Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago Sky v Las Vegas Aces

Início: 2026-08-01 17:05 UTC

Final: Chicago Sky 84–83 Las Vegas Aces

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago Sky (Local)

Previsão 32.01%3.12odd justa
EV +2.44%
Vantagem +0.763%
Kelly +1.11%
Crescimento +0.027%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.82%31.96%32.03%34.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.702.973.003.2037.04%33.65%33.33%31.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Las Vegas Aces (Visitante)

Previsão 67.99%1.47odd justa
EV -2.10%
Vantagem -1.46%
Kelly -4.77%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.44

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
65.85%68.04%67.97%70.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.331.401.401.4475.19%71.52%71.43%69.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Chicago Sky (Local): 32.01%; Las Vegas Aces (Visitante): 67.99%. Para Chicago Sky (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.12. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.20, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.44%.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BetMGM🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +2.44%E +0.763%K +1.11%G +0.027%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -7.54%E -5.54%K -20.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 16:49
Bet Victor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%EV -0.761%E -0.245%K -0.362%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%EV -3.46%E -2.44%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-01 16:50
betano_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%EV -0.761%E -0.245%K -0.362%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%EV -3.46%E -2.44%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-01 16:49
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.761%E -0.245%K -0.362%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.18%E -4.48%K -16.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 16:54
Caesars🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.761%E -0.245%K -0.362%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.18%E -4.48%K -16.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 16:57
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.761%E -0.245%K -0.362%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.18%E -4.48%K -16.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 16:49
Neds🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.761%E -0.245%K -0.362%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.18%E -4.48%K -16.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 16:50
MyBookie.ag🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -0.761%E -0.245%K -0.362%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.86%E -5.01%K -18.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 16:59
Fliff🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -0.761%E -0.245%K -0.362%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -8.22%E -6.09%K -23.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-01 16:59
LowVig.ag🎯3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -1.72%E -0.561%K -0.831%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-01 17:00
BetOnline.ag🎯3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -1.72%E -0.561%K -0.831%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-01 17:00
BetAnything🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.36%E -0.774%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.14%E -2.93%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-01 16:59
BetUS🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -3.00%E -0.991%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -4.14%E -2.93%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-01 16:59
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.96%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.46%E -2.44%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-01 16:15
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.96%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.46%E -2.44%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-01 16:57
GTbets🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.96%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 16:59
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.96%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 16:45
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.96%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.96%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 16:40
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.96%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 16:40
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.96%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 16:45
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.96%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 16:39
betPARX🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.96%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 16:40
Bally Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.96%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 16:40
BetRivers🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.96%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.18%E -4.48%K -16.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 16:44
TABtouch🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.96%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.18%E -4.48%K -16.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 15:40
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.96%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.54%E -5.54%K -20.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 17:00
Bet Right🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.56%E -1.89%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 16:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.56%E -1.89%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 16:39
Coolbet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -5.56%E -1.89%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.50%E -3.96%K -14.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 16:54
SportsBet🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.10%EV -5.88%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.90%EV -5.50%E -3.96%K -14.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 16:49
1xBet🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 32.95%EV -6.84%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.05%EV -2.78%E -1.94%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 16:18
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -7.16%E -2.47%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -2.10%E -1.46%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-01 17:00
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -7.16%E -2.47%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -2.78%E -1.94%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 15:59
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.16%E -2.47%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 16:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.16%E -2.47%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 16:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.16%E -2.47%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 16:40
TAB🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.16%E -2.47%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 12:54
PMU (FR)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.59%EV -7.80%E -2.71%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.41%EV -9.58%E -7.20%K -29.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-01 15:40
ReBet🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 33.10%EV -8.12%E -2.83%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.90%EV -3.46%E -2.44%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 16:59
FanDuel🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -8.44%E -2.95%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -2.78%E -1.94%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-01 17:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.76%E -3.08%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.46%E -2.44%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-01 16:59
Betsson🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -8.76%E -3.08%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-01 16:44
NordicBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -10.36%E -3.70%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.46%E -2.44%K -8.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 16:59
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.36%E -3.70%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 16:59
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-01 17:00
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -13.57%E -5.02%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -4.82%E -3.44%K -12.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-01 16:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Polymarket◎3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%1.0%2026-08-01 17:00
Kalshi◎3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%1.0%2026-08-01 04:39
Matchbook◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%1.2%2026-08-01 17:00
Novig◎3.17I 31.55%NM 31.09%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.91%1.5%2026-08-01 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78%1.7%2026-08-01 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93%2.2%2026-08-01 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93%2.2%2026-08-01 16:59
ProphetX◎3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%2.7%2026-08-01 17:00