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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
+ 新建模型所有模型

Atlanta Dream v Connecticut Sun

开赛时间： 2026-09-17 23:33 UTC

最终结果： Atlanta Dream 103–59 Connecticut Sun

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

43 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Atlanta Dream (主队)

预测 91.43%1.09公平赔率
EV -3.09%
优势 -2.91%
Kelly -51.46%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.06

博彩公司预测分布
88.10%91.39%91.57%92.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.031.051.051.0697.09%95.56%95.24%94.34%最小值均值中位数最大值

Connecticut Sun (客队)

预测 8.57%11.66公平赔率
EV +11.45%
优势 +0.881%
Kelly +0.954%
增长率 +0.109%

假设最高赔率为 13.00

博彩公司预测分布
7.47%8.61%8.43%11.90%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.7010.7710.5013.0012.99%9.29%9.52%7.69%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Atlanta Dream (主队)：91.43%；Connecticut Sun (客队)：8.57%。 对于“Connecticut Sun (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为11.66。 当时有8家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为13.00，对应+11.45%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (43 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Fanatics🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -4.00%E -3.81%K -80.04%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +11.45%E +0.881%K +0.954%G +0.109%2.9%2026-09-17 23:20
DraftKings🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.00%E -3.81%K -80.04%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +2.88%E +0.240%K +0.262%G +0.008%3.6%2026-09-17 22:20
Bet Victor🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.00%E -3.81%K -80.04%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +2.88%E +0.240%K +0.262%G +0.008%3.6%2026-09-17 23:19
betano_uk🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.00%E -3.81%K -80.04%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +2.88%E +0.240%K +0.262%G +0.008%3.6%2026-09-17 23:19
theScore Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.92%E -4.73%K -122.90%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +2.88%E +0.240%K +0.262%G +0.008%4.5%2026-09-17 17:50
Neds🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.83%E -5.66%K -194.35%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +2.88%E +0.240%K +0.262%G +0.008%5.4%2026-09-17 23:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.83%E -5.66%K -194.35%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +2.88%E +0.240%K +0.262%G +0.008%5.4%2026-09-17 23:15
Pinnacle🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.83%EV -3.09%E -2.91%K -51.46%G +0.000%11.91I 8.40%NM 8.17%EV +2.11%E +0.177%K +0.193%G +0.004%2.7%2026-09-17 23:15
BetMGM🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.92%E -4.73%K -122.90%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -1.41%E -0.122%K -0.134%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 23:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.57%EV -4.00%E -3.81%K -80.04%G +0.000%11.41I 8.76%NM 8.43%EV -2.18%E -0.191%K -0.209%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-17 22:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.57%EV -4.00%E -3.81%K -80.04%G +0.000%11.41I 8.76%NM 8.43%EV -2.18%E -0.191%K -0.209%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-17 22:05
FanDuel🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.64%EV -4.92%E -4.73%K -122.90%G +0.000%11.40I 8.77%NM 8.36%EV -2.27%E -0.199%K -0.218%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-17 20:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.54%EV -4.92%E -4.73%K -122.90%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.46%EV -3.55%E -0.316%K -0.346%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-17 23:15
GTbets🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -3.09%E -2.91%K -51.46%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV -5.69%E -0.518%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-17 22:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.00%E -3.81%K -80.04%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -5.69%E -0.518%K -0.569%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-17 20:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.00%E -3.81%K -80.04%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -5.69%E -0.518%K -0.569%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-17 19:40
Caesars🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.00%E -3.81%K -80.04%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -5.69%E -0.518%K -0.569%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-17 21:32
BetAnything🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.00%E -3.81%K -80.04%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -5.69%E -0.518%K -0.569%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-17 21:39
Bet Right🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.92%E -4.73%K -122.90%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -5.69%E -0.518%K -0.569%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-17 23:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.00%E -3.81%K -80.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -9.98%E -0.951%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 15:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.00%E -3.81%K -80.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -9.98%E -0.951%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 15:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.00%E -3.81%K -80.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -9.98%E -0.951%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 15:40
Unibet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.00%E -3.81%K -80.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -9.98%E -0.951%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 15:40
Bally Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.00%E -3.81%K -80.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -9.98%E -0.951%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 15:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.00%E -3.81%K -80.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -9.98%E -0.951%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 15:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.00%E -3.81%K -80.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -9.98%E -0.951%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 15:40
betPARX🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.00%E -3.81%K -80.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -9.98%E -0.951%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 15:40
Bovada🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.00%E -3.81%K -80.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -9.98%E -0.951%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 23:25
BetRivers🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.92%E -4.73%K -122.90%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -9.98%E -0.951%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-17 15:40
TABtouch🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.92%E -4.73%K -122.90%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -9.98%E -0.951%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-17 15:40
ReBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.75%EV -4.00%E -3.81%K -80.04%G +0.000%10.30I 9.71%NM 9.25%EV -11.70%E -1.14%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-17 22:25
BetUS🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.50%EV -3.09%E -2.91%K -51.46%G +0.000%10.10I 9.90%NM 9.50%EV -13.41%E -1.33%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-17 15:45
888sport🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.00%E -3.81%K -80.04%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -14.27%E -1.43%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-17 15:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.00%E -3.81%K -80.04%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -14.27%E -1.43%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-17 15:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.00%E -3.81%K -80.04%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -14.27%E -1.43%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-17 15:45
Betway🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.00%E -3.81%K -80.04%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -14.27%E -1.43%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-17 15:45
SportsBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.92%E -4.73%K -122.90%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -14.27%E -1.43%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-17 16:25
NordicBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.92%E -4.73%K -122.90%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -14.27%E -1.43%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-17 15:45
Betsson🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.92%E -4.73%K -122.90%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -14.27%E -1.43%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-17 15:45
TAB🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.92%E -4.73%K -122.90%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -14.27%E -1.43%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-17 21:44
Coolbet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.92%E -4.73%K -122.90%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -14.27%E -1.43%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-17 18:34
Paddy Power🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -4.92%E -4.73%K -122.90%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -18.55%E -1.95%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-17 16:23
LeoVegas🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 88.10%EV -4.92%E -4.73%K -122.90%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 11.90%EV -33.99%E -4.41%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-17 22:25
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (8)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.0%2026-09-17 23:25
Polymarket◎1.06I 94.34%NM 93.09%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91%1.3%2026-09-17 23:25
Novig◎1.06I 94.34%NM 93.09%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91%1.3%2026-09-17 23:25
Kalshi◎1.06I 94.34%NM 93.09%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91%1.3%2026-09-17 22:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 92.96%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.04%1.5%2026-09-17 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 92.96%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.04%1.5%2026-09-17 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 92.96%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.04%1.5%2026-09-17 23:25
ProphetX◎1.06I 94.34%NM 92.96%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.04%1.5%2026-09-17 23:25