Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Dream v Connecticut Sun

2026-09-17 23:30 UTC — WNBA

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

89%

11%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Dream (Local)

Prediction 88.61%1.13fair odd

EV -4.31%

Edge -3.99%

Kelly -53.81%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

86.74%88.61%88.61%88.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.071.081.081.0893.46%92.94%92.59%92.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Connecticut Sun (Visit)

Prediction 11.39%8.78fair odd

EV -3.15%

Edge -0.371%

Kelly -0.421%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 8.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

11.27%11.39%11.39%13.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

7.007.968.008.5014.29%12.56%12.50%11.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Atlanta Dream (Local): 88.61%; Connecticut Sun (Visit): 11.39%. For Connecticut Sun (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.78. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 8.50, with an expected value of -3.15%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.31%E -3.99%K -53.81%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -3.15%E -0.371%K -0.421%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-08-31 02:55
FanDuel🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.49%EV -4.31%E -3.99%K -53.81%G +0.000%	8.30I 12.05%NM 11.51%EV -5.43%E -0.655%K -0.744%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-31 04:50
Betr (AU)🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.31%E -3.99%K -53.81%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -8.85%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-31 05:05
SportsBet🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.19%E -4.85%K -74.16%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -8.85%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-31 04:50
Paddy Power🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.19%E -4.85%K -74.16%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -20.24%E -2.89%K -3.37%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-08-31 04:50

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.01I 99.01%NM 53.24%	1.15I 86.96%NM 46.76%	86.0%	2026-08-31 06:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.01I 99.01%NM 53.24%	1.15I 86.96%NM 46.76%	86.0%	2026-08-31 06:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.01I 99.01%NM 53.24%	1.15I 86.96%NM 46.76%	86.0%	2026-08-31 06:20