%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.41%EV -9.58%E -7.20%K -29.02%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-01 15:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.10%EV -8.12%E -2.83%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.90%EV -3.46%E -2.44%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 16:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -8.44%E -2.95%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -2.78%E -1.94%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-01 17:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.76%E -3.08%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.46%E -2.44%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-01 16:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -8.76%E -3.08%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-01 16:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -10.36%E -3.70%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.46%E -2.44%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-01 16:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.36%E -3.70%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 16:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-01 17:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -13.57%E -5.02%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-01 16:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25% | 1.0% | 2026-08-01 17:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25% | 1.0% | 2026-08-01 04:39 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63% | 1.2% | 2026-08-01 17:00 |
| Novig◎ | 3.17I 31.55%NM 31.09% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.91% | 1.5% | 2026-08-01 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78% | 1.7% | 2026-08-01 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93% | 2.2% | 2026-08-01 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93% | 2.2% | 2026-08-01 16:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08% | 2.7% | 2026-08-01 17:00 |