Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Atlanta Dream v New York Liberty

2026-10-07 23:30 UTC — WNBA

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Atlanta Dream (Local)

Predicción 57.28%1.75momio equitativo
EV -3.20%
Ventaja -1.89%
Kelly -4.64%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.70%57.27%57.18%59.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.571.661.671.6963.69%60.21%59.88%59.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

New York Liberty (Visitante)

Predicción 42.72%2.34momio equitativo
EV +0.394%
Ventaja +0.168%
Kelly +0.292%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.81%42.73%42.82%44.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.042.212.202.3549.02%45.24%45.45%42.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Atlanta Dream (Local): 57.28%; New York Liberty (Visitante): 42.72%. Para New York Liberty (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.34. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.35, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.394%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -7.21%E -4.45%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +0.394%E +0.168%K +0.292%G +0.001%4.3%2026-10-05 01:43
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.74%E -0.757%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-04 21:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.74%E -0.757%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-04 21:15
BetAnything🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.74%E -0.757%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-05 02:14
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.49%E -3.33%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.74%E -0.757%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-04 23:29
Caesars🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.76%EV -4.92%E -2.96%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.24%EV -3.02%E -1.33%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-04 20:24
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.20%E -1.89%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.88%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-04 23:25
GTbets🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.20%E -1.89%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.88%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-04 21:00
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.20%E -1.89%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.88%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-04 21:05
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.20%E -1.89%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.88%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-04 21:10
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.88%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-04 21:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.49%E -3.33%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.88%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-04 20:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.49%E -3.33%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.88%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-04 23:29
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.49%E -3.33%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.88%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-04 23:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.06%E -3.70%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.88%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-05 01:44
DraftKings🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.77%E -2.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.30%E -1.92%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-04 21:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.49%E -3.33%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.30%E -1.92%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-04 23:29
Bet Right🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.49%E -3.33%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.30%E -1.92%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-05 01:44
ReBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.51%EV -6.06%E -3.70%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.49%EV -5.16%E -2.32%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 23:25
Coolbet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.51%EV -6.06%E -3.70%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.49%EV -5.16%E -2.32%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 01:44
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 21:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 21:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 21:50
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.49%E -3.33%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-04 21:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.49%E -3.33%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-04 23:24
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -3.20%E -1.89%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -6.87%E -3.15%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-05 01:00
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.77%E -2.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.87%E -3.15%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 21:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.77%E -2.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.87%E -3.15%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 21:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.77%E -2.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.87%E -3.15%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 21:10
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.77%E -2.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.87%E -3.15%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 21:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.77%E -2.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.87%E -3.15%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 21:10
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.77%E -2.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.87%E -3.15%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 21:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.77%E -2.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.87%E -3.15%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 21:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.77%E -2.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.87%E -3.15%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 21:10
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.77%E -2.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.87%E -3.15%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 21:10
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.77%E -2.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.87%E -3.15%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 21:10
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.49%E -3.33%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.87%E -3.15%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-04 23:34
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.49%E -3.33%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.87%E -3.15%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-04 23:34
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.77%E -2.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 00:58
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-04 23:29
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-04 23:24
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.29%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-05 03:00
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.21%E -4.45%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -10.29%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-04 23:24
PMU (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.51%EV -10.07%E -6.42%K -17.67%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.49%EV -12.85%E -6.30%K -12.35%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-04 21:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-10-05 01:00
Novig◎1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%3.2%2026-10-05 02:45
ProphetX◎1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%5.0%2026-10-05 03:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 55.43%1.94I 51.55%NM 44.57%15.6%2026-10-05 03:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 55.43%1.94I 51.55%NM 44.57%15.6%2026-10-05 03:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 55.43%1.94I 51.55%NM 44.57%15.6%2026-10-05 03:45