Language:English
Atlanta Dream v New York Liberty
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Atlanta Dream (Local)
Prediction 57.11%1.75fair odd
EV -1.78%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -2.47%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.97%57.10%57.11%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.661.661.7265.36%60.25%60.24%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Liberty (Visit)
Prediction 42.89%2.33fair odd
EV -2.20%
Edge -0.965%
Kelly -1.72%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.86%42.90%42.89%45.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.222.242.2847.62%45.04%44.74%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlanta Dream (Local): 57.11%; New York Liberty (Visit): 42.89%. For Atlanta Dream (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.75. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.72, with an expected value of -1.78%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.78%E -1.03%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -9.92%E -4.72%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-05 14:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.35%E -1.37%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-05 05:53 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.92%E -1.72%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-05 05:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -2.92%E -1.72%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -7.35%E -3.40%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 14:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.49%E -2.07%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.49%E -1.55%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-05 13:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.49%E -2.07%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.49%E -1.55%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-04 21:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.49%E -2.07%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.49%E -1.55%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-04 21:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.49%E -2.07%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.49%E -1.55%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-05 13:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.49%E -2.07%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.49%E -1.55%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-05 13:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.49%E -2.07%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.49%E -1.55%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-05 13:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.49%E -2.07%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.77%E -2.15%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-05 05:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.49%E -2.07%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-05 14:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -3.06%E -1.35%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-05 14:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.49%E -1.55%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-05 12:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-05 12:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-05 12:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 21:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 21:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-05 14:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-05 07:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.92%E -4.72%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-05 14:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.20%E -3.14%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.49%E -1.55%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-05 14:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.20%E -3.14%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.77%E -2.15%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-05 14:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.78%E -3.50%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.20%E -0.965%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-05 11:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.78%E -3.50%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.20%E -0.965%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-05 11:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.78%E -3.50%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.20%E -0.965%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-05 11:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.78%E -3.50%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.20%E -0.965%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-05 11:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.78%E -3.50%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.20%E -0.965%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-05 11:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.78%E -3.50%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.20%E -0.965%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-05 11:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.78%E -3.50%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.20%E -0.965%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-05 11:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.78%E -3.50%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.20%E -0.965%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-05 11:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.78%E -3.50%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.49%E -1.55%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 20:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.78%E -3.50%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.49%E -1.55%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 09:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.78%E -3.50%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-05 05:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.78%E -3.50%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-05 14:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.78%E -3.50%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-04 23:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.35%E -3.87%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.49%E -1.55%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-05 11:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.35%E -3.87%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.49%E -1.55%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-05 11:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.51%EV -6.35%E -3.87%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.49%EV -4.77%E -2.15%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 13:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.49%E -4.62%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.49%E -1.55%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-05 09:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.49%E -4.62%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.49%E -1.55%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-05 09:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.49%E -4.62%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.92%E -4.72%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-05 13:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -8.06%E -5.01%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-05 13:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -8.06%E -5.01%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-05 13:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.08%EV -12.63%E -8.25%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.92%EV -9.06%E -4.28%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-05 11:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 57.11% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.89% | 0.1% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96% | 2.5% | 2026-10-05 13:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53% | 5.4% | 2026-10-05 15:16 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85% | 8.6% | 2026-10-05 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85% | 8.6% | 2026-10-05 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85% | 8.6% | 2026-10-05 14:55 |